Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Foil

Friday, September 20, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
2 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 41%
3 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
5 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
6 ARIZA Isaac A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
7 LEE Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 37%
8 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
9 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
10 PAULSON Connor M. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
11 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3%
12 DOUGLAS Oscar M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
13 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
14 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
15 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
16 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
17 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 2%
18 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
19 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
20 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 9%
21 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
22 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
23 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
24 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 95% 70% 29% 4% -
25 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
26 ANTON Nathaniel 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
27 MARX Oscar L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
28 WALTER Evran M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
29 GEOGHEGAN Ronan 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
30 HUGHES Evan J. 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
31 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
32 GAO William 100% 84% 39% 9% 1% - -
33 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 66% 23% 4% < 1% - -
34 GORBACHEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
35 MOHAMED Murad 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
36 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
37 QIU Daniel 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
38 MOHAMED Amir 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 2%
39 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
40 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
41 LIU Eric Y. 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
42 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
43 PAI Lakshan K. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
44 KNIZHNIK David 100% 91% 56% 18% 2% -
45 LONG Connor M. 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
46 LOVE Aaron 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
47 SAGE Michael J. 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
48 REEVES Liam 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
49 DRESSEL Jet 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
50 JI Aidan Y. 100% 95% 59% 20% 4% - -
51 FOTENOS Noah T. 100% 95% 66% 24% 2% -
52 YU Jonathan J. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
53 WANG Jeremy 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
54 SELLERY Robert M. 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
55 ROBBINS Tusker F. 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.