March NAC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 23%
3 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
5 MOU Jaydon 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
6 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
7 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
8 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
9 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
10 LIU Austin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
11 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
12 LIN Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96%
13 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
14 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
15 RUBIN Nathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
16 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
17 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
18 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
19 MA Nolan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
20 ZENG Oliver 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
21 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
22 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
23 WU MiEr 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
24 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
25 KIM Doyun 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
26 ZHOU Luke 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
27 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
28 KICIMAN Leo 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
29 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
30 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
32 CHEN Christopher 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
33 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
34 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
35 DANG William 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11% < 1%
36 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
37 CHIANG William 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
38 WU Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 17%
39 HEADRICK Liam 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
40 SHIM Jae 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
41 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
42 DING Max 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
43 RONG Marcus 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 3%
44 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
45 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
46 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
47 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
48 FONG Kobe 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
49 CAMP William 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
50 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
51 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
52 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1%
53 SHOURIE Neel 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
54 LEE Leo 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 14% 2%
55 MYRAH Devin 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
56 THOMAS Andrew 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 1%
57 TANG Colin 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
58 PERRY Noah 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
59 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7% -
60 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
61 YU Brandon 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
61 TIAN Dylan 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
63 MBERIA Henry 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
64 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
65 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
66 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 3%
67 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
68 LIN Bryan 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
69 PARRA Lucas 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 9% 1%
70 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
71 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
72 LIN Daniel 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
73 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
74 FEELY Benjamin 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% 1%
75 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
76 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
77 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
78 VASILEV Victor 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 4%
79 SONG Eric 100% 91% 64% 31% 9% 2% -
80 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
81 CHEN Jayden A 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
82 MA Joseph 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
83 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
84 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
85 LI Stephen 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
85 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
87 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
88 SHIM Jaeyoo 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
88 LIU Xuyao 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
90 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
91 HANTOV Adrian 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 28% 6%
92 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
93 HUA Nolan 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
94 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
95 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
96 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
97 GARIKIPATI Tharan 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
98 LI Nolan 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
98 LEE James K. 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
100 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
101 CHEN Linus 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
102 LEE Joshua 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
102 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
104 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
104 SHI Zhicheng 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
106 DAI Jason 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
106 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
108 KICIMAN Louis 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
109 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
110 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
111 PARK Ethan 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
112 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
113 BORAN Brooks 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
114 GEVA Reuben 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
115 SHAO Mason 100% 95% 76% 44% 17% 4% -
116 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
117 LIU Yihong 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
118 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
119 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
120 FERREIRA DE MELO Martin 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 15% 1%
121 NOOL Aaron 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 13% 2%
122 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1%
123 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% -
123 CHEN Regis 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
125 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
126 QI Bryan 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
127 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 98% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
128 YANG Rony 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
129 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
130 ZALPURI Zorin 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
131 NGUYEN Norris 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
132 ZHAO Brandon 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
133 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
134 FU Benjamin 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% -
135 WU Jiachen 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
136 GUO Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
137 LI Vance 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
138 CHU Clayton 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
139 WEI Noah 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
140 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
141 IVANOV Andrew 100% 97% 82% 49% 19% 4% -
142 YOON Ian 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
143 SHOURIE Seth 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
144 CHEN Benjamin 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
145 JU Shang 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
146 WU James 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% -
147 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
148 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
149 YUE Bryan 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
150 YI Alexander 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
151 WANG carson 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
152 LU Ian 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5% -
153 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
154 PARK Sean 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
155 CHEN Zhi-yang 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
156 BUTLER Xavier 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
157 KESELMAN Ron 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
158 LIU YULIN 100% 98% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
159 ZHANG Jenson 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
159 LI Kingston 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
161 ZHAO Jonathan Li 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
162 LIN Edison 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
163 REN Mark 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
164 DESAI Jairaj 100% 98% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
165 WANG Mason 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
166 YU Rex 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
167 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
168 WANG Henry 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
169 ZHAO Luke 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
170 YAO Irvine 100% 84% 50% 18% 4% - -
171 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
171 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
173 CHI Zachary 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
174 FRENCH Drake 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
174 LAI Jaxon 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
176 ZHOU Silvan 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
177 DISPENZA Jayan 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
177 QU ethan 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
179 DE LOS REYES Noah 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
179 WANG William 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
181 GAYNER Matthew 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
182 YE Andrew 100% 76% 29% 5% 1% - -
182 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
184 FRANK Luke 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
185 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
186 YOU Emmanuel 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
187 KIM Siwoo 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
188 XIONG Alec 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
189 VISSER Liam 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
189 YAN Milan 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
191 LENEGHAN Declan 100% 33% 5% - - - -
192 SI Alexander 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
193 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
193 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
195 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 9% 1%
195 FEELY Samuel 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
197 KO Ethan 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
198 WANG Franklin 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
199 SAFAI Bardia 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
199 ZHANG Jacob 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
199 FILIPKOWSKI Elden 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
202 LEE Samuel 100% 50% 13% 2% - - -
203 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 49% 12% 2% - -
204 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
205 THOMSON Piers 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
205 SATHYAN Dhruv 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.