Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Vet ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, September 26, 2021 at 8:00 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PRIHODKO Max 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4%
2 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
3 RYAN Joshua P. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
3 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
5 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
6 ZENG Zihan 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
7 WIECHMANN Colin 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
8 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
9 DIPAOLA Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
10 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
11 HERMANSON David B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
12 PAINTER Patrick I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
13 SUN Jason 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
14 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
15 LEE Hudson 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 9%
16 CRAIR David 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
17 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
18 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
18 MATEI Daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
20 KALKANIS George 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% < 1% -
21 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
22 STALL-RYAN Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
23 CHOE Andrew 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
24 LI Jalen 100% 98% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
25 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
26 PAN Colin 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
27 JENNINGS Adin 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
28 MAHESH Tarun 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
29 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
30 LAI Aedin 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
30 FENG Du 100% 96% 71% 28% 5% - -
32 WANG Yi Nan 100% 94% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
33 RUSSELL Edward 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
34 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 6%
35 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
36 SKAALAND Will 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
37 CHESNEY Aiden R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
38 STANKEVICZ Timothy G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
39 HEKMAT Sina R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
40 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
41 SUN Jeffery 100% 94% 55% 14% 1% -
42 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
43 NOVOJILOV Alexei 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
44 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3%
45 COVAL Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
46 REELS Eric J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
47 SMEDLEY Drew N. 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
48 CAFASSO martin 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
49 SRIVASTAVA Ishaan 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
50 PETROV Niki J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
51 MELCHER Charles 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
52 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
53 GONG Haixiang 100% 99% 87% 55% 22% 4% -
54 MORTON William 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
55 LUO Peter 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
55 SEOL Austin 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
57 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 62% 22% 4% - - -
58 XIE Brandon 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
59 PATEL Pratik 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
60 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
61 QI Terry 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
62 SMOTROFF Joshua L. 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
63 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 94% 62% 20% 3% - -
64 CHU Wenxi 100% 93% 54% 17% 3% - -
65 TORRES Gianni 100% 98% 77% 35% 8% 1%
66 TANG WanLi 100% 26% 2% - - -
67 GWINN William 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
68 BYARS John 100% 80% 32% 5% - - -
69 BUTTS Brendan 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
70 PARKER B 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
71 LIU Jeremiah 100% 95% 62% 20% 3% - -
72 BISSET Luke 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
73 BOZZUTO Bradley 100% 83% 42% 12% 2% - -
73 TEREB Daniel 100% 92% 47% 9% 1% - -
75 KUZEBSKI Arkadiusz 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.