March NAC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DODIN Daniel M. - - - - 4% 28% 67%
2 KIM Gene - - - - 5% 29% 66%
3 WHITE Ryden - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 23%
3 TANG Michael - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
5 MOU Jaydon - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
6 MIDYANY Ryan - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
7 CHEN Tianjun - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
8 XUE Michael - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
9 CHANG Matthew - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
10 LIU Austin - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
11 MIKHAIL Lucas - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
12 LIN Henry - - - - - 4% 96%
13 KATS Brandon - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
14 ZHANG jonathan - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
15 RUBIN Nathan - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
16 LUO Alexander - - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
17 KROPP Wesley - - - 1% 12% 39% 48%
18 YAO Tristan - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
19 MA Nolan - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
20 ZENG Oliver 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
21 MOSTOVOY philip - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
22 TUBALTSEV Evan - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
23 WU MiEr - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
24 FU Nolan - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
25 KIM Doyun - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
26 ZHOU Luke 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
27 ROBERTS Arthur - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
28 KICIMAN Leo - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
29 KIM Julian - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
30 ZHOU Zhi Matthew - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
32 CHEN Christopher 2% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
33 WONG Aaron - 2% 13% 30% 35% 18% 3%
34 WU Nathan - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
35 DANG William - 4% 18% 34% 32% 11% < 1%
36 ZHENG Jason - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
37 CHIANG William - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
38 WU Matthew - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 17%
39 HEADRICK Liam - 3% 13% 27% 32% 19% 5%
40 SHIM Jae - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
41 MOSLEY Wally - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15%
42 DING Max 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 5%
43 RONG Marcus 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
44 DANILOV Artur - 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
45 BHANDARE Veer - 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
46 ZHANG Chaoyi（Joey） - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
47 WONG Alexander - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 3%
48 FONG Kobe - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
49 CAMP William 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
50 TOPRANI Valmik - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
51 YAO Ryan - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
52 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
53 SHOURIE Neel 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5%
54 LEE Leo 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
55 MYRAH Devin - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
56 THOMAS Andrew 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
57 TANG Colin - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
58 PERRY Noah - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
59 ARMSTRONG Payson 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7% -
60 RICHARDSON Matthew 4% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
61 YU Brandon 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
61 TIAN Dylan 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
63 MBERIA Henry - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
64 LIU Andrew - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
65 PUTHOFF Henry - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
66 HWANG Matthew - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 3%
67 WANG Lucas - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
68 LIN Bryan 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
69 PARRA Lucas 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1%
70 PARKE Nathaniel - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
71 YAO Aiden - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
72 LIN Daniel 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
73 SONG Aidan - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
74 FEELY Benjamin 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
75 YOO Lucas - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
76 STRAFFORD Andrew 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
77 LEE Lucas - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
78 VASILEV Victor - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 4%
79 SONG Eric 9% 27% 33% 22% 8% 1% -
80 DU Evan - - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
81 CHEN Jayden A 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
82 MA Joseph 2% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
83 PINCIROLI Tommaso 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
84 CHEN Aiden - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
85 LI Stephen - 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
85 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
87 ELLIS, IV Floyd 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
88 SHIM Jaeyoo - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
88 LIU Xuyao 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
90 KROTZ Nicolas 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
91 HANTOV Adrian - 3% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
92 GUJJA Rishabh 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 10% 1%
93 HUA Nolan 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
94 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
95 VEERAVALLI Pranav 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
96 KHERSONSKY Robert - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
97 GARIKIPATI Tharan - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
98 LI Nolan 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
98 LEE James K. 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
100 ZHANG Aiden - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
101 CHEN Linus 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
102 LEE Joshua 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
102 ENG Kyler - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
104 ZHAN ETHAN 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
104 SHI Zhicheng 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
106 DAI Jason - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
106 SCHIPPER Johann - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
108 KICIMAN Louis 6% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
109 LUO Alvin Y. 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
110 SHAPIRO Samuel - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
111 PARK Ethan 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
112 LEE Harrison - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
113 BORAN Brooks 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3%
114 GEVA Reuben 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5%
115 SHAO Mason 5% 19% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
116 WONG Kyle - 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
117 LIU Yihong 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
118 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
119 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 1% 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
120 FERREIRA DE MELO Martin - 4% 16% 33% 33% 14% 1%
121 NOOL Aaron 1% 8% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
122 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
123 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
123 CHEN Regis 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
125 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
126 QI Bryan 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
127 HOLDEN Harrison 2% 19% 36% 29% 12% 2% -
128 YANG Rony 29% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
129 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
130 ZALPURI Zorin 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
131 NGUYEN Norris 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% -
132 ZHAO Brandon 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
133 SCHLUBACH Jasper 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
134 FU Benjamin 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 6% -
135 WU Jiachen - 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
136 GUO Jonathan 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
137 LI Vance 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
138 CHU Clayton 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
139 WEI Noah 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
140 FRIZZELL Kai - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
141 IVANOV Andrew 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
142 YOON Ian 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
143 SHOURIE Seth 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
144 CHEN Benjamin 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
145 JU Shang 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
146 WU James 25% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
147 LAI Jayden - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
148 KUYKENDALL Lucas 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
149 YUE Bryan 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
150 YI Alexander 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
151 WANG carson - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
152 LU Ian 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
153 SAMOYLOV Daniel 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
154 PARK Sean 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
155 CHEN Zhi-yang 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
156 BUTLER Xavier 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
157 KESELMAN Ron 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
158 LIU YULIN 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
159 ZHANG Jenson 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
159 LI Kingston 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
161 ZHAO Jonathan Li 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
162 LIN Edison 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
163 REN Mark 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
164 DESAI Jairaj 2% 17% 35% 30% 13% 2% -
165 WANG Mason - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
166 YU Rex 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
167 MAZAHERI Theodore 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
168 WANG Henry 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
169 ZHAO Luke 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
170 YAO Irvine 16% 35% 31% 14% 4% - -
171 MASKIN Mikhail 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
171 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
173 CHI Zachary 12% 37% 35% 14% 3% - -
174 FRENCH Drake - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
174 LAI Jaxon 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
176 ZHOU Silvan 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
177 DISPENZA Jayan 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
177 QU ethan 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
179 DE LOS REYES Noah 36% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
179 WANG William 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
181 GAYNER Matthew 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
182 YE Andrew 24% 47% 23% 5% - - -
182 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
184 FRANK Luke 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
185 MATUSOW Brandon 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
186 YOU Emmanuel 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
187 KIM Siwoo 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
188 XIONG Alec 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
189 VISSER Liam 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
189 YAN Milan 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
191 LENEGHAN Declan 67% 28% 4% - - - -
192 SI Alexander 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
193 KUYKENDALL Logan 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
193 MAXWELL Taiga 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
195 BOROVIKOV Alexander 2% 11% 26% 32% 22% 8% 1%
195 FEELY Samuel 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
197 KO Ethan 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
198 WANG Franklin 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
199 SAFAI Bardia 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
199 ZHANG Jacob 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
199 FILIPKOWSKI Elden 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
202 LEE Samuel 50% 38% 11% 2% - - -
203 ABRAHAM Aaron 51% 37% 11% 1% - -
204 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
205 THOMSON Piers 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
205 SATHYAN Dhruv 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.