Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
2 SVERDLOV Seth - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
3 LAI Boden - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
6 MANN Jake R. - - - - 2% 20% 78%
7 MARTIN Mason - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
8 DURKIN Hudson - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
9 NORMILE Nicholas - - - 4% 29% 67%
10 ARAVIND Athreya - - - - 5% 29% 66%
11 PARKER Isaiah - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
12 SANTOS Antonio K. - 1% 6% 26% 44% 23%
13 REPIC Oliver - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
14 GAO Victor - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17% 1%
15 SOKOL Luke - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
16 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
17 BAJAJ Nakul - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
18 SANTOS Francisco M. - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
19 LYCHKO Maksym 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
20 WANG Tony - 6% 25% 40% 24% 5%
21 BRADSHAW Carter - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
22 CHEN Jayden - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 2%
23 CHEN Tianjun 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
24 SUH Aiden 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
25 LI Jade - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 3%
26 ACAR Devin - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
27 DOUBOV Andrew - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
28 TRAN Spencer - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
29 LIU Jeremiah W. 1% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
30 HELMY Richard 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
31 YIN Chujun - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
32 CUMMINGS Owen 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5%
33 WU Jerry - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
34 ZHAI Junqi 4% 21% 38% 29% 8% 1%
35 HE Bronto 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4% -
36 HEGLAND Grady 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
37 GOVOROV Alexander 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
38 AHMED Mohsen 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 6%
39 LIU Adam - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
40 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
41 HOWARD Jackson 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
43 MORI Seneca 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
44 ANAFI Ari - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 7%
45 KOGAN Yelisey L. 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
46 REGINA Julian 43% 42% 13% 1% - -
47 RIM Eugene - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
48 OTTAVIANO Aaron 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
49 CAFASSO Alexander - 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
50 CUELLAR Markus - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
51 GLUSHKOV David - 4% 21% 42% 30% 4%
52 STEVENS Owen 6% 29% 41% 20% 4% -
53 CHEN Edward 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
54 SOLARZ Arthur 2% 16% 39% 32% 10% 1%
55 PAN Anthony 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
56 XIA Dashan - - < 1% 2% 12% 38% 48%
57 ZHONG Lee 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
58 SUN Lucas 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
59 ROSIELLO Francesco 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
60 SALZBERG Austin 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
61 RATUSHNYI Georgii - 1% 5% 22% 41% 28% 3%
62 KAPLAN Maddox 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
63 AU Joshua 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
64 MECHREFE Anthony 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
65 SAVORETTI Pietro - 3% 17% 38% 35% 7%
66 ALEXANDER Christopher 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
67 ZHANG Jonathan 8% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1%
68 LAU LUCAS 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
69 MCMILLAN Jackson V. - 5% 24% 42% 26% 3%
70 NILSEN Mark 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
71 CHEMAKIN Maxim 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
72 THOMAS Ethan 31% 45% 20% 4% - -
73 EVANS Joseph 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
74 KIM Zac 24% 46% 24% 5% - -
75 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 16% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
76 ZHAO Pierce 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
77 YANG Alex 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
78 JOYNER Braylon 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
79 ZHENG Jason 1% 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
80 LIU George 18% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
81 HOOD Emery 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
82 LEE Kalvin 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
83 SONPAL Winslow 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
84 DU Yifan 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
85 LI Ryan 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
86 JUSTA Rivan 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
86 WAGNER Bennett 95% 5% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.