BBFC Duel in the Desert SYC, RCC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Épée

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rio Hotel and Casino - Las Vegas, NV, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOU Cynthia 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 DU Chelsea 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
3 GOFMAN Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
5 TRIVULCE Scarlett 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6%
6 YANG Nina 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
7 FLESHER Mia 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
8 KWAK Olivia 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
9 LIU Emma 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
10 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% -
11 WANG Kercedes Ye 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
12 WANG Phoebe 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
13 LI Allison 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
14 FRANGER Emma 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 6%
15 STEPHAN Antje Elisa 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
16 LEE Layla 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
17 SUN Joanna 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
18 REN Harper 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
19 KIM Toni 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
20 RONG Hilary 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
21 WU Angela 100% 99% 84% 47% 12% 1%
22 WONG Isabelle 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
23 LI Celine 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
24 CHONG Emma 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
25 SHIH Eva 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
26 WAGENAAR Ava 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
27 HWANG Faith 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
28 HONG Ellie 100% 100% 90% 59% 22% 3%
29 LARSEN Ada 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
30 YOON Adeline 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
31 YOUN Caila 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
32 YAO Astrid 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
33 KIM EMMA 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.