Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander - - - - 3% 25% 72%
2 ARMSTRONG Payson - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
3 MOSLEY Wally - - 1% 10% 38% 52%
3 TANG Daniel - - - 2% 13% 38% 47%
5 KARYUCHENKO Yehor - - - - 1% 17% 81%
6 YAO Ryan - - - 4% 18% 40% 37%
7 ZHANG Aiden - 2% 12% 32% 39% 16%
8 ZHANG Chaoyi（Joey） - - - 4% 18% 40% 37%
9 KROPP Wesley - - - - 4% 27% 69%
10 CHEN Aiden - - - 1% 11% 41% 46%
11 YOO Lucas - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
12 PURCELL Jonathan - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
13 ZHUKOV Egor - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 7%
14 JIN Noah - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
15 KUYKENDALL Lucas 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
16 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
17 ZHOU Luke - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
18 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
19 KO Ethan 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
20 GEVA Reuben - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
21 WU MiEr - - - 2% 12% 38% 47%
22 FANG Charlie - 3% 17% 39% 34% 7%
23 WU James 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
24 CHIANG William - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
25 KIM Brendan 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
26 NOOL Aaron - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
27 YAO Aiden - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
28 MASKIN Mikhail - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
29 LANE Sawyer - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
30 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 1% 6% 18% 33% 31% 11%
30 CHEN Evan - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
32 YOU Asher - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
33 LEE Leo - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
34 KICIMAN Louis 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
35 SCHLUBACH Jasper 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
36 JEONG Joseph - 1% 8% 28% 42% 19% 3%
37 ZHENG Jasper - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
38 DAI Jason - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
39 CAREY John - 1% 10% 29% 38% 20% 2%
40 ZINCHUK Yuri 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
41 PARK Ethan - - 1% 7% 29% 46% 17%
42 KUYKENDALL Logan - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 1%
43 KOVAC Blake - 1% 7% 26% 41% 23% 2%
44 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas - 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 2%
45 LEE Taeryum 1% 13% 36% 36% 13% 1%
46 MBERIA Henry - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
47 CHEN Hayden - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
48 LAI Jayden - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
49 YOU Emmanuel 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
50 FEELY Samuel 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 12% 1%
51 MAURAIS JP 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
52 YOON Jonathan 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
53 ZHAO Brandon 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 3%
53 PATEL Yash 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
55 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
56 KIM Siwoo - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
57 KRAVCHENKO Philip 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
58 KIM Ian - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 2%
59 LIU Alrik SiWei 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
60 TANG Jayce 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
60 MAXWELL Taiga 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
60 YU Rex 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
63 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
64 SHULL Matthias 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
65 MA Joseph - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
66 LAI Jaxon 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
67 ZHOU Silvan 10% 29% 33% 20% 6% 1% -
68 LU Shawn - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
69 FAYEZ Adam - 2% 14% 33% 35% 15% 1%
70 IVANOV Andrew - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
71 XU Yunfei(Dorian) 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
72 ZHAO ryan - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
73 HONG Evan - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
74 LIU YULIN 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
75 YAN Milan - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
76 FERNANDEZ Chenxing - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
76 BHATT Shivam 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% - -
78 YU Luca 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
79 SON Isaac 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
80 CHU Joe 11% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
81 LUO Sebastian 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
82 KO Caden 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
83 LEUNG Joon - 4% 20% 37% 29% 8%
84 MORET Declan 53% 36% 9% 1% - -
85 MURPHY-MIMS Connor 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
86 LIM Shane 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
87 PINCIROLI Tommaso 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
89 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
90 CHEN Regis 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
91 JIN Jacob - 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
92 YUAN Leonardo 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
93 GOOD Adam 12% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
94 OLELE Chibuikem 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
95 CARPENTER Taisei 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
96 CHA Aiden 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 12% 2%
97 ROCHE Theodore 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
98 CHEN Zachary 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
99 VAN RIET Matteo - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% -
99 AGRAWAL Ariv 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
101 FILKOV Timur 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
102 HWANG Chase 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
103 GEIDE Silas 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
104 NOCON Garrison 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
105 ANDREWS Elliott 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
106 DANA Miles 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
107 HOHMAN Elias 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
108 THOMSON Piers 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
109 YANG JULIAN 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
110 JIANG Adam - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
111 LEE Derek 7% 37% 38% 15% 2% -
112 MOY Taiyo 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
113 XI Eric 3% 19% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
114 KAZA Avyaan 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
115 RIVKIN Asher 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
116 NG Remy - 4% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
116 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
118 ZHU David 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
119 CAVALLARO Xavier 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
120 QU ethan 26% 44% 24% 5% - -
121 CHEUNG Daniel 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
122 ALI Akash 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
122 HWANG Christopher 37% 42% 17% 4% - - -
124 LAW Benjamin 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
125 CANONACO Maddox 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
126 ABEZGAUZ Ariel 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
127 YERRAMSETTY Tejas 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
128 GREEN Hudson 60% 34% 6% 1% - -
129 WILSON Henry 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
130 TANG David 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1%
131 YANG Sean 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
132 SALIBA Jackson 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
133 PETTYPIECE-FIELDS Graham 40% 42% 16% 3% - - -
134 GAO Kevin 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
135 CHONG Nikolai 65% 29% 5% - - - -
136 WENDLING Andrew 35% 43% 18% 4% - -
137 SADLER Leon 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.