Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
3 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
3 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
5 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
6 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
7 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
8 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
9 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 9%
10 KABA Elias 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
11 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
12 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
13 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% -
14 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
15 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
16 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
17 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 21%
18 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 3%
19 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
20 CHEN Evan 100% 98% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
21 GAO Victor 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
22 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
23 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
24 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
25 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
26 CHEN Cameron 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 1% -
27 MORI Seneca 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
28 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
29 PAN Anthony 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
30 NILSEN Mark 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
31 HE Bronto 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
32 AGUIRRE Pablo 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
33 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
34 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
35 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
36 WU Matthew 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
37 LEE Henry 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
38 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
39 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
40 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2%
41 KUSACTAY Eric 100% 92% 62% 26% 5% -
42 MECHREFE Anthony 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
43 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
44 SUH Aiden 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
45 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
46 GLUSHKOV David 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
47 BHANDARE Veer 100% 99% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
48 LI Ray 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
49 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
50 PARIGIAN Alexander 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
51 MCGRATH Hogan 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
52 TUNG Charlie 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
53 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
53 HELMY Richard 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
55 THOMAS Andrew 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
56 LI Jade 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
57 LEVESQUE Gabriel 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
58 CZEPLA Andrew 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
59 NG Nico 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
60 AU Joshua 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
61 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
62 YU David 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
63 CHEN Aiden 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
64 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
65 MOZZER Nolan 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
66 BRESLAV Asher 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
67 WELCH Sebastian 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
68 GAO Ryan 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
69 KIM Zac 100% 96% 71% 27% 4% -
70 QI Bryan 100% 76% 30% 5% - -
71 WANG Marcus 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
72 ZHAO Pierce 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
73 LIU George 100% 90% 50% 15% 2% - -
74 ROBINSON Blake 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
75 LAU LUCAS 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
76 ROFINO Samuel 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% -
77 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
78 CHEN Jayden A 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
79 SKLAR Davida 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 4%
80 GIMBRERE Alexandre 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
81 HOOD Emery 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
82 BARTON Christian 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
83 ATKINS Elan 100% 68% 22% 4% - - -
84 TOMPA Paul 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
84 MOSHIER Calvin 100% 83% 38% 8% 1% - -
86 TANG Colin 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
87 JIANG Aidan 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
88 STEVENS Owen 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1%
89 LEE Ryan 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
90 THOMAS Ethan 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1% -
91 O'BRIEN Michael 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
92 JUSTA Rivan 100% 75% 29% 6% 1% - -
93 CHO Adrian 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.