Motor City SYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Friday, February 28, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Elite Sportsplex - Waterford, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
2 JU Jennifer 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
3 ZHANG Jane 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 KANE Alexa 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 40%
5 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
6 LIN Alexis 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 20%
7 LEE Kate 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
8 JIANG chenxi 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
9 CHEN Stephanie 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
10 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
11 FAN Joy 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
12 PEKKER Adel 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 5%
13 LI Ariel 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
14 YANG Arianna 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
15 HOWARD Katherine 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
16 KWASNY Natalie 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
17 RAJ Indra 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
18 MARKS Madeline 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
19 PEKKER Amina 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4%
20 MEGGERS Arya 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
21 YU Chloe 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
22 ZHANG Ashley 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
23 XIE ANDREA 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
24 GU Ella 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% -
25 LAW Mila 100% 100% 98% 80% 35% 6%
26 CHEN Laila 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4%
27 CAI Melody 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
28 LI Yishi 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
29 CHEN Reina 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
30 ALLIEVI Simone 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
31 EDGAR Koko 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4%
32 TRIVULCE Scarlett 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1%
33 FRANGER Emma 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
34 LAI Juliet 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
35 CHAVEZ Beatrix 100% 88% 44% 9% 1% -
36 JIANG Alexandra 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
37 FAN Olivia 100% 94% 62% 18% 2% -
38 DOMONKOS Mary Alanna 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
39 YOUNG Penelope 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
40 NEGRUT Sabina 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
41 TUMULA Anima 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
42 JERDEE Saige 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% -
43 PURUSHOTHAM Nina 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
44 HUANG Cynthia 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.