Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, August 24, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Southern Connecticut State University (James Moore Fieldhouse) - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
2 ROSE-JONES Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
3 DION Justin E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 87%
3 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
5 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
6 FAICCO Joseph 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
7 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 11%
8 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 15%
9 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
10 SONG Troy 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
11 CAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 9%
12 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
13 PIASIO Jack E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
15 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
16 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 22%
17 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
19 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
20 DOELEMAN zeno 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
21 WANG justin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
22 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
23 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
24 ZHANG William 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
25 LI Jade 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3% -
26 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
27 AHMED Mohsen 100% 99% 88% 55% 15% 1%
28 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 17% -
29 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
30 ZHAI Junqi 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
31 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
32 SINGLETON Aman 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
33 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
34 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
35 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
35 OSMAN Amjad 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
37 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
38 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
39 CHOI Paul S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3%
40 ACAR Devin 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
41 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
42 PAYNE Massimo 100% 100% 94% 72% 30% 2%
43 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 31% 6%
44 GUO Austin S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
45 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
46 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
47 MORI Seneca 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
48 ANAFI Ari 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10% 1%
49 SUN Lucas 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
50 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
51 AYALA Jaime 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
52 RIM Eugene 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% 1%
53 GAO Victor 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
54 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
56 FANG Hanning 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7% -
57 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
58 LI Ryan 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
59 JENNINGS Adin 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 7%
60 HE Bronto 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
61 GOON Sin Tong 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
62 MA YIXING (Tiger) 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
63 SCHROEDER III Robert 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
64 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% - -
65 STEVENSON Ryan 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
66 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65% 6%
67 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 96% 69% 20% 2% -
68 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
69 HELMY Richard 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
70 YU David 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
71 BAI Brian 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
72 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
73 ECKERT Kevin M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 1%
74 WU Jerry 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
75 ZHAO Pierce 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
76 MCDONNELL Nathaniel 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
77 RUSSELL Edward 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
78 KELLEY Hayden 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
79 HOWARD Jackson 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2% -
80 GERSEN Jacob 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
81 JOYNER Braylon 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
82 SCAPICCHIO Stephen 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
83 YU Samuel 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
84 CHU Brandon A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 17% 3%
85 HENNESSY Levon 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
86 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 96% 64% 23% 4% - -
87 LEE Henry 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
88 WARD Kofi 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
89 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 98% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
90 WU Matthew 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% - -
90 HEISLER Maxfield 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
92 NUTOVYCH David 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
93 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
94 KIM Zac 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
95 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 98% 75% 28% 4% - -
96 RVACHEV Michael 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
97 COETZEE Frans M. 100% 89% 53% 16% 2%
98 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 94% 65% 25% 3%
99 LAWLOR Lee 100% 68% 24% 4% -
100 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
101 SUH Aiden 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
102 LI Ray 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
103 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
104 WANG Zhenhai 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
105 SMITH Troy H. 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 11% 1%
106 MANITT Philip 100% 90% 43% 8% - - -
107 REELS Eric J. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
108 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
109 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
109 SONG Charlie 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
111 ATKINS Elan 100% 34% 5% - - - -
112 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
113 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 89% 45% 8% 1% - -
114 PANAS Mason 100% 38% 6% - - - -
115 IANNO Alex 100% 31% 3% - - - -
115 ST.GEORGE Nicholas 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
117 GREEN Logan 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.