December NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Monday, December 17, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Cincinnati, OH - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 POPPER Luca G. V V V V V V V V V V V V 5.0 6 +1.0
2 ZHOU Alan V V V V V V V V V V V D 5.1 6 +0.9
3 CRASWELL Andrew J. V V V V V D V V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
3 MARCHANT Albert J. V V V V V V V V V V D 4.0 6 +2.0
5 BARREIRO Darren V V V D V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
6 MARTIN Liam N. V V D V V V V V V D 4.9 5 +0.1
7 ARIAS Troy A. V V V D V D V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
8 NIXON Christian A. D V D V D V V V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
9 FENG Kevin T. V V V D V V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
10 ZHENG Yuanlong (Bill) V V D V V V V V D 2.9 5 +2.1
11 HIRSCHMAN Burton E. D V V V V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
12 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. D D V V V V V V D 4.0 4 -
13 INSLER Ethan C. V V V D D V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
14 DRAKE Owen G. V D D D V V V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
15 YAO Shun V D D V D D V V D 3.4 2 -1.4
16 KRUGER Mark (Mark Kruger) V D D V D D V V D 2.7 2 -0.7
17 PELLEGRINO Maurício V V V V V V V D 4.9 6 +1.1
18 SHAH S Ayush V V D V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
19 SCHULTZ Alex V V D V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
20 PRICE Luke D. V D V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
21 WILSON Victor T. V V V V D V V D 5.3 5 -0.3
22 MCCORMICK John B. V V V V D V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
23 O'HARROW Tristan C. V V D V V V V D 3.1 5 +1.9
24 FENWICK Luke A. V V D D V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
25 SANCHEZ Leon D. V V D V D V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
26 KELSEY Ryan D V V V V D V D 4.2 4 -0.2
27 RITCHIE Patrick Q. D V V V V D V D 3.5 4 +0.5
28 KIM Michael V V V D V D V D 3.5 4 +0.5
29 BAKER Julian L. D D V D V V V D 1.4 3 +1.6
30 BOCEK Brodee M. V D V V D D V D 3.5 3 -0.5
31 HERBEL Micah O. D V D D D V V D 3.3 2 -1.3
32 SCHOWALTER Tyler J. D D V V D D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
33 GOODMAN Zachary V V V V D V D 5.2 5 -0.2
34 MOYSE Alexander S. V D V V V D D 3.2 4 +0.8
35 MORRIS Alex K. V D V V V D D 3.7 4 +0.3
36 SMITH Ethan H. D V V D V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
37 KNOWLES Ethan V V V D D V D 4.4 4 -0.4
38 ASHER Andrew D. V D V D V D D 2.5 3 +0.5
39 REED Dusty (Allen) V V V D D D D 4.0 3 -1.0
40 SHERWOOD Dominic D V V D V D D 3.7 3 -0.7
41 RINEHART Conner M. V D D V D V D 4.4 3 -1.4
42 CHIEN William D D V D V V D 1.6 3 +1.4
43 CULLER Michael (Mike) D. V D D V D V D 3.5 3 -0.5
44 HURST Palmer D D D V V V D 1.1 3 +1.9
45 FANGMAN Daniel L. D D V D D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
46 WINTERSHEIMER Adam D D D D V V D 2.2 2 -0.2
47 STEWART Robert V D V D D D D 3.3 2 -1.3
48 KRAJ Pawel D V D V D D D 2.7 2 -0.7
49 RICCHIUTI Nikola V V D D D D D 3.5 2 -1.5
50 TIERNEY Luke D V D D D V D 1.8 2 +0.2
51 LIPTON Michael D. V D V D D D D 1.8 2 +0.2
51 PARK Jong-Eun D D V D V D D 2.3 2 -0.3
53 GLECKNER Aidan D V D D V D D 2.1 2 -0.1
54 FERNANDEZ Christopher D D V D V D D 1.6 2 +0.4
55 VANDERLINDEN Brian V D D V D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
56 BROWN Nathan P. D D D V V D D 2.4 2 -0.4
57 ALI Adam D V D V D D D 2.9 2 -0.9
59 BARAFF David D D D D D V V D 0.8 1 +0.2
60 GU Brian D D D V D D V D 1.9 1 -0.9
61 GERSEN Jacob D D D D D D V D 0.6 0 -0.6
62 SATTERWHITE William W. D D D D D D V D 0.7 0 -0.7
62 HERBEL Dellas O. D D D D D D V D 0.8 0 -0.8
64 KOLOCIN John D D D D D D V D 1.4 0 -1.4
65 KIRSCH Adam J. D D D D V D D 1.1 1 -0.1
66 BARTCH Ethan L. D D V D D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
67 RHEA Eric L. D D V D D D D 1.5 1 -0.5
68 RITCHIE Mark T. D D D D D D D 2.0 0 -2.0
69 BURKE Luke P. D D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5
70 KATOPES Peter D D D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.