Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, June 19, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO Enoch A. - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
2 GRIFFIN John O. - - - - 4% 29% 66%
3 RITCHIE Luke W. - - 5% 21% 43% 30%
3 DAI Jonathan T. - 8% 27% 38% 22% 5%
5 OURSLER Jack - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
6 XIAO Ethan J. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
7 ZHANG Andy W. - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
8 YEROKHIN Michael N. - - 2% 15% 39% 37% 6%
9 LOCKWOOD Owen - 2% 11% 32% 38% 17%
9 LIN Richard W. - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
11 SCHENCK Koen M. - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
12 ONIK Elijah T. - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
13 SUNG Chang-Han S. - 3% 22% 41% 27% 6% -
14 BUERGIN Aidan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
15 DIVENTI Paul W. - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
16 PRASANNA Advaith 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% - -
17 BELLUOMO David C. - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
18 GRAHAM Roy J. - 4% 23% 45% 28%
19 SHA Yi Peng - 1% 5% 20% 38% 31% 6%
20 WAN Jason - - 1% 10% 33% 42% 14%
21 WU Nicholas - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
22 XIAO Anthony 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
23 WU Alexander - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 3%
24 KWON Ethan - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
25 GU Jeffrey 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 2%
26 OH SEAN - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
27 LUH Ethan K. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
27 JEON Caleb A. - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
29 GISLER Benjamin B. 21% 48% 25% 5% -
30 SONG Leonardo T. - 6% 29% 44% 20%
31 UPTON Craig 27% 43% 24% 5% - -
32 CAI Oliver K. 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
33 ZHAI Jeffrey 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
34 BAE Kevin - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 4%
35 GRISWOLD Abel B. 1% 9% 29% 37% 21% 4%
36 DING Jonathan - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
37 KEE Andrew L. 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
38 WALTER Evran M. 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
39 CHOI Samuel 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
40 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
41 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. - 1% 11% 34% 38% 14% 1%
42 FU Samuel Y. 2% 15% 41% 34% 9%
43 RINEHART Conner M. 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
44 HOBSON Aaron K. 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
45 HSIUNG Richie 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% -
46 ROUNTREE Rob 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
47 TIAN Aaron C. - 4% 27% 41% 23% 5% -
48 VIVEROS Evan 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
49 ZHENG zhe 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% - -
50 TAHOUN Mostafa 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
51 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
52 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
53 EVANS Aidan 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
54 ZHAO Dylan L. 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
54 KOBAL Maximilian 4% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1%
56 WECHSLER Jacob 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
57 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
58 LEE Jacob 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
59 BERNABE Rafael 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
60 GAUTAM Vishnu 16% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
61 WERWA Griffith 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
62 NEWELL Ian A. 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
63 LE Vyn A. 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
64 YU Jonathan J. 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
65 DE COQUET Maximilian 19% 59% 19% 2% - - -
66 EMENHEISER Conrad 42% 41% 14% 2% - -
67 LI Ryan Z. 41% 44% 14% 2% -
68 PITERBARG Maxim 66% 29% 5% - - -
69 VIVEROS Oscar A. 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
69 VIVEROS Antonio 66% 31% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.