Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, June 19, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
2 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
3 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 5%
5 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
6 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
7 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
8 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 6%
9 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
9 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
11 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
12 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
13 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% -
14 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
15 DIVENTI Paul W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
16 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
17 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
18 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
19 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 6%
20 WAN Jason 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
21 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
22 XIAO Anthony 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
23 WU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
24 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
25 GU Jeffrey 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
26 OH SEAN 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
27 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
27 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
29 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 79% 31% 5% -
30 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 94% 65% 20%
31 UPTON Craig 100% 73% 30% 6% - -
32 CAI Oliver K. 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
33 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
34 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29% 4%
35 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 4%
36 DING Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
37 KEE Andrew L. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
38 WALTER Evran M. 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
39 CHOI Samuel 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
40 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
41 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 15% 1%
42 FU Samuel Y. 100% 98% 84% 43% 9%
43 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
44 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
45 HSIUNG Richie 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
46 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
47 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% -
48 VIVEROS Evan 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
49 ZHENG zhe 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% - -
50 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 96% 73% 36% 11% 2% -
51 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% - -
52 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
53 EVANS Aidan 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
54 ZHAO Dylan L. 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
54 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1%
56 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
57 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
58 LEE Jacob 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1% -
59 BERNABE Rafael 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
60 GAUTAM Vishnu 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% - -
61 WERWA Griffith 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
62 NEWELL Ian A. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
63 LE Vyn A. 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
64 YU Jonathan J. 100% 81% 42% 11% 2% -
65 DE COQUET Maximilian 100% 81% 22% 2% - - -
66 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
67 LI Ryan Z. 100% 59% 15% 2% -
68 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 34% 5% - - -
69 VIVEROS Oscar A. 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
69 VIVEROS Antonio 100% 34% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.