SYC - Portland Super Youth Circuit

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, February 9, 2020 at 1:00 PM

Beaverton, OR - Beaverton, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
2 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
3 WYMAN Julian 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
3 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
5 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
6 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
7 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 10%
8 RUBIN Max 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% < 1%
9 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
10 KANG Anthony Jaegu 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
10 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
12 WOO Christian 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
13 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
14 WU Lucas 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
15 RANJITH Yash M. 100% 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
16 MA Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
17 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
18 CORTRIGHT Skipper (Matthew) 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
19 CHEN Justin K. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%
20 ZHANG Jiening G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
21 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
22 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
23 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
24 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
25 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
26 OH Jaden 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6% -
27 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
28 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
29 LIN Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
30 RAJ Jay 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
31 ZENG Chuyi 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% - -
32 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
33 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
34 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
35 SHEN Oliver 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
36 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
37 KIM Harrison 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
38 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
39 FANG Jaden 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
40 LING Eddie 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
41 LIU William 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
42 ZHONG Alan D. 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
43 HUBATKA Jarry Q. 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 7% 1%
44 NG Micah 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
45 BARTELS Marc 100% 97% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
46 ZHU Raymond 100% 97% 74% 33% 7% 1%
47 MAKO Keegan 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 3%
48 LO Preston 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
49 MA Bryant 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
50 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 96% 67% 26% 5% -
51 DERRICK Blake 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
52 WU Alber Y. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
53 SAH Steven 100% 90% 54% 19% 4% - -
54 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 7%
55 LI Samuel 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
56 KIM Aiden 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
56 DONG Quintin 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
58 ZHANG Graham 100% 77% 28% 5% - - -
59 WU Alistair 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
60 ZHANG Luke 100% 20% 2% - - - -
61 SONG Jeremy 100% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
62 KIM Teo 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
62 NGUYEN martin 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
64 LOFTUS Luca 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1% -
65 YUE Jackson 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
66 KALAMAS Nikolas 100% 50% 8% 1% - - -
67 FLENNIKEN Liam 100% 36% 5% - - -
68 ANDREWS William 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.