October NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Monday, October 15, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Milwaukee, WI - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NGUYEN Ethan D. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 10%
2 VINNITCHOUK Ted 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
3 SHIFRON Daniel A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
3 ZHAO Howard 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
5 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
6 MA Ark 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
7 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 6%
8 BODON Michele I. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
9 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
10 GAIDAR Daniel B. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
11 CHA Russell W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
12 LI Jason Man Kit 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
13 MILAM Hugh 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12% 1%
14 BRUNET Nathan 100% 97% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
15 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 99% 95% 79% 50% 19% 3%
16 WANG Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
17 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
18 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
19 LEI Joshua 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
20 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
21 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
22 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
23 KIM Ethan S. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
24 DEGUCHI Nicolas 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
25 ANDROSYUK Alexander 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
26 KOZLOWSKI Matthew K. 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
26 YAN yuheng 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
28 RUSSANOV Boris J. 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
29 DAO Matthew M. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
30 XIAN Riley 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
31 REID Avo 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
32 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
33 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 6%
34 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
35 MALIASSOV Nikita S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
36 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
37 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
38 LEIGH David A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
39 LEI Jacob 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 1%
40 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
41 SHINE Peter C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
42 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
43 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
44 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
45 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
46 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
47 KANG Michael H. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
48 SHIN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
49 JIA Chengming J. 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
50 LEVY Zachari I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
50 TOPAZ Nicholas 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
52 GUI Runlin 100% 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
53 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
54 ZHU Wilson 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 8%
55 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
56 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
57 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 5%
58 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
59 MU Lejia 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
60 SHARMA Sanil 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
61 LENDER David 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
62 TAE William G. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
63 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
64 HANXU Richard A. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
65 KAMBESELES Jack M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
66 ZHENG Hagen 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
67 WOZNIAK David 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
68 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27% 4%
70 XIAN Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
71 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
72 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
72 LI Brian X 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
74 LEE Aaron Y. 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
75 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
75 LESPERANCE Lucas 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1% -
77 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
78 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
79 SZABO Benedek H. 100% 98% 86% 60% 29% 8% 1%
80 KELSEY Ryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
81 MUN Michael K. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
82 ROY Joseph T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
83 JEONG Connor 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
84 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
85 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
86 MIRANDA Matteo 100% 100% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
87 KASTENBERG Leo M. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
88 TIAN Kevin 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% 1%
89 ANDERSON Elias W. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
90 PADHYE Siddhant 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
91 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
92 ATANAS Matthew M. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
93 YOON Nathan 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
94 KEHOE James E. 100% 87% 45% 13% 2% - -
95 HUGHES Levi H. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
96 SZABO Domonkos 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
97 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
98 KIM Minjun 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
99 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 5%
100 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 4% -
101 PIEKARSKI John P. 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
102 JUSCINSKI Michal 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
103 LEVITT Nicholas M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
104 LIM Timothy D. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
105 KRONROD Tal 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
106 CARVALHO Daniel S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20% 2%
107 KIM Ethan J. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
107 GLECKNER Aidan 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
109 LEE Wesley Y. 100% 91% 54% 17% 3% - -
110 LIU Zachary 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
111 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
112 BALAJI Tharoon N. 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
113 SHOURIE Jai 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
114 DEO Ameya 100% 85% 37% 7% 1% - -
115 YAO Michael 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
116 RAWSON Nicholas 100% 94% 67% 25% 4% -
117 KOKENGE Clark 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
118 LIANG Aaron 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
119 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 5% -
120 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
121 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
122 ALAIMO Charles 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 1%
123 CAPELLUA Tommaso 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
124 PARKER Riley D. 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% - -
126 MIELE Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 2%
126 PAK Charles 100% 82% 44% 15% 3% - -
128 BRENNAN Charles F. 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
129 UKOLOV Dimitri 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
130 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
130 HU Matthew 100% 84% 48% 17% 4% - -
130 ZHANG zhiyin 100% 96% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
133 MOSES Alexander 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
134 BYNAGARI Niketh 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
135 JOO Benjamin 100% 23% 2% - - - -
136 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 4%
137 FRANCO-TENTIOUK Christopher J. 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
138 HOWELL Thomas A. 100% 97% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
139 MAAS Sean H. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
140 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. 100% 99% 87% 51% 9% 1% -
141 SHUR Yakov C. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% 1%
142 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 59% 13% 1% - - -
143 OH Matthew M. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
144 WISNIEWSKI Bart 100% 25% 3% - - - -
145 XIANG HONGYI 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
146 WONG Joshua 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.