Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
2 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
3 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
5 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
6 ARZT Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39% 6%
7 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
8 ZHU Yiming 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
9 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 31%
10 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
11 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
12 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
13 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
14 DILDA Griffin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 15%
15 RAMEY Daylon 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 4%
16 GUO Benjamin 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
17 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
18 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12%
19 KIM Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
20 WANG Eason 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
21 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
22 BORAN Brooks 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
22 KONG Ethan 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
24 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
25 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
26 CHAN Ian 100% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
27 LEECH Braedan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
28 NG Nico 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
29 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 13%
30 SAAD Peter 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% - -
31 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
32 YAO Ryan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
33 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
33 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10%
35 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
36 HERDMAN Julian 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
37 LEE Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 3%
37 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
39 BENNETT Pierce 100% 95% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
40 TSEN Mason 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
41 OSHIMA Robert 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
42 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% 1%
43 KONG Brandon 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
44 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13% 1%
45 KELLY Blair 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
45 LEE Henry 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
47 HALE Bradley 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
48 SCORDINSKY Liam 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
49 KIM Daniel 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
50 ALPSOY Emir 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
51 KHAW-BRIOT Julien 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
52 JANKOVIC Ivan 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
53 PERI Mourya 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% -
54 YU Jeremy 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% 1%
55 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
56 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
57 URIA Sullivan 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
58 HUDSON Declan 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
59 NILSEN Mark 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% 2%
60 BAYUS Oliver 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
61 CHONG Eden 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% - -
62 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 99% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
63 OZBAY Alp 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
64 MCCABE Kian 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2% -
65 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
66 SAAD Noah 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
67 SALLAI Abel 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% -
68 FEELY Benjamin 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
69 WEI Jayden 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
70 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 3% -
71 PETROVSKI Kiril 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
72 DAVIS Kai 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
73 YAO Aiden 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
74 GALIOTE James 100% 80% 38% 8% 1% -
75 MASSIE Jay 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
76 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
77 QI Bryan 100% 82% 46% 15% 3% - -
78 PRABHU Srinish 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
79 SACKETT Gavin 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
80 BANG Dylan 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
81 STUKALO Egor 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
82 SCOTTODIMARCO James 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
83 MILLER Xavier 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
84 MILLER Balthazar 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
85 FENG Xinmin 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
86 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
87 CHOI Joshua 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
88 BATISTA Julian 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
89 CHIU Preston 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.