Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, August 24, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Southern Connecticut State University (James Moore Fieldhouse) - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOORE Shomari A. - - - - 2% 18% 80%
2 ROSE-JONES Simon - - - 1% 17% 81%
3 DION Justin E. - - - - - 12% 87%
3 CHEN Leonardo - - 4% 17% 38% 34% 7%
5 XIA Dashan - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
6 FAICCO Joseph - 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
7 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel - - 2% 13% 35% 39% 11%
8 LIOU Solomon - - 1% 9% 31% 42% 15%
9 WU Jonathan - - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
10 SONG Troy - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
11 CAI Brian - - 2% 12% 35% 42% 9%
12 XIE Brandon - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
13 PIASIO Jack E. - 1% 8% 31% 45% 15%
15 MEHROTRA Neel 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
16 DOLMETSCH Max - - 1% 5% 25% 47% 22%
17 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
19 SU Caleb - - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
20 DOELEMAN zeno - 3% 16% 43% 38%
21 WANG justin - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
22 STELTENKAMP Neal 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
23 SERAFIN Ben - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
24 ZHANG William - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
25 LI Jade 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3% -
26 LEHR William D. - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
27 AHMED Mohsen 1% 11% 34% 40% 14% 1%
28 HU Robert J. - - 5% 27% 51% 16% -
29 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
30 ZHAI Junqi 11% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
31 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 2% 14% 37% 37% 11%
32 SINGLETON Aman 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
33 DOUBOV Andrew - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
34 MELCHER Jack H. - - - - 4% 30% 65%
35 ATKINS Levi H. - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
35 OSMAN Amjad - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
37 LIU Adam - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 9%
38 BOUDREAUX James - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
39 CHOI Paul S. - 1% 8% 27% 40% 21% 3%
40 ACAR Devin 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
41 GOON Tristan Yang 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
42 PAYNE Massimo - 5% 23% 41% 28% 2%
43 CHEN Allen - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
44 GUO Austin S. - - - 2% 16% 42% 40%
45 MARCHANT Albert J. - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
46 ZELIN Sam J. 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
47 MORI Seneca 4% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
48 ANAFI Ari - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9% 1%
49 SUN Lucas 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
50 O'HARROW Tristan C. - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
51 AYALA Jaime - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
52 RIM Eugene 1% 11% 32% 39% 16% 1%
53 GAO Victor 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
54 VYSOTSKIY Evan 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
56 FANG Hanning 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
57 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1%
58 LI Ryan 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
59 JENNINGS Adin - 1% 4% 18% 37% 33% 7%
60 HE Bronto 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
61 GOON Sin Tong 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
62 MA YIXING (Tiger) 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
63 SCHROEDER III Robert - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
64 OTTAVIANO Aaron 20% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
65 STEVENSON Ryan 1% 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
66 DOYON - VERDON William - - - 4% 31% 59% 6%
67 LIU Jeremiah W. - 4% 27% 48% 19% 2% -
68 PARKER Isaiah - 2% 11% 28% 36% 19% 4%
69 HELMY Richard 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
70 YU David 31% 41% 22% 5% 1% - -
71 BAI Brian 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
72 NALLICHERI Ayaan 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
73 ECKERT Kevin M. - 2% 11% 28% 37% 20% 1%
74 WU Jerry 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
75 ZHAO Pierce 6% 23% 35% 25% 10% 2% -
76 MCDONNELL Nathaniel 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
77 RUSSELL Edward - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
78 KELLEY Hayden 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1% -
79 HOWARD Jackson 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
80 GERSEN Jacob - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
81 JOYNER Braylon 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
82 SCAPICCHIO Stephen 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
83 YU Samuel 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
84 CHU Brandon A. - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
85 HENNESSY Levon 10% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
86 KAPLAN Maddox 4% 32% 41% 19% 4% - -
87 LEE Henry 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
88 WARD Kofi 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
89 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 2% 22% 41% 27% 7% 1% -
90 WU Matthew 7% 35% 38% 16% 3% - -
90 HEISLER Maxfield 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
92 NUTOVYCH David 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
93 WANG-SONG Evan 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% - -
94 KIM Zac 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
95 ZHANG Jonathan 2% 23% 47% 24% 4% - -
96 RVACHEV Michael 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
97 COETZEE Frans M. 11% 36% 37% 14% 2%
98 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 6% 29% 41% 21% 3%
99 LAWLOR Lee 32% 44% 20% 4% -
100 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
101 SUH Aiden 27% 45% 23% 5% - -
102 LI Ray 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
103 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 4% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
104 WANG Zhenhai 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
105 SMITH Troy H. - 4% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
106 MANITT Philip 10% 47% 35% 8% - - -
107 REELS Eric J. 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
108 MOSKOWITZ Martin - 6% 25% 40% 24% 6% -
109 BANNEN Nicholas 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
109 SONG Charlie 5% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1%
111 ATKINS Elan 66% 29% 5% - - - -
112 ALEXANDER Christopher 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
113 ZHANG GAVIN J 11% 44% 36% 8% 1% - -
114 PANAS Mason 62% 32% 5% - - - -
115 IANNO Alex 69% 28% 3% - - - -
115 ST.GEORGE Nicholas 41% 40% 16% 3% - - -
117 GREEN Logan 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.