Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
2 KHALIL Younis 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
3 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
3 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
5 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
6 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
7 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
8 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 8%
9 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 22%
9 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
11 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
12 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 15%
13 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
14 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
15 LI Morgan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
16 NG Nico 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
17 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
18 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 36%
19 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
20 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
21 LI Ryan 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
22 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
23 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
24 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
25 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 61%
26 SUH Aiden 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
27 BRESLAV Asher 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% -
28 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 8%
29 LI Ray 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
30 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
31 MOZZER Nolan 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9% -
32 THOMAS Andrew 100% 98% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
33 CHEN Cameron 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
34 CHAU Collin 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
35 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% < 1% -
36 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
37 CHEN Aiden 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
38 HE Yurui 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
39 PETINO Leonardo 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
40 CHEN Edward 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
41 SPALDING Elihu 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
41 GAO Ryan 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
43 QI Bryan 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1% -
44 LEE Henry 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33% 3%
45 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
46 MORI Seneca 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 28% 3%
47 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 2%
48 HOLCOMB Liam 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% -
49 TSIEN Richard 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5%
50 CHO Adrian 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
51 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 7%
52 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
53 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
54 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
55 OSHIMA Robert 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 3%
56 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
57 ERIKSEN Casey 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
58 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8% -
59 STEVENS Owen 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
60 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% 1%
61 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
62 HONG Ethen 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
63 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
64 MANN Daniel 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
65 NILSEN Mark 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
66 LEE Connor 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
67 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11% 1%
68 PAN Anthony 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
69 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 9%
70 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
71 PARIGIAN Alexander 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
72 KLOTS Theo 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
73 DATSON David 100% 94% 67% 27% 6% -
74 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
75 CHAVES Evan 100% 98% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
76 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
77 CZEPLA Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
78 ROBINSON Blake 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
78 LEE Joonseong 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 12%
80 TOMPA Paul 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
81 MCGRATH Hogan 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
82 LI Tyrese 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
83 ZHENG Jason 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
84 JOHNSON Dieko 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
85 TANG Colin 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
86 ALABI Azryl 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
87 SMALL Brayden 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
88 YAMAUCHI Corbin 100% 90% 50% 13% 2% -
89 TUNG Charlie 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
90 BARONE Anthony 100% 86% 45% 12% 2% -
91 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
92 CAO Gavin 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
93 LEE Harrison 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 3% -
94 AGUIRRE Pablo 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
95 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
96 LI Terence 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
97 SONPAL Winslow 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
98 KO Ethan 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
99 HANNA Alexander 100% 99% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
100 ATKINS Elan 100% 95% 65% 26% 5% - -
100 JOHNSON Lincoln 100% 72% 27% 5% - - -
102 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
103 SKLAR Davida 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
104 CIANCHETTA David 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% - -
105 MERHEJ Sean 100% 76% 29% 6% 1% - -
106 XIE Richard 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
107 KIM Remington 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 7%
108 ZHU Brady 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
109 EFFRON Silas 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
110 THOMAS Ethan 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
111 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
112 CHUKWU Mark 100% 69% 21% 3% - - -
113 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
114 LIU George 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
115 PROULX Nico 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% - -
116 WAGNER Bennett 100% 37% 6% - - - -
117 JIANG Aidan 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
118 DUNCAN John 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
119 KHAW-BRIOT Julien 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
120 LAVIN Ethan 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
121 GIMBRERE Alexandre 100% 79% 34% 8% 1% - -
122 O'BRIEN Michael 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
123 CHEN Jayden 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
124 RUDIGER George 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
125 SCIORRA Sante 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
126 MITTELMAN Maximilian 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
127 JUSTA Rivan 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
128 HAN Nathan 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% - -
129 HOLBROOK Silas 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
130 ANDERSON Connor 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
131 PREVOST Landon 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
132 MUNFORD Malik 100% 45% 8% 1% - -
133 ZHENG Yicheng Will 100% 59% 17% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.