National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Friday, July 9, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
2 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
3 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
5 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
6 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
7 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 34%
8 KANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
9 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
9 MARX Jackson L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
9 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
12 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
13 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
14 LIU Derek 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26% 1%
15 WONG Jackson 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
16 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
17 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
18 TANG Albert 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% < 1%
19 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
20 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
21 CO Dylan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12% -
22 MORROW Brenden 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3% -
23 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 7%
24 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 36% 8%
25 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
26 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
27 GUO Justin 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3%
28 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 100% 97% 76% 32% 2%
29 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
30 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
31 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
32 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
33 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
34 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
35 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
36 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
37 LI Aaron 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
38 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
39 ARIZA Abraham J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
40 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
41 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
42 LI Allen 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
43 LING Eddie 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 25% 4%
44 HAN Derek 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
45 LO Preston 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
46 ZHANG Jiening G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
47 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
48 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 2%
49 TANG August L. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
50 HUANG Eythan 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
51 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
52 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
53 TANG Alexander L. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
54 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
55 XU Ethan 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
56 TAN Aidan 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
57 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 2%
58 WU Lucas 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
59 TANG Terry 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
60 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
61 KIM Aiden 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
62 UHLIG Cole 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
63 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% - -
64 FEDELI Francesco 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 8%
65 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
66 ZENG Rick 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
67 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
68 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 92% 61% 19% 1%
69 SHENG Dalton 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
70 BOBROW Silas 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
71 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
72 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
73 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
74 LI Samuel 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
75 NGUYEN martin 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
76 CHOI Benjamin 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
77 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
78 TALASILA Arush 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% -
79 SONG Noel 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
80 SHAO Eric 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
81 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44% 2%
82 FANG Jaden 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 3% -
83 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
84 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
85 GUTH Joseph 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
86 SZIRAKI Jordan 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
87 RUSSELL Paul 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
88 BLACK Zachary 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
88 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
88 GERRISH William 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
91 CHEN Ethan 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
92 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
93 CHUANG Oscar 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
94 BELOKON Sammy 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
95 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
96 CHENG Jonathan 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1%
97 YUE Jackson 100% 95% 59% 19% 2% -
98 CHEN Junxuan 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
98 PARK Ryan 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
100 GULCHIN Mark 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
101 LI Lianhan 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
102 KETTELLE John 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
103 ZHAO Adam 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
104 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER thomas 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
105 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
106 KIM Harrison 100% 99% 91% 63% 29% 7% 1%
107 DHOKTE Neev 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
108 MARISI Gabriel 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
109 LIU William 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
110 CHEN Kelton 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% - -
111 MO Ethan 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
112 CHEW Aaron 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
113 ZHENG Marcus 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
114 WONG Jacob W. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
115 CHO Xzander 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
116 JURMAN Therin 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
117 PAULUS Gregory 100% 33% 4% - - -
118 CHEN David 100% 23% 2% - - - -
119 JOBE Connor M. 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
119 FINDLAY Zachary 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
121 DOELL Ethan 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
121 HE Bourne 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
123 KOE Beckett 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
124 SHANNON Jack 100% 28% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.