USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I Men's Épée

Friday, June 28, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
2 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
3 NOLLNER Dylan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
3 YOO Justin H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
5 PRYOR Jason A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
6 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
7 SCHUMACHER Cooper (Shoey) J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
8 SHINHOLSTER Michael J. 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
9 HADZIC Alen 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
10 KRAFT Dennis A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
11 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
12 RAMIREZ Yeisser 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
13 GRAMS Steven 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
14 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
15 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 23%
16 POPOVICI Michael A. 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
17 SMITH Dwight 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 13% 2%
18 WHITE Sean 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
19 BISSINGER Michael P. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
20 POST Jason 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
21 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
22 BEKKER Samuel 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
23 NGUYEN Ethan D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
24 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
25 SHERRILL Edward R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
26 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
27 THOMPSON Soren 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 23%
28 VINNITCHOUK Theodore 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
29 GUINAN Joseph 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
30 MILLER Finn S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
31 ZHU Wilson 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
32 LAURON Sean M. 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
33 BRATTON Benjamin E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
34 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
35 HERBST Isaac L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
36 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
37 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
38 CANDREVA Hunter R. 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
39 XU Timothy (Tingwei) 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33% 2%
40 TOLKACHEV Denis 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
41 HILBERT Xavier 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
42 DAROIAN Emon 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
43 COMES Matthew J. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
44 WHITE Khristopher E. 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
45 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
46 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 99% 92% 72% 41% 14% 2%
47 SHINDLER Oliver P. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
48 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
49 ZACHARAKIS Darius K. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
50 MILAM Hugh 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
51 ELASHRY Zeyad A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
52 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
53 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
54 MECHKOV Iliya 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 6%
55 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 2%
56 PETROLL Jared P. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
57 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
58 WIEDER Benjamin (Ben) J. 100% 99% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
59 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
60 NORTH Gary S. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
60 POPOVICI Stefan N. 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 4% -
62 KIM Derek D. 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
63 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
63 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
65 CARNAHAN Garrett M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 17%
66 LEE Aaron Y. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
67 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 5%
68 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
69 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 95% 76% 45% 17% 4% -
70 BRADFORD Jack M. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
70 YU Colin 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
70 FAUBERT Andy C. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 26% 5%
73 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
74 SHIFRON Daniel A. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
75 CAMPBELL Daniel R. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
76 ZHANG Matthew 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
77 MA Ark 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
78 LEI Joshua 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
79 ZHAO Howard 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
80 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 16%
81 GUO Austin S. 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
82 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
83 MECKE Cedric 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 9%
84 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
85 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
86 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
87 WEISS Lewis E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
88 DUNCAN Corwin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
88 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
90 PROCTOR Oliver L. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% 1%
91 SPITERI Gareth J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
92 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
93 SILVER Cameron 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
94 DINKINS Ramadan 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1%
95 GERAGHTY Michael P. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
96 VAYSBERG Nathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
97 WANG Nathan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
98 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
99 MERCHANT Reza H. 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
100 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
101 LEE Ryan 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
102 ZMYSLOWSKI Maciek A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
103 IYOKI Kent 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 8% 1%
104 GHAZALEH Thomas Xavier 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
105 FRANK Timmy 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
105 SHIN Sung (Andy) 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
107 CHMUT Anton 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
107 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
109 YAMANAKA Mick 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
110 GAIDAR Daniel B. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
111 WERRELL Jack 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 5%
112 JEONG Connor 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 3% -
113 VAG-URMINSKY Paul F. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
113 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
113 WILLIANSYAH ANGGI 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
116 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
117 YERGLER Jonathan A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 26% 5%
118 RUSSANOV Boris J. 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
119 LEIGH David A. 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% 1%
120 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 7%
121 VOLKMANN Daniel R. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12%
122 ZACHARAKIS Demetri K. 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
123 KUMAR Anitya 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
124 BREWER Andrew K. 100% 98% 89% 63% 31% 9% 1%
125 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
126 KIM Ethan J. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
126 BURTON Patrick 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
128 SHIN Joshua 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
129 KOCH Samuel 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 9%
131 MUN Michael K. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
131 RAYLE Evan K. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
133 DAVIS Matthew D. 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
134 SANTOS Cameron A. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
134 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
136 CORBAN Michael Y. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
137 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
138 LEE Timothy S. 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
138 ARMSTRONG James G. 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
140 WESTEN Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
141 ZHANG Joshua 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
142 CHA Russell W. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
143 WANG Kevin de-tai 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% -
144 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
145 JONES Simon A. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
145 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 90% 61% 28% 8% 1% -
147 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
148 ZHANG YuJian 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
149 STEELE DeMario A. 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
150 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
151 LI Jesse 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
152 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
153 WAHYU MUHAMMAD DWI 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
154 DIXON Samuel 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
155 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
155 MU Lejia 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
157 ZHANG Eric 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
158 ELLIS Yehia S. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
158 LEE Woosuk 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
160 WOLF Myles J. 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
161 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 94% 72% 40% 14% 3% -
162 LIWSKI Guido 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
163 SMITH Justin C. 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 2% -
164 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
165 IVE Isaac L. 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% -
165 FAYEZ Sherif 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
167 ZHENG Hagen 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
168 SMITH William K. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
169 CAI Kevin P. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
170 CHIN Ethan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
171 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 1%
172 GANA Thomas A. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
173 JOHNSON Lucas W. 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
174 XIAN Riley 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
175 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
175 HARYANA MUHAMMAD INDRA 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% 1% -
177 UKOLOV Dimitri 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
178 MADISON Ethan S. 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
178 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
178 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
181 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
181 BODON Michele I. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
181 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
184 PELLEGRINO Maurício 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
185 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
185 YI Kyle 100% 93% 57% 20% 4% - -
185 BARREIRO Darren 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
188 KIM Ethan S. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
189 PLUMER Jack E. 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
190 TOPAZ Nicholas 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
191 LI Jason Man Kit 100% 88% 53% 20% 4% - -
192 HANXU Richard A. 100% 84% 50% 18% 4% - -
193 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
194 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
195 STOTT Donovan R. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
195 XIAN Ryan 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
197 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11%
198 DAVIES Morgan 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
199 HURME Tommi K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
199 TIAN Kevin 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
201 TAE William G. 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
202 RYJIKOV Benjamin 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
203 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
204 WOLOSINSKI Peter 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
205 WILKINSON Derek H. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.