Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Épée

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
2 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
3 FAN Joy 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
3 WU Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
5 CHOI Arianna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
6 YANG Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
7 LAI Juliet 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
8 SUN Milly 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
9 LI Allison 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
10 CHALLAMEL Heloise 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
11 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
12 JUBILEE Beata 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
14 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
15 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19% 2%
16 CHEN Laila 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
17 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
18 SIU Mila 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
19 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
20 KIM Kate 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
21 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
22 HAN Emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 22%
23 XI Emily 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
23 ZHAO Rachel 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
25 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
26 MEGGERS Arya 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
27 KIM Abigail 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
28 KIM Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
29 QI Chelsie 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 9%
30 NEGRUT Sabina 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
31 BOVKUN-GRYTSENCKO Laura 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
32 YU Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
33 RAJ Indra 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
34 GOFMAN Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
35 LEE Zoe 100% 100% 96% 72% 23% 1%
36 MAO Faith 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 1%
37 XU Aasta 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
38 LI Ariel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 17%
39 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
40 WANG Hailie 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 4%
41 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
42 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
43 BUNCH Helena 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
44 WANG Emily 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
45 YOUNG Penelope 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
46 LEE Nicole 100% 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
47 ZHU YUNXI 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 10% 1%
48 CHEN Reina 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
49 HE Joyce 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8% -
50 CHOI Elina 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
51 ILYAS Daanya 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
52 XU Yunshu 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
53 CHANG Hannah 100% 100% 99% 87% 45% 3%
54 KIM Lina 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
55 CHOI Noah 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
56 MERHEJ Liv 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
56 URICHECK Julianna 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 2%
58 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
59 PARKE Jaime 100% 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 3%
60 DARMAWAN Thea 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -
61 HONG Catherine 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
62 GURTIN Sasha 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
63 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
63 QIN Olivia 100% 95% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
65 YANG Arianna 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
67 TUMULA Anima 100% 94% 62% 21% 3% - -
68 VILLER Gabriella 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
69 KWON Allison 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 7% -
69 BEREKNYEI Sophia 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
71 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
72 MU Jasmine 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4% -
73 CHEN Emily 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% 1% -
74 CHONG Emma 100% 99% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1%
75 ZHANG Grace 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
76 CHUNG Yenna 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% -
77 CHAN Faith Sum Yin 100% 98% 82% 36% 6% -
78 ERATA Selena 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
79 WANG Jenny wang 100% 95% 65% 23% 4% - -
80 GROMOVA Vlada 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
81 SALIBA Madison 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
81 WEBB Ensley 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
83 SHEN Sophia 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
84 LIU sienna 100% 96% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
85 PATEL Agena 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
86 MACAL Zoey 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 5% -
87 YOON Michelle 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% - -
88 WILKERSON Annaliese 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
89 LUO MAOSHUEN 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
90 VAZIRANI Jiya 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
91 ZHAO Crystal 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
92 JANG Daniella 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
93 WORTENDYKE Evelyn 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
94 XU Alivia 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
94 ADLER Anneliese 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
96 RYU Natalee 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
97 WANG Katherine 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
97 BIRZ Vivi 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
97 PATEL Aria 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
100 SONDHI Maahi 100% 95% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
101 COONEY Kyla 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
102 LEE Zerah 100% 96% 74% 30% 5% - -
103 SADOFSKY Millie 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
104 WANG Bojun 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
105 YU sage 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
106 LIU Sophie Wei 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
107 CHOI Serine 100% 74% 22% 2% - -
108 YOU Nina 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 8% 1%
109 JOSE EVA 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
110 BEDNAR Clara 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
111 WILKERSON Katherine 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
112 PARIZAT Maya 100% 54% 10% 1% - -
113 MOON Leah 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
114 LEE JiWon 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
115 ZHENG Helen 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
117 LOUVOT Chloe 100% 30% 4% - - - -
117 YULO Jamie 100% 41% 7% - - - -
117 COSTLOW Alexandra 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.