Music City RYC/RJCC - Reg Opens 9/28

Cadet Men's Foil

Sunday, November 22, 2020 at 12:30 PM

Nashville, TN - Nashville, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	XIAO Enoch A.	-	-	-	-	1%	18%	81%
2	ZHANG Andy W.	-	-	-	-	11%	45%	44%
3	GRIFFITH JACK	-	1%	6%	23%	42%	29%
3	MITCHELL Philip D.	-	-	-	1%	8%	35%	57%
5	XIAO Ethan J.	-	-	-	-	-	11%	88%
6	KEE Andrew L.	-	-	4%	25%	44%	24%	2%
7	SONG Leonardo T.	-	3%	16%	36%	34%	11%
8	SICHITIU Alexander	-	-	1%	10%	50%	34%	6%
9	CHOUN Samuel Minwook	-	-	-	-	3%	29%	67%
10	LEE Jacob	7%	33%	38%	18%	4%	< 1%	-
11	ZHAO Dylan L.	9%	31%	37%	19%	4%	-
12	WILLIAMS Connor J.	-	2%	11%	32%	37%	16%	2%
13	GRAHAM Roy J.	-	-	-	2%	22%	51%	26%
14	OH SEAN	-	-	2%	15%	44%	36%	3%
15	TANG Owen S.	-	1%	9%	30%	40%	18%	1%
16	KNIZHNIK David	-	7%	31%	50%	11%	1%	-
17	ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V.	-	1%	10%	29%	37%	19%	3%
18	GATZA Logan	-	-	2%	15%	39%	37%	7%
19	GORBACHEV Alexander	-	1%	6%	25%	42%	25%	1%
20	SYLVESTER William Z.	-	6%	24%	39%	25%	5%	-
21	GRASS James D.	13%	34%	33%	15%	4%	-	-
22	LEE Lukas	4%	24%	40%	25%	7%	1%	-
23	WECHSLER Jacob	-	-	5%	25%	47%	20%	2%
24	COLLUM Thomas	12%	37%	37%	12%	1%	-	-
25	PAN Henry	21%	45%	27%	6%	-	-	-
26	QUINTERO Julian	10%	36%	39%	15%	1%	-	-
27	EMENHEISER Conrad	2%	12%	29%	34%	19%	5%	-
28	IVANENKO Alex	27%	46%	23%	3%	-	-	-
29	WANG Brayden	16%	42%	33%	8%	-	-	-
30	FIGUEROA ANDRES	23%	41%	27%	8%	1%	-
31	WONG Garrick G.	1%	8%	27%	38%	22%	4%
32	LI Matthew	7%	28%	37%	21%	5%	-
33	AMMON Blue	16%	44%	34%	6%	-	-	-
34	ORLOV Dmitriy	7%	32%	38%	19%	4%	-	-
35	FERNANDEZ Santiago Martin	5%	22%	36%	27%	9%	1%	-
36	THROCKMORTON Robert	2%	14%	33%	35%	14%	1%	-
37	DEMIR Omer	5%	26%	42%	23%	4%	-	-
38	ZOU Yuming	9%	34%	39%	16%	2%	-	-
39	LEE EUNSOO	7%	29%	38%	21%	5%	-	-
40	LEE EUNJAE	10%	33%	39%	17%	2%	-	-
41	BURKETT Jackson Cash	48%	40%	11%	1%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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