Fortune Fencing ROC/VET/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, September 5, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Ontario, CA - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
2 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 100% 100% 92% 58% 11%
3 DIVITO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
5 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
6 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
7 YU Anders 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
8 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
9 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
10 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
11 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 9%
12 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
14 OH Samuel H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 21%
15 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
16 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
17 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
18 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
19 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
19 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
21 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
22 WOO Christian 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 7% 1%
23 WU Conrad J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
24 LIN Dashiell 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 24%
25 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
26 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
27 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
28 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
29 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
30 TAN Christien 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
31 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 41%
32 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 7%
33 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 21%
34 LAO Scott E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 12%
35 LARA Diego 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
36 DANKAR Neel 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
37 WU Jerry Z. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 6%
38 LE Jacob W. 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 6% -
39 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
40 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
41 CHENG Nathan 100% 100% 99% 86% 45% 10% -
42 WANG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
43 PIESNER Zachary C. 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
44 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27% 2%
45 LI Avery Peihong 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
46 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
47 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
48 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 91% 50% 11% 1%
49 ZHOU Oscar J. 100% 100% 95% 65% 19% 1%
50 LIM Charles Q. 100% 96% 66% 23% 3% -
51 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
52 JORDON Kaleb W. 100% 100% 92% 60% 18% 2%
53 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
54 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
55 MORALES Ian N. 100% 100% 100% 90% 52% 13% 1%
56 WONG Luke S. 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
57 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 96% 70% 29% 5%
58 KANG Anthony 100% 100% 94% 70% 27% 4%
59 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 78% 34% 6% - -
60 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1% -
61 GOBBO Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
62 MA Andrew 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 9% 1%
63 OH Jaden 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
64 CHENG Jonathan 100% 96% 68% 27% 5% - -
65 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
66 MA Bryant 100% 98% 77% 37% 8% 1% -
67 MCCOSH Evin M. 100% 99% 86% 44% 11% 1% -
68 WANG Ethan 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
69 HUANG Kevin D. 100% 97% 69% 25% 3% -
70 KIM Derek A. 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
71 CHEN Justin K. 100% 97% 63% 23% 4% - -
72 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 2%
73 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 100% 93% 49% 12% 1% -
74 SHEN Owen 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
75 BAEK David 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
76 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 12% 1%
77 CHUANG Kian J. 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 2% -
78 CHI Alexander 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2% -
79 LIEBERMAN Grant 100% 94% 57% 17% 2% - -
80 TEH Ryan 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
80 NGUYEN William 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
82 LI Jett 100% 98% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
83 NGUYEN Liam 100% 95% 64% 21% 3% - -
84 DE LA FUENTE Ian 100% 95% 61% 21% 3% - -
85 CHEN Brian 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
86 MYERS Dean 100% 86% 27% 3% - -
87 PARZICK Wade 100% 24% 2% - - -
88 ELVANDER Ethan 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -
89 ZHENG zhe 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
90 LLIDO Soren 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
91 KIM Aiden 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
92 GOLDADE Luke A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
93 BROWN Darius D. 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
94 RAINS Jackson T. 100% 79% 14% 1% - - -
95 QIU Jay (Tengjie) 100% 41% 7% - - - -
96 KRAUSE Colin 100% 28% 3% - - -
97 RUBIN Max 100% 88% 29% 4% - -
98 SMITH Grant D. 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
99 PARK Sky 100% 36% 5% - - - -
100 MO Jason 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 2% -
101 RAMOS Jaydon 100% 29% 3% - - -
102 TUAN Evan 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
103 ULLOA Trent J. 100% 30% 4% - - - -
104 GRITCHEN Alex 100% 30% 2% - - - -
104 BARTSCH Henry 100% 19% 2% - - - -
104 GONZALEZ Matthew 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
107 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 69% 22% 3% - - -
108 MAK Osman K. 100% 78% 29% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.