Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, August 22, 2021 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
2 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
3 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 38%
3 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
5 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 3%
6 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
7 CAO Albert 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 2%
8 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 99% 86% 46% 11% 1%
9 RICHARDS Dick 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 6%
10 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
11 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
12 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
13 CAO Brad 100% 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 1%
14 SU Caleb 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
15 AYMETT Robert (Skip) S. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
16 STEVENS Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 13%
17 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 9%
18 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2%
19 WOLFE Alex 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
20 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 4%
21 EVANS Allen L. 100% 100% 91% 56% 17% 2%
22 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
23 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
24 PAINTER Patrick I. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
25 KING Cameron 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
26 SAFKO Jeffrey A. 100% 99% 84% 50% 16% 2%
27 WANG Trontour 100% 64% 21% 4% - -
28 ROBITZSKI David R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12% -
29 METZLER Calder 100% 86% 37% 7% 1% - -
30 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% -
31 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
32 JARRELL Keegan 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
33 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
34 KIM Ryan 100% 80% 32% 6% 1% -
35 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 90% 53% 13% 1% - -
36 LIU Nicole 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
37 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
38 MOORE IV Louis P. 100% 97% 72% 31% 6% -
38 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
40 SWEET Ryleigh E. 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
41 FRENCH Phaelen 100% 89% 49% 13% 1% - -
42 UPHAM Karolyn 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
43 WIESSLER-HUGHES Linda 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
44 LIN Harrison 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
45 METZLER Jack 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.