Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOUBOV Andrew - - - - 6% 35% 59%
2 KIM Gene - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
3 KOGAN Yelisey L. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
3 TOWNSHEND Connor - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
5 LEE Aiden - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
6 ARZT Nicholas - - 3% 18% 40% 33% 6%
7 LIU Yueri - - - - 5% 31% 63%
8 ZHU Yiming - 1% 7% 24% 40% 25% 4%
9 AYOTTE James - - 3% 18% 47% 31%
10 CUMMINGS Owen - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
11 YI Nathan - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 30%
12 CHANEY Charles - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
13 KROPP Wesley - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
14 DILDA Griffin - - 1% 7% 30% 48% 15%
15 RAMEY Daylon - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
16 GUO Benjamin 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
17 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
18 ADDYSON Aidan - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
19 KIM Joshua - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
20 WANG Eason 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
21 YU Jason - - 3% 19% 47% 30%
22 BORAN Brooks 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
22 KONG Ethan 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
24 CHAN Kyle Si Tin - 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 4%
25 CUELLAR Markus - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 13%
26 CHAN Ian 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
27 LEECH Braedan - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 14%
28 NG Nico - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 17%
29 ROBERTS Phoenix - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
30 SAAD Peter 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
31 WANG Marcus - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 4%
32 YAO Ryan 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
33 ARMSTRONG TyLee - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
33 MARISI Gabriel - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 10%
35 PARKER Isaiah - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
36 HERDMAN Julian - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
37 LEE Benjamin - 1% 7% 26% 41% 22% 3%
37 LOPATIN Sergei 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
39 BENNETT Pierce 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
40 TSEN Mason 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
41 OSHIMA Robert - 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
42 BENUCCI Vincent 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
43 KONG Brandon - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
44 SUNKARA Vishnu - 2% 13% 34% 37% 12% 1%
45 KELLY Blair 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
45 LEE Henry - 1% 7% 24% 40% 25% 4%
47 HALE Bradley 1% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
48 SCORDINSKY Liam 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
49 KIM Daniel 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2% -
50 ALPSOY Emir 3% 18% 35% 30% 13% 3% -
51 KHAW-BRIOT Julien 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
52 JANKOVIC Ivan 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
53 PERI Mourya 14% 38% 35% 12% 1% -
54 YU Jeremy 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
55 GATEWOOD Michael 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
56 WILKERSON Tobias 2% 15% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
57 URIA Sullivan 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
58 HUDSON Declan 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
59 NILSEN Mark 1% 10% 32% 40% 15% 2%
60 BAYUS Oliver 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
61 CHONG Eden 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
62 STRAFFORD Andrew 1% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
63 OZBAY Alp 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
64 MCCABE Kian 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
65 KUBBA Sauvil 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
66 SAAD Noah 2% 14% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
67 SALLAI Abel 14% 38% 35% 12% 1% -
68 FEELY Benjamin 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
69 WEI Jayden 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
70 PARY Jean Pierre 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
71 PETROVSKI Kiril 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
72 DAVIS Kai 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
73 YAO Aiden 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
74 GALIOTE James 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
75 MASSIE Jay 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
76 BROSNAN Solomon 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
77 QI Bryan 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
78 PRABHU Srinish 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
79 SACKETT Gavin 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
80 BANG Dylan 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
81 STUKALO Egor 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
82 SCOTTODIMARCO James 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
83 MILLER Xavier 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
84 MILLER Balthazar 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
85 FENG Xinmin 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
86 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
87 CHOI Joshua 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
88 BATISTA Julian 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
89 CHIU Preston 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.