Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Vet ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, September 26, 2021 at 8:00 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PRIHODKO Max 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
2 CHOI Mason - - 3% 21% 45% 31%
3 RYAN Joshua P. - 4% 15% 29% 32% 17% 3%
3 MACARTY Jordan T. - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
5 PARK Frederick - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
6 ZENG Zihan - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
7 WIECHMANN Colin - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
8 LANGTON Sawyer - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
9 DIPAOLA Steven M. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
10 SPRINGER Michael - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 7%
11 HERMANSON David B. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
12 PAINTER Patrick I. - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
13 SUN Jason 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
14 KUMAR Aidan - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
15 LEE Hudson - 2% 17% 39% 33% 9%
16 CRAIR David 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
17 CHEN Jun Ho - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
18 BELLIVEAU Raven C. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
18 MATEI Daniel - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
20 KALKANIS George 27% 44% 23% 6% 1% < 1% -
21 SIMPSON Patrick - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
22 STALL-RYAN Jonathan - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
23 CHOE Andrew - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
24 LI Jalen 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
25 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. - 2% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2%
26 PAN Colin - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
27 JENNINGS Adin 4% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
28 MAHESH Tarun 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
29 PAHLAVI Kamran - 1% 10% 34% 40% 14%
30 LAI Aedin 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
30 FENG Du 4% 24% 44% 22% 5% - -
32 WANG Yi Nan 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
33 RUSSELL Edward - - - 6% 25% 43% 26%
34 SAVORETTI Francesco - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
35 ROLLO Emmett H. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
36 SKAALAND Will - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
37 CHESNEY Aiden R. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
38 STANKEVICZ Timothy G. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
39 HEKMAT Sina R. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
40 PEDERSEN Christopher C. - - 5% 24% 41% 26% 5%
41 SUN Jeffery 6% 39% 41% 12% 1% -
42 FUSSMAN Yuval 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
43 NOVOJILOV Alexei - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
44 PARK Nicholas - 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
45 COVAL Benjamin 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
46 REELS Eric J. - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
47 SMEDLEY Drew N. 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
48 CAFASSO martin 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
49 SRIVASTAVA Ishaan 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
50 PETROV Niki J. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
51 MELCHER Charles 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
52 WU Jonathan - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
53 GONG Haixiang 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
54 MORTON William - 1% 5% 23% 39% 26% 6%
55 LUO Peter 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
55 SEOL Austin 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
57 GRAYSON Joshua 38% 40% 17% 4% - - -
58 XIE Brandon 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
59 PATEL Pratik 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
60 KUBATIN Anton V. 4% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
61 QI Terry 10% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
62 SMOTROFF Joshua L. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
63 PALLADINO Ben T. 6% 33% 42% 17% 3% - -
64 CHU Wenxi 7% 39% 37% 14% 3% - -
65 TORRES Gianni 2% 21% 42% 28% 7% 1%
66 TANG WanLi 74% 24% 2% - - -
67 GWINN William 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
68 BYARS John 20% 48% 27% 5% - - -
69 BUTTS Brendan 41% 44% 14% 2% - - -
70 PARKER B 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
71 LIU Jeremiah 5% 33% 42% 17% 3% - -
72 BISSET Luke 15% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
73 BOZZUTO Bradley 17% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
73 TEREB Daniel 8% 45% 38% 8% 1% - -
75 KUZEBSKI Arkadiusz 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.