December NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Sunday, December 8, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 THOMPSON Soren - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
2 HOYLE Jacob C. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
3 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 11% 4% -
3 MATVEEV Valentin S. - - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 21% 11% 3% -
5 KRAFT Dennis A. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 7%
6 ZACHARAKIS Darius K. - - 1% 3% 10% 18% 24% 22% 14% 6% 2% - -
7 RAMIREZ Yeisser - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 6%
8 KUMASHI Mihir R. 3% 14% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
9 MCDOWALD Curtis E. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
10 PRYOR Jason A. - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 6%
11 TSINIS Alexander E. - 1% 7% 21% 33% 28% 10%
12 ZMYSLOWSKI Maciek A. - - - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 26% 21% 11% 3% -
13 LANGE Henry C. - - - - - 2% 6% 14% 23% 27% 19% 8% 1%
14 VOLKMANN Daniel R. - - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 26% 23% 13% 4% 1%
15 WEISS Miles J. - - - 1% 2% 8% 17% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% -
16 VINNITCHOUK Theodore (Ted) - 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 11%
17 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
18 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - 4% 14% 30% 35% 16%
19 ZHANG Joshua 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
20 SCHUMACHER Cooper (Shoey) J. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
21 KAULL James T. - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
22 RODNEY Adam R. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
23 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
24 MECKE Cedric 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
25 DUNCAN Corwin 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
26 LARSEN Samuel F. - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 12% 4% 1% -
27 SHERRILL Edward R. - - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 24% 23% 14% 6% 1% -
28 HESSLEGRAVE Porter B. - - 1% 6% 14% 23% 24% 18% 9% 3% 1% - -
29 VAYSBERG Nathan 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
30 SMITH Dwight 2% 11% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
30 MA Ark - - 1% 3% 10% 18% 24% 22% 14% 6% 2% - -
32 CANAUX Gabriel A. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
33 HADZIC Alen - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
34 YOO Justin H. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
35 BROUGHTON Josiah W. - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 16% 8% 2% - - -
35 WHITE Sean - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 20%
37 SAITOC Tudor - - - 1% 4% 10% 18% 24% 22% 14% 6% 1% -
38 NOLLNER Dylan - 2% 11% 25% 33% 22% 6%
39 LIVERANT Skyler J. - - - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 22% 14% 5% 1% -
40 MOORE Shomari A. - - - - 2% 6% 15% 23% 25% 18% 8% 2% -
41 YERGLER Jonathan A. - - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% -
42 WHITE Khristopher E. - - 1% 5% 12% 20% 24% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
43 SZAPARY Tristan B. - - - - 1% 2% 7% 16% 24% 25% 17% 7% 1%
44 JONES Simon A. - - - 2% 6% 14% 21% 23% 18% 10% 3% 1% -
45 XU Timothy (Tingwei) - - - - 1% 5% 14% 23% 26% 19% 9% 2% -
46 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. - - 2% 8% 16% 23% 23% 16% 8% 3% 1% - -
47 SLAVINSKIY Alan - - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% -
48 SPITERI Gareth J. - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 19% 10% 3% 1% -
49 RAYLE Evan K. - - - 2% 6% 15% 23% 25% 17% 8% 2% - -
50 CUMMINGS Atticus C. - - 1% 3% 9% 17% 23% 22% 15% 7% 2% - -
51 SHINDLER Oliver P. - - - - 2% 6% 14% 22% 25% 19% 9% 3% -
51 KUSHNERIK Ethan - - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 22% 14% 6% 1% - -
53 KIMATIAN Harrison J. 1% 6% 18% 31% 28% 14% 3%
54 STUSNICK Hunter - - 1% 4% 10% 19% 24% 21% 13% 6% 1% - -
55 FAYEZ Ayman A. - - - - - 1% 2% 8% 18% 27% 26% 14% 3%
56 GRIFFITHS Ryan 1% 6% 18% 31% 28% 13% 3%
56 BEAULIEU Loic - - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% -
58 ELLIS Yehia S. - 2% 7% 16% 23% 23% 16% 8% 3% 1% - - -
59 HADDAD Justin R. - - - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 7% 1%
60 ZHU Zimo - - - - 2% 8% 16% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% -
61 ELASHRY Zeyad A. - - - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 25% 17% 7% 2% -
62 ZUCKER Noah L. - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 24% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
63 JEONG Connor - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
64 MIELE Benjamin - 1% 6% 15% 23% 24% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - -
65 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
66 SHIN Sung (Andy) - - 1% 4% 10% 18% 24% 22% 14% 6% 2% - -
67 FRANK Timmy 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
68 DOLGONOS Mark - - 1% 6% 15% 23% 24% 18% 9% 3% 1% - -
69 BEDOR William J. - - 2% 7% 16% 23% 23% 16% 8% 3% 1% - -
70 WIEDER Benjamin (Ben) J. - - 2% 6% 15% 22% 24% 18% 9% 3% 1% - -
71 MAISONET-GUZMAN Hector E. - - 1% 5% 13% 21% 25% 19% 11% 4% 1% -
72 LAURON Sean M. - - 2% 7% 15% 23% 24% 17% 9% 3% 1% - -
73 ZAFFT Maximo S. - 1% 3% 11% 21% 26% 21% 12% 5% 1% - - -
74 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
75 HURME Tommi K. - - 1% 5% 12% 22% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
75 NORTH Gary S. 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1%
77 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. - - - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 2%
78 FISHLER Clifford - - 3% 12% 23% 27% 20% 10% 3% 1% - - -
79 MCGAW Julian E. - - - 2% 7% 15% 23% 24% 18% 9% 3% 1% -
80 CARNAHAN Garrett M. - - - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 1%
81 TAFOYA Devin D. - - - 1% 3% 8% 16% 23% 23% 16% 7% 2% -
82 GUO Austin S. - 3% 11% 20% 25% 21% 12% 5% 1% - - - -
83 WEISS Lewis E. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
84 WEI Zikun - - - 2% 6% 15% 23% 25% 18% 8% 3% - -
85 KAMBESELES Peter G. - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 16% 8% 2% - - -
86 MACZIK Adam W. - - - 2% 7% 15% 23% 24% 18% 9% 3% 1% -
86 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 1% 6% 16% 25% 24% 16% 8% 2% 1% - - - -
88 DAO Matthew M. - 2% 8% 18% 25% 23% 15% 7% 2% - - - -
88 WOZNIAK Sebastian 3% 14% 25% 27% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - - - -
90 INSLER Gabriel - - 3% 10% 21% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% - - -
90 LIANG Aaron - 3% 12% 22% 26% 20% 11% 4% 1% - - - -
92 BRATTON Benjamin E. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
93 DOAN Joseph M. - 3% 11% 21% 26% 21% 12% 4% 1% - - - -
94 SHUGART Henry R. - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 12% 5% 1% - -
94 ALAIMO Charles - 5% 15% 26% 26% 17% 8% 2% - - - - -
96 MERCHANT Reza H. - - 1% 3% 9% 17% 23% 22% 15% 7% 2% - -
97 HOLTZ Donovan K. 9% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
97 SUVOROV Yuly - 3% 10% 20% 25% 22% 13% 5% 2% - - - -
99 GAIDAR Daniel B. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
100 ISAAC Joseph (Izzy) - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
101 MADISON Ethan S. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
102 CANDELA Nicholas - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
103 BENACK Steven M. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
104 MAISEL Simon F. - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
105 MECHKOV Iliya - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
106 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
107 ZAGORUIKO Ivan 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
108 ROBINSON Riley - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
109 BREWER Andrew K. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
110 CULLEN Daniel F. 5% 22% 36% 26% 10% 2% -
111 GUINAN Joseph 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
112 MARSHALL John W. 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
112 EDWARDS Ethan S. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
114 LEE Ryan - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
115 LICHTEN Keith H. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
116 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
117 VERMEULE Spencer - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
118 XU Zitong (Evan) 4% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
119 RAFIDI Joseph (Joey) F. - 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
120 YU Colin - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
120 GIBSON Nowell L. - 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
122 LEIGH David A. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2%
123 MARAKOV Allen B. - 2% 10% 25% 35% 23% 5%
123 ZHOU Alan 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
125 POPPER Luca G. 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
126 MUNLIN Donovan - 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4%
127 BARREIRO Darren 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
128 SNYDER IV William B. - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
129 SMITH Justin C. 1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
129 FRANK Fred 6% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
129 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
129 MALYSZ Anthony J. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
133 ARIETA Ryan T. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
134 IYOKI Kent 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
135 KIM Juni C. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
136 DOSS David A. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
137 MOSES Alexander 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
138 ZUBECK Dominic 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
139 NGUYEN Ethan D. - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
140 CLINGSHOFF Christopher 28% 40% 23% 7% 1% - -
140 WALSH Kevin 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
142 ALVIOR Joshua Aethan B. 18% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
142 KIM Ethan J. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
144 MANDOKI Sandor I. 1% 5% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
145 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
145 KOFROTH Zachary R. 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
147 MUN Michael K. - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
148 MOOSEKIAN Stafford - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
149 WOZNIAK David 2% 15% 34% 33% 15% 2%
150 FULLER George K. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
151 ZHU Wilson - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
152 IVAKIMOV Vasil 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
153 HILBERT Xavier - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
154 KAMBESELES Jack M. 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 11% 2%
155 CUMMINGS Kai W. 28% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
156 POLAKOSKI David R. 7% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
157 JEON Alexander E. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
158 HUDSON Jeffrey (Jeff) A. - 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
159 MARCHANT Albert J. 3% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
160 COULL Abraham (Abe) 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
161 LAWLER Aidan 6% 36% 38% 16% 3% - -
162 RODNEY Maxwell 32% 45% 19% 4% - - -
163 TAMULONIS Fen C. 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
163 FOWLER James A. 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
165 SHACKLEFORD Aidan J. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
166 PARK Jong-Eun 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
167 RUSSANOV Dennis 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
168 KIM Alexander 1% 10% 28% 33% 21% 6% 1%
169 SHENG Patrick Y. 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
170 BODON Michele I. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
171 POLKOVSKY Dylan S. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
172 SHORT Salim (Sal) A. 12% 31% 32% 18% 5% 1% -
173 KANG Michael H. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
174 FERGUSON Ross A. 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
175 SHIREY Daniel L. 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
176 JOHNSON Lucas W. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
177 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
178 XIAO Zherui 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
179 LEAVITT III Philip N. 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
180 ZHOU Alec Q. 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
181 JELEV Mario I. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
182 DEO Ameya 32% 45% 19% 3% - - -
183 NIXON Christian A. 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
183 ZHENG Hagen 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
185 BISSINGER Michael P. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
186 KARAUSKY Joshua C. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
187 YAO Shun 24% 45% 24% 6% 1% - -
188 MUNOZ Charles O. 54% 35% 9% 1% - - -
188 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
190 MEHALL Michael - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
191 CHIEN Zachary M. 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
192 SAYLOR Harrison G. 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
193 BURTON Patrick 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
194 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
195 CHIZ Max H. 23% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
196 BLYTH Jourdain L. 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 6% 1%
197 SMITH Nicholas S. 18% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
198 PROCTOR Oliver L. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
199 FARQUHARSON Cole 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
200 SMITH Brandon J. 69% 27% 4% - - - -
201 HERRICK Christopher K. 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
202 PAEK Alex J. 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
203 MANCINI Christopher M. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
204 KRUGER Mark (Mark Kruger) 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
205 NG Alexander M. 47% 38% 12% 2% - -
206 CARTER Austin L. 4% 20% 35% 28% 12% 2% -
206 LEE Alexander G. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
208 NOWAK Jakub P. 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
208 KILUK Andrew 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
208 VANDERVELDE Pierce F. 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
211 TIERNEY Luke 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
211 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 37% 44% 16% 3% - - -
213 PADHYE Siddhant 28% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
214 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 58% 33% 8% 1% - - -
214 SMAY II Joseph E. 35% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.