December NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Monday, December 17, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Cincinnati, OH - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POPPER Luca G. - - - 4% 20% 45% 30%
2 ZHOU Alan - - - 4% 18% 42% 37%
3 CRASWELL Andrew J. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
3 MARCHANT Albert J. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
5 BARREIRO Darren - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 2%
6 MARTIN Liam N. - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
7 ARIAS Troy A. - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 12%
8 NIXON Christian A. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
9 FENG Kevin T. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
10 ZHENG Yuanlong (Bill) - 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
11 HIRSCHMAN Burton E. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
12 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - - 6% 23% 38% 27% 7%
13 INSLER Ethan C. - - 4% 30% 44% 19% 2%
14 DRAKE Owen G. 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
15 YAO Shun - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
16 KRUGER Mark (Mark Kruger) 1% 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
17 PELLEGRINO Maurício - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
18 SHAH S Ayush - - 1% 12% 37% 41% 9%
19 SCHULTZ Alex - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
20 PRICE Luke D. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
21 WILSON Victor T. - - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
22 MCCORMICK John B. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
23 O'HARROW Tristan C. - 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
24 FENWICK Luke A. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
25 SANCHEZ Leon D. 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
26 KELSEY Ryan - - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
27 RITCHIE Patrick Q. - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
28 KIM Michael - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
29 BAKER Julian L. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
30 BOCEK Brodee M. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
31 HERBEL Micah O. - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
32 SCHOWALTER Tyler J. 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
33 GOODMAN Zachary - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
34 MOYSE Alexander S. - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
35 MORRIS Alex K. - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
36 SMITH Ethan H. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
37 KNOWLES Ethan - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
38 ASHER Andrew D. 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
39 REED Dusty (Allen) - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
40 SHERWOOD Dominic - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
41 RINEHART Conner M. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
42 CHIEN William 11% 37% 36% 14% 3% - -
43 CULLER Michael (Mike) D. - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
44 HURST Palmer 22% 52% 23% 3% - - -
45 FANGMAN Daniel L. 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
46 WINTERSHEIMER Adam 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
47 STEWART Robert - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
48 KRAJ Pawel 1% 12% 30% 33% 19% 5% -
49 RICCHIUTI Nikola - 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
50 TIERNEY Luke 10% 32% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
51 LIPTON Michael D. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
51 PARK Jong-Eun 2% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
53 GLECKNER Aidan 4% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
54 FERNANDEZ Christopher 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
55 VANDERLINDEN Brian 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
56 BROWN Nathan P. 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
57 ALI Adam 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
59 BARAFF David 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
60 GU Brian 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
61 GERSEN Jacob 51% 41% 8% 1% - - -
62 SATTERWHITE William W. 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
62 HERBEL Dellas O. 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
64 KOLOCIN John 14% 42% 34% 9% 1% - -
65 KIRSCH Adam J. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
66 BARTCH Ethan L. 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
67 RHEA Eric L. 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
68 RITCHIE Mark T. 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
69 BURKE Luke P. 12% 38% 36% 11% 2% - -
70 KATOPES Peter 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.