USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I Men's Épée

Friday, June 28, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSINIS Alexander E. - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
2 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
3 NOLLNER Dylan - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
3 YOO Justin H. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
5 PRYOR Jason A. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
6 GRIFFITHS Ryan - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
7 SCHUMACHER Cooper (Shoey) J. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 22%
8 SHINHOLSTER Michael J. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
9 HADZIC Alen - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
10 KRAFT Dennis A. - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
11 TAFOYA Devin D. - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
12 RAMIREZ Yeisser - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
13 GRAMS Steven - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 3%
14 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - - - 3% 14% 39% 44%
15 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 23%
16 POPOVICI Michael A. 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
17 SMITH Dwight 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 11% 2%
18 WHITE Sean - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
19 BISSINGER Michael P. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
20 POST Jason - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7%
21 LAWSON Nicholas W. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 3%
22 BEKKER Samuel - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
23 NGUYEN Ethan D. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 7%
24 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
25 SHERRILL Edward R. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
26 KUMASHI Mihir R. 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
27 THOMPSON Soren - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 23%
28 VINNITCHOUK Theodore 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
29 GUINAN Joseph 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
30 MILLER Finn S. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
31 ZHU Wilson 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
32 LAURON Sean M. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
33 BRATTON Benjamin E. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
34 ZUCKER Noah L. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
35 HERBST Isaac L. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
36 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 24%
37 SANDERS Ian W. - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
38 CANDREVA Hunter R. 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
39 XU Timothy (Tingwei) - 1% 5% 21% 40% 31% 2%
40 TOLKACHEV Denis - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
41 HILBERT Xavier 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
42 DAROIAN Emon 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
43 COMES Matthew J. - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
44 WHITE Khristopher E. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
45 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
46 VERMEULE Spencer 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
47 SHINDLER Oliver P. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
48 HADDAD Justin R. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
49 ZACHARAKIS Darius K. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% 1%
50 MILAM Hugh - 3% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2%
51 ELASHRY Zeyad A. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
52 DOLGONOS Mark 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
53 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
54 MECHKOV Iliya 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
55 HOLTZ Donovan K. 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
56 PETROLL Jared P. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
57 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6%
58 WIEDER Benjamin (Ben) J. 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
59 MARAKOV Allen B. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
60 NORTH Gary S. 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
60 POPOVICI Stefan N. 3% 15% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
62 KIM Derek D. 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
63 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
63 RA Jr. Daniel M. 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
65 CARNAHAN Garrett M. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
66 LEE Aaron Y. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
67 WEISS Miles J. - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 5%
68 MACZIK Adam W. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
69 SHUGART Henry R. 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
70 BRADFORD Jack M. 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
70 YU Colin - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
70 FAUBERT Andy C. - 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 5%
73 CARPENTER Liam - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
74 SHIFRON Daniel A. 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6%
75 CAMPBELL Daniel R. 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
76 ZHANG Matthew 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
77 MA Ark 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
78 LEI Joshua - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
79 ZHAO Howard - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
80 SZAPARY Tristan B. - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
81 GUO Austin S. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
82 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
83 MECKE Cedric - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
84 KHAYAT Ziad N. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
85 HANSEN Jonas B. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
86 SPIER Julian H. - 4% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
87 WEISS Lewis E. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
88 DUNCAN Corwin - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
88 MALYSZ Anthony J. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
90 PROCTOR Oliver L. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
91 SPITERI Gareth J. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
92 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
93 SILVER Cameron 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
94 DINKINS Ramadan 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1%
95 GERAGHTY Michael P. 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
96 VAYSBERG Nathan - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
97 WANG Nathan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
98 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
99 MERCHANT Reza H. 2% 11% 28% 35% 21% 5%
100 KUSHNERIK Ethan 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
101 LEE Ryan 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
102 ZMYSLOWSKI Maciek A. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
103 IYOKI Kent 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
104 GHAZALEH Thomas Xavier 1% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
105 FRANK Timmy 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 10% 2%
105 SHIN Sung (Andy) - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
107 CHMUT Anton - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
107 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
109 YAMANAKA Mick 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
110 GAIDAR Daniel B. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
111 WERRELL Jack - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
112 JEONG Connor 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
113 VAG-URMINSKY Paul F. - 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
113 SMOAK Omari Z. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
113 WILLIANSYAH ANGGI 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
116 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
117 YERGLER Jonathan A. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
118 RUSSANOV Boris J. 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
119 LEIGH David A. 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
120 LIVERANT Skyler J. - 2% 10% 24% 34% 24% 7%
121 VOLKMANN Daniel R. - 5% 18% 34% 32% 12%
122 ZACHARAKIS Demetri K. 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
123 KUMAR Anitya 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
124 BREWER Andrew K. 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
125 HONDOR Robert D. 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1% -
126 KIM Ethan J. 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
126 BURTON Patrick 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
128 SHIN Joshua - 2% 10% 26% 35% 21% 5%
129 KOCH Samuel - 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 9%
131 MUN Michael K. 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
131 RAYLE Evan K. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
133 DAVIS Matthew D. 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
134 SANTOS Cameron A. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
134 KIM Juni C. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
136 CORBAN Michael Y. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
137 MUNLIN Donovan - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
138 LEE Timothy S. 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
138 ARMSTRONG James G. 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
140 WESTEN Zachary (Zack) C. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
141 ZHANG Joshua 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
142 CHA Russell W. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
143 WANG Kevin de-tai 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
144 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
145 JONES Simon A. 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
145 SHENG Patrick Y. 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
147 RUSSANOV Dennis 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
148 ZHANG YuJian 1% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
149 STEELE DeMario A. 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
150 GRABER Andrew J. 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
151 LI Jesse 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
152 CANDELA Nicholas - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
153 WAHYU MUHAMMAD DWI 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
154 DIXON Samuel 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
155 XU Zitong (Evan) 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
155 MU Lejia 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
157 ZHANG Eric 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
158 ELLIS Yehia S. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
158 LEE Woosuk 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% -
160 WOLF Myles J. 7% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1% -
161 SUVOROV Yuly 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 3% -
162 LIWSKI Guido 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 10% 1%
163 SMITH Justin C. 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
164 FULLERTON Houston T. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
165 IVE Isaac L. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
165 FAYEZ Sherif 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
167 ZHENG Hagen 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
168 SMITH William K. 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
169 CAI Kevin P. 8% 29% 37% 20% 6% 1% -
170 CHIN Ethan 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
171 SODERBERG Alex Z. 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
172 GANA Thomas A. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
173 JOHNSON Lucas W. 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
174 XIAN Riley 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
175 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
175 HARYANA MUHAMMAD INDRA 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
177 UKOLOV Dimitri 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
178 MADISON Ethan S. 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
178 MARCHANT Albert J. 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
178 SMITH Nicholas S. 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
181 INSLER Gabriel C. 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
181 BODON Michele I. 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
181 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
184 PELLEGRINO Maurício 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
185 BENACK Steven M. - 4% 16% 30% 31% 15% 3%
185 YI Kyle 7% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
185 BARREIRO Darren 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
188 KIM Ethan S. 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
189 PLUMER Jack E. 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
190 TOPAZ Nicholas 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
191 LI Jason Man Kit 12% 35% 33% 15% 4% - -
192 HANXU Richard A. 16% 35% 31% 14% 4% - -
193 TABLEMAN Doug S. 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
194 KAMBESELES Peter G. 6% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1%
195 STOTT Donovan R. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
195 XIAN Ryan 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
197 MOORE Shomari A. < 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
198 DAVIES Morgan 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
199 HURME Tommi K. < 1% 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
199 TIAN Kevin 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
201 TAE William G. 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
202 RYJIKOV Benjamin 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
203 GIBSON Nowell L. 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
204 WOLOSINSKI Peter 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
205 WILKINSON Derek H. 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.