March NAC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Monday, March 9, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
2 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
5 MITTELSTAEDT Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
6 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
7 DENG Destin 100% 97% 78% 37% 6%
8 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
9 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
10 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 11%
11 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
12 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
13 LEWIS Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 19%
14 SHEYDIN Barry 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
15 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
16 LEE Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
17 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
18 KIM Leejay 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22% 2%
19 GUNDUBOGULA Saket 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
20 FONG Kobe 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
21 GORDEEV Peter 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 19%
22 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
23 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
24 LIU Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
25 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
27 SCORDINSKY Liam 100% 97% 75% 33% 5%
28 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 100% 99% 90% 47%
29 SAAD Peter 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
30 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
31 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
32 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
33 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
34 WU Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
35 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
36 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
37 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 13%
38 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
39 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 3%
40 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
41 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
42 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
43 FREEMAN Jake Matthew 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
44 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
45 PENG Ethan 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
46 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
47 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 22%
48 BACON Corban 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
49 MOU Jaydon 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
50 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
51 LAU LUCAS 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
52 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
53 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
54 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
55 PARRA Lucas 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
56 HUA Nolan 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
57 SU Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
58 TANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
59 LEUNG Dylan 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
60 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 100% 92% 62% 22% 2%
60 WU MiEr 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
62 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
63 BHANDARE Veer 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
64 ROFINO Samuel 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
65 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
66 WANG Devin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
67 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 4%
68 GRIGGS Kaiden 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
69 CHO Alex 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
70 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
71 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 100% 98% 77% 25%
72 WANG Marcus 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
73 LI Grayson 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
74 DING Max 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
75 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 6%
76 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
77 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
78 LIU Austin 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
79 PETERS Keane 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
80 WANG Juehan 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
81 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 92% 58% 18% 1%
82 TANG Michael 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
83 HUANG Max 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
84 BORAN Brooks 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
85 NOOL Alexander 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
86 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
87 HANTOV Adrian 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
88 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 99% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
89 HERDMAN Julian 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
90 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
91 CHEN Anderson 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% -
92 CHIANG William 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
92 RAMIREZ Hunter 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% 1%
94 LEE Daniel 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
95 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
96 ZAGRAN Ivan 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
97 RICHMOND Ozan 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
98 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
99 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
100 MYRAH Devin 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
101 NG Nico 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 11%
102 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
103 FANG Charlie 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
104 DANILOV Artur 100% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
105 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 8%
106 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
107 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5%
108 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
109 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
110 MA Nolan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 1%
111 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
112 PERRY Noah 100% 97% 58% 13% 1%
113 TUNG Charlie 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
114 CHEN Christopher 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
115 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
116 KIM Doyun 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
117 GOODMAN Liam 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
118 GUO Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
119 YUN Nicholas 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% 1% -
120 KABA Elias 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 18%
120 THOMAS Andrew 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
122 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 8%
123 PURCELL Jonathan 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
124 KONG Ethan 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
125 SHOURIE Neel 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
126 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 5%
127 YANG Julian 100% 97% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
128 YAO Aiden 100% 99% 84% 46% 12% 1%
129 WANG Eason 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
130 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
131 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
132 JU Shang 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
133 GAO Ryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
134 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
135 BANG Dylan 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
136 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
137 LIN Bryan 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
138 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
139 FU Benjamin 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
139 CHONG Eden 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
141 LI Jayden 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% - -
142 LEE James K. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
143 WONG Kyle 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% 1%
144 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
145 JIN Noah 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
146 KO Ethan 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
147 FRANK Luke 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% - -
148 SHOURIE Seth 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
149 OR Anson 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
150 YOON Ian 100% 68% 24% 4% -
151 ZENG Felix 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1% -
152 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
153 RAMIREZ Tristan 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
154 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
155 SZETO Zachary 100% 96% 67% 24% 4% -
156 XUE Michael 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
156 YIM Antonio 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% -
158 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
158 QU ethan 100% 38% 6% - - -
160 FUNG SCOTT 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
161 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 80% 36% 7% 1% -
162 LIU Andrew 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
163 LIN Edison 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
164 ATKINS Elan 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
166 LEE Leo 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
167 WANG Suian (Andy) 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
168 SI Anderson 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
169 CHAN Ian 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6% -
170 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
171 KICIMAN Leo 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
172 GEVA Reuben 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8% -
172 HARE Sullivan 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
172 LI Andy 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% -
172 TOMPA Paul 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
176 QUEENER, IV Henry 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
177 CHEN Hayden 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
178 ZHANG Aiden 100% 98% 75% 34% 7% -
179 KLOTS Theo 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
180 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
181 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
181 SCOTTODIMARCO James 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
181 DANG William 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
184 NICHOLAS Miles 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
185 LIU Yihong 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
186 LIU Xuyao 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
187 RUDIGER George 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
187 SHARMA Aniket 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
189 KHALID Ilyas 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
190 LEE Ryan 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
191 LIN John 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
192 DOAN Christopher 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
192 KICIMAN Louis 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
192 YUN Mason 100% 90% 54% 19% 4% - -
195 MITTELSTAEDT EJ 100% 81% 33% 7% 1% - -
196 ANDERSON Connor 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
197 SLAVIN Tamir 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
199 ZHENG Jasper 100% 98% 65% 17% 1%
200 ZHANG Luqi 100% 97% 78% 36% 4%
201 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 56% 15% 2% -
202 KIM Daniel 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
203 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
204 CHAN Nathan 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
205 MUELLER Travis 100% 40% 6% - - -
206 KNYSH IURII 100% 88% 50% 13% 2% -
207 TANG Luke 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
208 YIN Justin 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
209 TIAN Dylan 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
210 WANG Mason 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
211 WU Nathan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
212 MA Joseph 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
213 STEPANIAN George 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
214 SOMANI Ilyaa 100% 75% 29% 6% 1% - -
215 ZHAO Brandon 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
216 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
216 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
218 MBERIA Henry 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
219 JONES Gideon 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
220 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
221 KIM Siwoo 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
222 ZHANG Jacob 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
223 SUN Jerry 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
224 LAI Jaxon 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
225 WU Jiachen 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
226 LIU Maximilian 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
227 YU Rex 100% 71% 25% 4% - -
228 PARK Ethan 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
229 DOGRUOZ Kuzey 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
230 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% - -
231 LU Ian 100% 91% 56% 17% 2%
231 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 88% 51% 13% 1%
233 ZALPURI Zorin 100% 87% 38% 8% 1% -
234 CAREY John 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
235 BUTLER Xavier 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
236 KIM Aiden 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
237 YOU Emmanuel 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
238 LI Guanhua 100% 70% 24% 4% - -
238 ORTMANN Noah 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
242 YAO Irvine 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
243 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
244 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 13% 1% - -
245 GAYNER Matthew 100% 32% 4% - - - -
246 LAM Brandon 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
247 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
247 GREGORY Milo 100% 64% 18% 2% - - -
247 ZHOU Scott 100% 20% 2% - - -
250 GUO Jonathan 100% 95% 61% 20% 3% -
251 KIM Brendan 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
252 CHAN Aiden 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.