Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
2 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
6 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
7 MARTIN Mason 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31%
8 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
9 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
10 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
11 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
12 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
13 REPIC Oliver 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
14 GAO Victor 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18% 1%
15 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
16 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
17 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
18 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
19 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
20 WANG Tony 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
21 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
22 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 2%
23 CHEN Tianjun 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
24 SUH Aiden 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
25 LI Jade 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24% 3%
26 ACAR Devin 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
27 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
28 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
29 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
30 HELMY Richard 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
31 YIN Chujun 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
32 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
33 WU Jerry 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
34 ZHAI Junqi 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1%
35 HE Bronto 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
36 HEGLAND Grady 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
37 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
38 AHMED Mohsen 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
39 LIU Adam 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
40 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
41 HOWARD Jackson 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
43 MORI Seneca 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
44 ANAFI Ari 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
45 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
46 REGINA Julian 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
47 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
48 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
49 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
50 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
51 GLUSHKOV David 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 4%
52 STEVENS Owen 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% -
53 CHEN Edward 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
54 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
55 PAN Anthony 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
56 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
57 ZHONG Lee 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
58 SUN Lucas 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
59 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
60 SALZBERG Austin 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
61 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 3%
62 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
63 AU Joshua 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
64 MECHREFE Anthony 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
65 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 7%
66 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
67 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
68 LAU LUCAS 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% -
69 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 100% 94% 71% 29% 3%
70 NILSEN Mark 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
71 CHEMAKIN Maxim 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
72 THOMAS Ethan 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
73 EVANS Joseph 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% -
74 KIM Zac 100% 76% 30% 6% - -
75 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
76 ZHAO Pierce 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1%
77 YANG Alex 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
78 JOYNER Braylon 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
79 ZHENG Jason 100% 99% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
80 LIU George 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
81 HOOD Emery 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
82 LEE Kalvin 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
83 SONPAL Winslow 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
84 DU Yifan 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
85 LI Ryan 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
86 JUSTA Rivan 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
86 WAGNER Bennett 100% 5% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.