Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Épée

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OLELE Ifechi - - - - 10% 89%
2 ZHANG Ashley - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
3 FAN Joy - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
3 WU Evelyn - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
5 CHOI Arianna - - - - 3% 25% 71%
6 YANG Hannah - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
7 LAI Juliet - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
8 SUN Milly - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
9 LI Allison - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
10 CHALLAMEL Heloise - 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3%
11 MOKRETSOV Leah - - - 2% 14% 45% 39%
12 JUBILEE Beata - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
14 FAYEZ Malika - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
15 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka - 1% 8% 31% 41% 17% 2%
16 CHEN Laila - 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 9%
17 VILLER Alice - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
18 SIU Mila - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 5%
19 LI Anna - - - - 4% 30% 66%
20 KIM Kate - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
21 YIN Elaine - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
22 HAN Emma - - - 5% 25% 47% 22%
23 XI Emily - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
23 ZHAO Rachel - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
25 DEFENSOR Ella - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
26 MEGGERS Arya 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
27 KIM Abigail - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
28 KIM Charlotte - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
29 QI Chelsie - - 2% 13% 36% 41% 9%
30 NEGRUT Sabina 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
31 BOVKUN-GRYTSENCKO Laura - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
32 YU Chloe - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
33 RAJ Indra - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
34 GOFMAN Anastasia - - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
35 LEE Zoe - 3% 25% 48% 22% 1%
36 MAO Faith - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16% 1%
37 XU Aasta - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
38 LI Ariel - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 17%
39 CHANEY Evelyn - 1% 7% 22% 35% 28% 8%
40 WANG Hailie - 1% 5% 19% 40% 32% 4%
41 BOUTSIKARIS Asha - - 5% 24% 40% 25% 5%
42 TANG Jacquelyn 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
43 BUNCH Helena 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 2%
44 WANG Emily 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
45 YOUNG Penelope - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
46 LEE Nicole - 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
47 ZHU YUNXI 2% 10% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
48 CHEN Reina 3% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1%
49 HE Joyce - 4% 20% 37% 30% 8% -
50 CHOI Elina - 6% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
51 ILYAS Daanya - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
52 XU Yunshu 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
53 CHANG Hannah - 1% 12% 42% 43% 3%
54 KIM Lina 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
55 CHOI Noah 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
56 MERHEJ Liv 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
56 URICHECK Julianna 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
58 LIU Brinley - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
59 PARKE Jaime - 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
60 DARMAWAN Thea 18% 45% 29% 7% 1% - -
61 HONG Catherine - 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 3%
62 GURTIN Sasha 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
63 AINSWORTH Esme - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
63 QIN Olivia 5% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
65 YANG Arianna - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
67 TUMULA Anima 6% 32% 41% 18% 3% - -
68 VILLER Gabriella 4% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
69 KWON Allison - 4% 21% 41% 27% 6% -
69 BEREKNYEI Sophia 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
71 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
72 MU Jasmine 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4% -
73 CHEN Emily 6% 29% 39% 20% 5% 1% -
74 CHONG Emma 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
75 ZHANG Grace 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
76 CHUNG Yenna 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% -
77 CHAN Faith Sum Yin 2% 16% 46% 30% 6% -
78 ERATA Selena 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
79 WANG Jenny wang 5% 30% 42% 19% 4% - -
80 GROMOVA Vlada 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
81 SALIBA Madison 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
81 WEBB Ensley 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
83 SHEN Sophia 4% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
84 LIU sienna 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
85 PATEL Agena 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
86 MACAL Zoey 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
87 YOON Michelle 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
88 WILKERSON Annaliese 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
89 LUO MAOSHUEN 39% 41% 17% 3% - -
90 VAZIRANI Jiya 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
91 ZHAO Crystal 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
92 JANG Daniella 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
93 WORTENDYKE Evelyn 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
94 XU Alivia 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3% -
94 ADLER Anneliese 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
96 RYU Natalee - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
97 WANG Katherine 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
97 BIRZ Vivi 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
97 PATEL Aria - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
100 SONDHI Maahi 5% 33% 38% 18% 5% 1% -
101 COONEY Kyla 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
102 LEE Zerah 4% 23% 44% 25% 5% - -
103 SADOFSKY Millie 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
104 WANG Bojun 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
105 YU sage 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
106 LIU Sophie Wei 12% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
107 CHOI Serine 26% 52% 19% 2% - -
108 YOU Nina - 3% 19% 40% 28% 8% 1%
109 JOSE EVA 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
110 BEDNAR Clara 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
111 WILKERSON Katherine 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
112 PARIZAT Maya 46% 44% 10% 1% - -
113 MOON Leah 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
114 LEE JiWon 50% 37% 11% 2% - - -
115 ZHENG Helen 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
117 LOUVOT Chloe 70% 27% 3% - - - -
117 YULO Jamie 59% 34% 7% - - - -
117 COSTLOW Alexandra 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.