Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOUDREAUX James - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
2 MODANLOU Navid - - - 4% 24% 53% 19%
3 LEE JoonWon - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
3 DAVIDENKO Alexander - - 6% 24% 43% 27%
5 MANN Jake R. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
6 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
7 SINGLETON Aman - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
8 ARMSTRONG TyLee 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
9 XIE Brandon - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
10 YANG Gary - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
11 MEHROTRA Neel - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
12 CHOI Kaiden I. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
13 ACAR Devin 7% 32% 41% 19% 3%
14 MIDYANY Evan - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 9%
15 HU Robert J. - 2% 14% 42% 42%
16 KONG Brandon 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
17 FISHMAN Rahm - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
18 LEE Aiden - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
19 CHEN Brian - - - - 5% 36% 59%
20 RUSSELL James - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
21 PETROW Zoryan - - 5% 20% 39% 29% 7%
22 RIM Eugene - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
23 YI Nathan 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
24 TIKHONOV Daniel - 1% 8% 28% 43% 21%
25 SINGH Ravin - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
26 PENG Yue - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5%
27 TIKHONOV Ilia - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
28 ZAHRAN Aiden 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
29 YU Jason - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
30 LIN Nathan 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
31 BERNARD Jack B. - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
32 PAL Ian K. - 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
33 LI Jade 1% 13% 37% 38% 10%
34 HAN Sam - 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
34 EVANS George 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
34 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
37 SAUNIER Cameron - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
38 KIM Gene - 1% 8% 26% 40% 23% 2%
39 SHOUSHA Yassin - 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
39 LEE DoWon - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
41 SHILOV Maxim 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
42 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
43 SUN Lucas 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
44 LIDSKY Phineas - 1% 10% 30% 41% 17%
45 YU Austin - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
46 SINGH Aryaman - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
47 YANG Alex - 2% 15% 37% 36% 9% 1%
48 SHOUSHA Hamza - - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13%
49 DOUBOV Andrew - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
50 CHENH Justin - 1% 9% 28% 40% 20% 2%
51 WONG King-Yee - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 14%
52 CAFASSO Alexander 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
53 ALEXANDER Jacksen 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
54 HELMY Richard 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
55 DONNELLY Enzo 2% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
56 RAPALSKI Thomas - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
57 HULL Liam - 3% 14% 30% 34% 16% 3%
57 ZHANG Lucas - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
59 LIN Haley 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
60 CHEN Jayden - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
61 DAVIS Andrew 4% 22% 40% 26% 6% - -
62 WANG Clayton - 1% 5% 22% 44% 28%
63 MCCABE Kian 33% 45% 18% 3% - -
64 HE Bronto 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
65 FOGEL Jake 27% 43% 24% 5% 1% - -
66 LEE Anton - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
67 DELONG Joshua 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
67 LEE Benjamin 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 3% -
69 LEECH Braedan 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
70 LEE Henry 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
71 DILDA Griffin 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
72 ZHANG Austin 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
73 KIM Remington 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
74 BAI Brian 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
75 ADDYSON Aidan 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% -
76 KE Sebastian 3% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
77 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
78 LORENZ Nathan 49% 39% 11% 1% -
79 ZHENG Jason 25% 47% 23% 5% - -
80 ROBERTS Phoenix 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
81 MONTAGUE Braeden A. 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
82 TSIEN Richard 6% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
83 CHEN YiHeng - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
84 CHEN Edward - 4% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
85 SMOTHERS Nathan 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
86 SUNKARA Vishnu 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
87 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6% -
88 DAN Rex - 2% 11% 29% 37% 18% 3%
89 YU Samuel - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
90 BETTS Kieran 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
91 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
92 TUMULA Arihaan 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
93 WANG Marcus 1% 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
94 WATERS Nathaniel 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
96 RAMEY Daylon 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
97 NILSEN Mark 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
97 BANG Dylan 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
99 CHO Alex 1% 11% 34% 36% 15% 2%
100 CUELLAR Markus 8% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
101 SZIEDE Kieran 7% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
102 AGGELER Donovan - 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
103 KIM Jaden - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
104 JONES Gideon 18% 42% 30% 8% 1% - -
105 GUO Lucas 10% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
106 YU David 30% 50% 17% 2% - - -
107 MILLER Jordan 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
107 MAXWELL Sheito 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
109 URIA Sullivan 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
110 FENG Xinmin 42% 44% 12% 1% - - -
111 BROSNAN Solomon 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
112 ELLIS, IV Floyd 39% 46% 13% 2% - - -
113 ARZT Nicholas 5% 28% 42% 22% 3%
114 THOMAS Ethan 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
115 JARRATT Isaac 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
116 GATEWOOD Michael 11% 35% 37% 14% 2% - -
117 BICKTA Joshua 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
118 STRAFFORD Andrew 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -
119 WU Jiachen 24% 48% 23% 4% - - -
120 KOGAN Yelisey L. 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.