The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

December NAC

Div I Men's Épée (Day 2)

Saturday, December 15, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Cincinnati, OH - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 NOLLNER Dylan 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 14%
2 KAULL James T. 100% 97% 82% 53% 23% 6% 1%
3 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
3 CANAUX Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
5 BRATTON Benjamin E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
6 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
7 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
8 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 99% 92% 73% 45% 20% 7% 1% - - - - -
9 WHITE Sean 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
10 HOYLE Jacob C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 27%
11 VINNITCHOUK Ted 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 36% 14% 2%
12 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
13 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 98% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
14 KOCH Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
15 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 32% 12% 3% -
16 FAFARD Fynn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 67% 42% 19% 5% 1%
17 MCDOWALD Curtis E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 7%
18 DUNCAN Corwin 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
19 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 94% 81% 59% 34% 13% 3% -
20 FAYEZ Ayman A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
21 KIMATIAN Harrison J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 32% 13% 4% 1% - -
22 THOMPSON Soren 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
23 PRYOR Jason A. 100% 99% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
23 VOLKMANN Daniel R. 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
25 SHERRILL Edward R. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 12% 1%
26 SPITERI Gareth J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 75% 52% 28% 11% 3% 1% -
27 FRANK Timmy 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
28 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
29 BLAIS BELANGER Marc-Antoine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 71% 46% 23% 7% 1% -
30 MILAM Hugh 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 71% 47% 23% 8% 2% -
31 JONES Simon A. 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
32 VAG-URMINSKY Paul F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 73% 48% 24% 8% 2% -
33 MECKE Cedric 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 32% 8%
34 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
35 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
37 ZMYSLOWSKI Maciek A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 64% 33% 9%
38 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
39 HADZIC Alen 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
40 SHINHOLSTER Michael J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 77% 55% 32% 14% 4% 1% - -
41 HSIEH JAROV Seraphim 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 45% 19% 4%
42 JOHNSON Wesley (Wes) R. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
43 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 81% 60% 35% 15% 4% -
44 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
45 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 74% 51% 27% 10% 2% -
45 CORBAN Michael Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 51% 25% 8% 1%
47 GHAZALEH Thomas Xavier 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 63% 36% 14% 4% 1% -
48 POST Jason 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 38% 16% 4% -
49 CHENG Zachary K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 51% 25% 9% 2% - -
50 ELASHRY Zeyad A. 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 16% 3%
51 WHITE Khristopher E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 56% 31% 13% 4% 1% - -
52 FAYEZ Sherif 100% 98% 87% 60% 29% 8% 1%
53 FREIMAN Samuel (Sam) E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 66% 42% 21% 8% 2% - - -
54 SHIN Sung (Andy) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 81% 61% 36% 15% 4% -
55 YU Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 56% 31% 12% 3% 1% -
56 ELLIS Yehia S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 81% 60% 36% 16% 5% 1% - -
57 FRENCH Dylan 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
58 SHIFRON Daniel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 66% 41% 19% 6% 1% -
59 ELSAYED Ahmed 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
60 ZACHARAKIS Darius K. 100% 100% 98% 89% 72% 48% 25% 10% 3% 1% - - -
61 BISSINGER Michael P. 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
62 HURME Tommi K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 69% 42% 18% 6% 1% - -
63 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 56% 28% 9% 2% -
64 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
65 KRAFT Dennis A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
66 WIEDER Benjamin (Ben) J. 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
67 YOO Justin H. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
68 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 20% 3%
69 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
69 COMES Matthew J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
71 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 61% 34% 13% 3% -
72 CANDREVA Hunter R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 69% 44% 21% 8% 2% - - -
73 ZHANG Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 67% 44% 22% 8% 2% - -
74 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 60% 35% 15% 4% 1% -
75 STRONG Sean T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
76 WEISS Lewis E. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
77 DE GUZMAN Inaki P. 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
78 BOGERT Alexander BRYCE (Bryce) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 51% 27% 10% 2% - -
79 WATSON Adam C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 61% 34% 13% 3% - -
80 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 97% 87% 67% 42% 20% 7% 2% - - - -
81 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 94% 81% 60% 33% 12% 2%
82 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
83 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 100% 99% 97% 87% 68% 44% 22% 8% 2% - - -
84 HOUSE Alex W. 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
85 SHINDLER Oliver P. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
86 KRAVITZ Zach J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 65% 38% 16% 4% -
86 GAIDAR Daniel B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 70% 44% 20% 6% 1% -
88 YERGLER Jonathan A. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
89 GUINAN Joseph 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
90 WERRELL Jack 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
91 VAYSBERG Nathan 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
92 CHO Jonah E. 100% 65% 23% 5% - -
93 COLE Elias R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 65% 39% 17% 5% 1% -
94 COLE Joshua R. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
95 RAYLE Evan K. 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
96 CHA Russell W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 48% 24% 9% 2% - - -
97 FISHLER Clifford 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 62% 37% 17% 5% 1% -
98 PICARD Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 53% 26% 8% 1%
99 LANGE Henry C. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
100 PROCTOR Oliver L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 56% 32% 13% 4% 1% -
100 CARPENTER Liam 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
102 YOON Sungho 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 60% 36% 16% 6% 1% - - -
103 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 72% 47% 22% 6% 1%
103 CAMPBELL Daniel R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
105 SMITH Dwight 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
106 CROTCHETT Kaiden R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 81% 59% 35% 15% 4% 1% -
107 DANZIG Jacob S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 67% 42% 20% 7% 1% - -
108 CHMUT Anton 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
108 FREDERIKSEN Ean L. 100% 100% 97% 87% 67% 41% 20% 7% 2% - - - -
110 FELKER Jared L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 68% 44% 21% 7% 1% -
111 AITKEN Andrew W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 79% 56% 31% 13% 4% 1% - - -
112 KELLER Kai-Moritz 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
113 LEE Woosuk 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 70% 43% 18% 4% -
114 MECHKOV Iliya 100% 100% 99% 92% 76% 52% 27% 11% 3% 1% - - -
114 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 48% 20% 4%
116 WILSON Sean H. 100% 84% 50% 18% 4% 1% -
117 ANA Ionut (Johnny) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 47% 22% 6% 1% -
118 NGUYEN Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 75% 52% 28% 11% 2% -
119 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 38% 17% 5% 1% - -
120 TAE William G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 51% 26% 9% 2% - - -
121 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 72% 47% 24% 8% 2% - -
122 CULLEN Daniel F. 100% 100% 96% 85% 63% 37% 16% 5% 1% - - - -
123 SALLEMBIEN Nicolas H. 100% 100% 97% 88% 67% 39% 17% 5% 1% - - - -
124 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 71% 47% 24% 9% 2% - - -
125 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 99% 91% 71% 44% 20% 7% 2% - - - - -
126 BEAULIEU Loic 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
127 COTTER Alexander J. 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
128 SAITOC Tudor 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
129 WANG Bowen 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
130 MAISEL Simon F. 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 16% 2%
131 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
132 WEISS Miles J. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
133 KIM Ethan J. 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 3% -
134 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
135 MAZUR Mykhaylo Y. 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 5% -
136 KOZLOWSKI Matthew K. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
137 LUNDBORG Jr. Tad C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
138 SANTOS Cameron A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
139 BAILEY Nathan W. 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
140 KANG Michael H. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
141 DINKINS Ramadan 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 17% 3%
142 LICHTEN Keith H. 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
142 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 15%
142 LU Chung 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
145 ZHOU Alan 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
146 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
147 MILLER Finn S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
148 AJNSZTAJN Alec J. 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
149 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
150 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
151 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 5%
152 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
153 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 99% 92% 73% 39% 10%
154 MARTIN Liam N. 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
155 KIM Ethan S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
156 STADNIKOV Tom 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
157 KAMBESELES Jack M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 2%
158 ARIETA Ryan T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
159 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
160 MARTIN Nathan C. 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
161 BETHEL Dylan A. 100% 91% 63% 30% 9% 1% -
162 NORTH Gary S. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
163 LI Jesse 100% 100% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
164 HIRSCHMAN Burton E. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
165 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
165 SHIN Joshua 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
165 LEIGH David A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
168 WOLF Myles J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
169 BAKER Kevin G. 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
170 HOLST Eric 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
171 LENDER David 100% 94% 74% 42% 15% 3% -
172 DAZEY Jason T. 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
172 OH Kevin Y. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
172 AL-TAYEB Ahmed M. 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
175 SHIREY Daniel L. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
175 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 8%
175 STEELE DeMario A. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
178 LEE Aaron Y. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
179 VELESTUK Isaac R. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
180 HANE Matthew J. 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
181 LAURON Sean M. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
182 ZHENG Hagen 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
183 DAVIES Morgan 100% 88% 47% 14% 2% - -
183 FREDERIKSEN Elijah L. 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
185 EDWARDS Ethan S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 13%
186 ROGAK Benjamin A. 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% 1% -
187 CHILANA Savitoz (Savi) 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
188 STONE Brian M. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
189 SEABURY Maxwell G. 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
190 MCKINLEY Liam K. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
191 PIRAINO Robert C. 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 3% -
192 LEE Timothy S. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
193 BLYTH Jourdain L. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
194 NTONOS Thrasyvoulos (Akis) 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
195 MALIASSOV Nikita S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
196 OUIMET Francois 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
197 RUSSANOV Boris J. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
198 SMITH Justin C. 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
199 STOTT Donovan R. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
200 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
201 RITCHIE Patrick Q. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
202 ARMSTRONG James G. 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
203 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
204 CLINGSHOFF Christopher 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
205 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
205 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
207 VERNACHIO Anthony 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
208 DOSS Adam D. 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 6% 1%
209 COULL Abraham (Abe) 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
209 MANCINI Christopher M. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
211 BURKE Matthew C. 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
212 GRUPP Tristan E. 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% 1% -
212 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
214 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
215 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
216 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 2% -
217 CRASWELL Andrew J. 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
218 GORDON Reis J. 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 11% 1%
219 ECKEL Anson J. 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% - -
220 WEISSMAN Kai E. 100% 97% 71% 23% 3% -
221 BASOK Daniel 100% 100% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
222 HAREL Jason 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
223 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
224 VARNEY John R. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
225 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 92% 57% 16% 2% - -
226 RANDLES Theo K. 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
227 MCCORMICK John B. 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
228 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
229 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
230 BAKER Julian L. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
231 KIM Derek D. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
231 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
233 BEDOR William J. 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
234 KLASSEN Andrew P. 100% 93% 61% 21% 3% - -
235 COHEN Jared E. 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
236 SAYLOR Harrison G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
237 ALI Adam 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% - -
237 SMITH Calvin R. 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
239 TOPAZ Nicholas 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
240 PLUMER Jack E. 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
241 DRAKE Owen G. 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
242 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
243 YI Kyle 100% 69% 28% 7% 1% - -
244 DIETZ Tommy (Rocco) 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
245 CHAUDHRY Rafay 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
246 SHORT Salim (Sal) A. 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
247 KLINE R. Jay 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
248 MOGILEVICH Michael 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
249 BOYLAN Jack (I Spy) 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
250 GILBRETH Geoffrey (Chance) 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
251 ASHER Andrew D. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
251 HU Andre B. 100% 27% 3% - - - -
253 ATANAS Matthew M. 100% 84% 48% 17% 4% - -
254 FLINT James E. 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
255 KRIEGISCH Jacob A. 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.