December NAC

Div I Men's Épée (Day 2)

Saturday, December 15, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Cincinnati, OH - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 NOLLNER Dylan - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
2 KAULL James T. 3% 15% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1%
3 RODNEY Adam R. - - 3% 14% 36% 35% 12%
3 CANAUX Gabriel A. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 5%
5 BRATTON Benjamin E. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
6 TSINIS Alexander E. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
7 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
8 HOLTZ Donovan K. 1% 7% 19% 28% 25% 14% 5% 1% - - - - -
9 WHITE Sean - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
10 HOYLE Jacob C. - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
11 VINNITCHOUK Ted - - - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 27% 23% 11% 2%
12 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
13 GRIFFITHS Ryan 2% 10% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
14 KOCH Samuel - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
15 KUMASHI Mihir R. - - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 2% -
16 FAFARD Fynn - - - - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 23% 13% 5% 1%
17 MCDOWALD Curtis E. - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
18 DUNCAN Corwin - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
19 ZUCKER Noah L. - - - - 1% 5% 12% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% -
20 FAYEZ Ayman A. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 8%
21 KIMATIAN Harrison J. - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 25% 19% 9% 3% 1% - -
22 THOMPSON Soren - 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
23 PRYOR Jason A. 1% 15% 35% 32% 13% 3% -
23 VOLKMANN Daniel R. - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
25 SHERRILL Edward R. 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
26 SPITERI Gareth J. - - - 2% 7% 15% 23% 24% 17% 8% 3% - -
27 FRANK Timmy - 2% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2%
28 MOORE Shomari A. 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
29 BLAIS BELANGER Marc-Antoine - - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 6% 1% -
30 MILAM Hugh - - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 24% 24% 15% 6% 1% -
31 JONES Simon A. 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
32 VAG-URMINSKY Paul F. - - - - 2% 8% 17% 25% 24% 16% 6% 1% -
33 MECKE Cedric - 2% 9% 23% 33% 25% 8%
34 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
35 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
37 ZMYSLOWSKI Maciek A. - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 22% 31% 25% 9%
38 SMOAK Omari Z. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
39 HADZIC Alen 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
40 SHINHOLSTER Michael J. - - 2% 6% 14% 22% 23% 18% 10% 4% 1% - -
41 HSIEH JAROV Seraphim - - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 27% 27% 15% 4%
42 JOHNSON Wesley (Wes) R. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
43 LIVERANT Skyler J. - - - - 2% 5% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 3% -
44 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
45 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. - - - 1% 2% 7% 16% 23% 24% 17% 8% 2% -
45 CORBAN Michael Y. - - - - - 2% 6% 15% 25% 26% 17% 7% 1%
47 GHAZALEH Thomas Xavier - - 1% 4% 11% 22% 27% 21% 11% 3% - -
48 POST Jason - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 26% 22% 12% 4% -
49 CHENG Zachary K. - - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 17% 7% 2% - -
50 ELASHRY Zeyad A. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
51 WHITE Khristopher E. - - 1% 6% 14% 23% 24% 18% 9% 3% 1% - -
52 FAYEZ Sherif 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
53 FREIMAN Samuel (Sam) E. - 1% 4% 10% 19% 24% 21% 13% 6% 2% - - -
54 SHIN Sung (Andy) - - - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 21% 11% 3% -
55 YU Colin - - - 1% 6% 14% 23% 25% 18% 9% 3% - -
56 ELLIS Yehia S. - - 1% 5% 13% 21% 24% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
57 FRENCH Dylan 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
58 SHIFRON Daniel A. - - - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% -
59 ELSAYED Ahmed - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
60 ZACHARAKIS Darius K. - 2% 8% 18% 24% 23% 15% 7% 2% 1% - - -
61 BISSINGER Michael P. 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
62 HURME Tommi K. - - 2% 9% 20% 27% 23% 13% 4% 1% - -
63 KUSHNERIK Ethan - - - 1% 5% 14% 25% 28% 19% 7% 1% -
64 HONDOR Robert D. - 3% 11% 26% 33% 21% 6%
65 KRAFT Dennis A. - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
66 WIEDER Benjamin (Ben) J. 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
67 YOO Justin H. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
68 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
69 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
69 COMES Matthew J. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
71 HADDAD Justin R. - - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 10% 3% -
72 CANDREVA Hunter R. - - 3% 9% 19% 25% 22% 14% 6% 2% - - -
73 ZHANG Joshua - - 1% 4% 10% 18% 24% 22% 14% 6% 2% - -
74 VERMEULE Spencer - - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% -
75 STRONG Sean T. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
76 WEISS Lewis E. 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
77 DE GUZMAN Inaki P. 17% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
78 BOGERT Alexander BRYCE (Bryce) - - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 25% 17% 8% 2% - -
79 WATSON Adam C. - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 10% 3% - -
80 MACZIK Adam W. - 3% 10% 20% 26% 22% 13% 5% 1% - - - -
81 SZAPARY Tristan B. - - - - - 1% 5% 12% 22% 27% 21% 10% 2%
82 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
83 INSLER Gabriel C. - - 3% 9% 19% 25% 22% 14% 6% 2% - - -
84 HOUSE Alex W. 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
85 SHINDLER Oliver P. 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
86 KRAVITZ Zach J. - - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 27% 23% 12% 3% -
86 GAIDAR Daniel B. - - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 26% 24% 14% 5% 1% -
88 YERGLER Jonathan A. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
89 GUINAN Joseph 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
90 WERRELL Jack - 1% 5% 17% 34% 33% 11%
91 VAYSBERG Nathan 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
92 CHO Jonah E. 35% 41% 19% 4% - -
93 COLE Elias R. - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% -
94 COLE Joshua R. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
95 RAYLE Evan K. 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
96 CHA Russell W. - - 2% 7% 17% 25% 24% 15% 6% 2% - - -
97 FISHLER Clifford - - - 1% 5% 12% 20% 25% 21% 12% 4% 1% -
98 PICARD Christopher (Chris) W. - - - - 2% 6% 15% 25% 27% 18% 7% 1%
99 LANGE Henry C. 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
100 PROCTOR Oliver L. - - - 2% 6% 14% 22% 24% 18% 9% 3% 1% -
100 CARPENTER Liam 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
102 YOON Sungho - 1% 5% 13% 21% 24% 19% 11% 4% 1% - - -
103 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - - - - 1% 2% 8% 17% 25% 25% 15% 5% 1%
103 CAMPBELL Daniel R. - 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9%
105 SMITH Dwight 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
106 CROTCHETT Kaiden R. - - - 1% 5% 13% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% -
107 DANZIG Jacob S. - - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% - -
108 CHMUT Anton 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
108 FREDERIKSEN Ean L. - 3% 10% 20% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% - - - -
110 FELKER Jared L. - - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 25% 23% 14% 5% 1% -
111 AITKEN Andrew W. - 1% 5% 14% 23% 25% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - -
112 KELLER Kai-Moritz 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
113 LEE Woosuk - - - - - 2% 8% 19% 27% 25% 14% 4% -
114 MECHKOV Iliya - 1% 6% 16% 25% 24% 17% 8% 2% 1% - - -
114 TAFOYA Devin D. - - - - - - 2% 6% 16% 27% 29% 16% 4%
116 WILSON Sean H. 16% 35% 31% 14% 4% - -
117 ANA Ionut (Johnny) A. - - - 2% 7% 17% 27% 26% 15% 5% 1% -
118 NGUYEN Ethan D. - - - - 2% 7% 15% 23% 24% 17% 8% 2% -
119 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 21% 12% 4% 1% - -
120 TAE William G. - - 1% 6% 16% 25% 26% 17% 7% 2% - - -
121 LEE Ryan - - - 2% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 6% 2% - -
122 CULLEN Daniel F. - 3% 11% 22% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% - - - -
123 SALLEMBIEN Nicolas H. - 2% 10% 21% 27% 22% 12% 4% 1% - - - -
124 MALYSZ Anthony J. - - 3% 9% 17% 24% 23% 15% 7% 2% - - -
125 SUVOROV Yuly 1% 8% 20% 28% 24% 13% 5% 1% - - - - -
126 BEAULIEU Loic - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
127 COTTER Alexander J. 1% 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1%
128 SAITOC Tudor - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
129 WANG Bowen - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
130 MAISEL Simon F. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
131 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
132 WEISS Miles J. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
133 KIM Ethan J. 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
134 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. 11% 36% 36% 15% 3% -
135 MAZUR Mykhaylo Y. 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 4% -
136 KOZLOWSKI Matthew K. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
137 LUNDBORG Jr. Tad C. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
138 SANTOS Cameron A. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
139 BAILEY Nathan W. 5% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
140 KANG Michael H. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
141 DINKINS Ramadan - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
142 LICHTEN Keith H. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
142 MUNLIN Donovan - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 15%
142 LU Chung 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
145 ZHOU Alan - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
146 SANDERS Ian W. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
147 MILLER Finn S. - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 4%
148 AJNSZTAJN Alec J. 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
149 CHIEN Brandon - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
150 HAN Matthew - 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
151 TABLEMAN Doug S. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
152 MA Ark - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
153 IYOKI Kent - 1% 6% 20% 33% 29% 10%
154 MARTIN Liam N. 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
155 KIM Ethan S. - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
156 STADNIKOV Tom 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
157 KAMBESELES Jack M. - 2% 11% 32% 38% 15% 2%
158 ARIETA Ryan T. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
159 SPIER Julian H. - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
160 MARTIN Nathan C. 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
161 BETHEL Dylan A. 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
162 NORTH Gary S. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
163 LI Jesse - 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
164 HIRSCHMAN Burton E. 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
165 MANDOKI Sandor I. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
165 SHIN Joshua - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
165 LEIGH David A. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
168 WOLF Myles J. - - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
169 BAKER Kevin G. 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
170 HOLST Eric 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 4% -
171 LENDER David 6% 21% 32% 26% 12% 3% -
172 DAZEY Jason T. 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2% -
172 OH Kevin Y. 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
172 AL-TAYEB Ahmed M. 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
175 SHIREY Daniel L. 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
175 RA Jr. Daniel M. - 1% 5% 18% 37% 32% 8%
175 STEELE DeMario A. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
178 LEE Aaron Y. 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
179 VELESTUK Isaac R. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
180 HANE Matthew J. 53% 38% 8% 1% - -
181 LAURON Sean M. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
182 ZHENG Hagen 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
183 DAVIES Morgan 12% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
183 FREDERIKSEN Elijah L. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
185 EDWARDS Ethan S. - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 13%
186 ROGAK Benjamin A. 6% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
187 CHILANA Savitoz (Savi) 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
188 STONE Brian M. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
189 SEABURY Maxwell G. - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
190 MCKINLEY Liam K. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
191 PIRAINO Robert C. 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2% -
192 LEE Timothy S. 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
193 BLYTH Jourdain L. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
194 NTONOS Thrasyvoulos (Akis) 2% 17% 40% 31% 9% 1%
195 MALIASSOV Nikita S. - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
196 OUIMET Francois 20% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
197 RUSSANOV Boris J. 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
198 SMITH Justin C. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
199 STOTT Donovan R. - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 3%
200 ZAFFT Maximo S. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
201 RITCHIE Patrick Q. 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
202 ARMSTRONG James G. 11% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
203 BOYCE Samuel H. 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
204 CLINGSHOFF Christopher - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
205 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
205 FULLER George K. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
207 VERNACHIO Anthony 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
208 DOSS Adam D. 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
209 COULL Abraham (Abe) 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
209 MANCINI Christopher M. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
211 BURKE Matthew C. 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
212 GRUPP Tristan E. 7% 29% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
212 KAMBESELES Peter G. - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
214 KRAVIT Connor B. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
215 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
216 MCDERMOTT Brian 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
217 CRASWELL Andrew J. 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
218 GORDON Reis J. 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
219 ECKEL Anson J. 9% 30% 38% 19% 3% - -
220 WEISSMAN Kai E. 3% 26% 48% 20% 3% -
221 BASOK Daniel - 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
222 HAREL Jason 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
223 MARCHANT Albert J. 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
224 VARNEY John R. 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
225 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 8% 36% 41% 14% 2% - -
226 RANDLES Theo K. 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
227 MCCORMICK John B. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
228 HILBERT Xavier - < 1% 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
229 TIRRELL Justin J. 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
230 BAKER Julian L. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
231 KIM Derek D. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
231 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
233 BEDOR William J. 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
234 KLASSEN Andrew P. 7% 32% 40% 18% 3% - -
235 COHEN Jared E. 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
236 SAYLOR Harrison G. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
237 ALI Adam 6% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
237 SMITH Calvin R. 1% 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
239 TOPAZ Nicholas 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
240 PLUMER Jack E. 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
241 DRAKE Owen G. 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
242 WALTHER Bryan M. 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
243 YI Kyle 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
244 DIETZ Tommy (Rocco) 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
245 CHAUDHRY Rafay 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
246 SHORT Salim (Sal) A. 32% 42% 21% 5% - - -
247 KLINE R. Jay 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
248 MOGILEVICH Michael 7% 29% 39% 20% 5% - -
249 BOYLAN Jack (I Spy) 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
250 GILBRETH Geoffrey (Chance) 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
251 ASHER Andrew D. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
251 HU Andre B. 73% 24% 3% - - - -
253 ATANAS Matthew M. 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
254 FLINT James E. 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
255 KRIEGISCH Jacob A. 54% 37% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.