Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
2 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 19%
3 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
3 DAVIDENKO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
5 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
6 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
7 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
8 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
9 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
10 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
11 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
12 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
13 ACAR Devin 100% 93% 62% 21% 3%
14 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
15 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
16 KONG Brandon 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
17 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
18 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
19 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 59%
20 RUSSELL James 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
21 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
22 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
23 YI Nathan 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
24 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
25 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
26 PENG Yue 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5%
27 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
28 ZAHRAN Aiden 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
29 YU Jason 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
30 LIN Nathan 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
31 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
32 PAL Ian K. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
33 LI Jade 100% 99% 86% 48% 10%
34 HAN Sam 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
34 EVANS George 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
34 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
37 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
38 KIM Gene 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 2%
39 SHOUSHA Yassin 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
39 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 7%
41 SHILOV Maxim 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
42 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
43 SUN Lucas 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
44 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
45 YU Austin 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
46 SINGH Aryaman 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
47 YANG Alex 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9% 1%
48 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
49 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
50 CHENH Justin 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 2%
51 WONG King-Yee 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
52 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
53 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
54 HELMY Richard 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
55 DONNELLY Enzo 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
56 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 2%
57 HULL Liam 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
57 ZHANG Lucas 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
59 LIN Haley 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
60 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
61 DAVIS Andrew 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% - -
62 WANG Clayton 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
63 MCCABE Kian 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
64 HE Bronto 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
65 FOGEL Jake 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
66 LEE Anton 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
67 DELONG Joshua 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
67 LEE Benjamin 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3% -
69 LEECH Braedan 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
70 LEE Henry 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
71 DILDA Griffin 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
72 ZHANG Austin 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
73 KIM Remington 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
74 BAI Brian 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
75 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
76 KE Sebastian 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1%
77 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
78 LORENZ Nathan 100% 51% 12% 1% -
79 ZHENG Jason 100% 75% 28% 5% - -
80 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 5% -
81 MONTAGUE Braeden A. 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
82 TSIEN Richard 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
83 CHEN YiHeng 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
84 CHEN Edward 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
85 SMOTHERS Nathan 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
86 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
87 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6% -
88 DAN Rex 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 3%
89 YU Samuel 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 6%
90 BETTS Kieran 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
91 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
92 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
93 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
94 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
96 RAMEY Daylon 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
97 NILSEN Mark 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
97 BANG Dylan 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
99 CHO Alex 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2%
100 CUELLAR Markus 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
101 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
102 AGGELER Donovan 100% 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
103 KIM Jaden 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
104 JONES Gideon 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% - -
105 GUO Lucas 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
106 YU David 100% 70% 20% 3% - - -
107 MILLER Jordan 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
107 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
109 URIA Sullivan 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
110 FENG Xinmin 100% 58% 14% 1% - - -
111 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
112 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 61% 15% 2% - - -
113 ARZT Nicholas 100% 95% 67% 25% 3%
114 THOMAS Ethan 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
115 JARRATT Isaac 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
116 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 89% 54% 17% 3% - -
117 BICKTA Joshua 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
118 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
119 WU Jiachen 100% 76% 28% 5% - - -
120 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.