, - Richmond, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
# | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
1 | ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. | V V V V V V | V V V V V V V | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
2 | LOUIE Bryce | V V V V D | V V V V V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
3 | LIU Patrick | V V V V V V | V V V V V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
3 | LIAO Jun Heng (James) | V D V V V V | V V V V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
5 | KUMBLA Sidarth | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
6 | NAGIMOV Marsel | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
7 | CHEN Earnest P. | D V V V V | V V V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
8 | ZHANG Daniel D. | V V D D V V | V V V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
9 | GASSNER Ethan I. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
10 | HAMILTON Bogdan A. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
11 | LO Conrad | V D V V V V | V V V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
12 | LI Brandon H. | V D V V V V | V V V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
13 | HOSSFELD Finn E. | D V V V V V | V V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
14 | LI Raphael C. | V D V V V D | V V V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
15 | STANLEY Mason B. | D V V V D V | V V V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
16 | KUMBLA Samarth | V V D V V D | V V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
17 | SINGH Dayaal | V V D V V V | V V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
18 | GRASS Andrew E. | V V V D V V | V V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
19 | DUDEY Michael | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
20 | TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. | V V V V V D | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
21 | HOOSHI Dylan M. | D V V V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
22 | XIAO Enoch A. | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
23 | DORITY Philip S. | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
24 | BOURTIS James S. | V V D V V V | V V D | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
25 | GRIFFIN John O. | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
26 | KELLY William J. | V V V D V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
27 | CHEN Allen | V V V V D | V V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
28 | BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. | D V V V V D | V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
29 | OLIVARES Marcello G. | D V V V V D | V V D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
30 | YU Eric W. | V D V D D V | V V D | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
31 | XIAO Ethan J. | V D D V D V | V V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
32 | GRIFFITH JACK | D D D V D V | V V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
33 | CHEN James P. | V V V V V V | V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
34 | GIRALDO Pablo E. | V V V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 6 | +3.0 |
35 | MITCHELL Philip D. | V V V V V V | V D | 2.9 | 6 | +3.1 |
36 | ARCHER Kristjan | V V V V D V | V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
37 | DANIEL Ashton | V V D V V V | V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
38 | UM Ethan A. | V V D V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
39 | DESERANNO Jeidus | V V D V V V | V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
40 | CHUNG Andrew N. | D V V V V V | V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
41 | HODGES Carter F. | V V V V V D | V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
41 | LIU Justin | V D V V V V | V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
41 | ZHANG Andy W. | V V V V V D | V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
44 | BAS Liam | D V V V V V | V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
45 | ZHENG Alan H. | V V V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
46 | HOLMES Stuart S. | V V V D V V | V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
47 | TIERNEY David A. | V V V D V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
48 | HU Oliver W. | V V D V V V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
49 | AUGUSTINE Ethan A. | V V V V D V | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
49 | CHIN Jason Y. | V V D V V V | V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
51 | PARK Luke J. | D D V V V V | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
52 | YU Vinni | D V D V V V | V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
53 | BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. | V D V V V D | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
54 | BANERJEE ANUP | V D V D V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
55 | ONIK Elijah T. | V V V D D V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
56 | FLANAGAN James | D V V V D V | V D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
56 | MARTINEZ Donavyn E. | V D V V V D | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
58 | HUTH Mitchell | D D V V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
59 | VOGLER Justin K. | V V V D D | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
60 | SONG Leonardo T. | V V D D D V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
61 | WELCH Kyle J. | V V D D D V | V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
62 | KAO Castor T. | V D V D D V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
62 | LIANG Lixi (Henry) | V V V D D D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
64 | CHEN Ziyuan | V V V D D D | V D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
65 | DICKSON Farr R. | V V V V V V | D | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
66 | KWON Ethan | D V V V V V | D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
67 | DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. | V V V D V | D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
68 | KASI Sanjay | D V V V V D | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
69 | SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) | V V D V V D | D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
70 | KAISER Hans Z. | V D D V V V | D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
71 | MAGIDSON Gabriel | V D D V V V | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
72 | JEON Caleb A. | V D D V V V | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
73 | KIM Nicholas W. | V D V D V V | D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
74 | LEE Aidan | V V V V D D | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
75 | ZELTSER Lawrence M. | V V V D V D | D | 1.7 | 4 | +2.3 |
76 | JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) | V V V D V D | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
77 | KIM Brandon J. | V V V D D D | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
78 | ANDERSON Colton J. | D D D V V V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
79 | ZHANG Henry C. | D V V V D D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
80 | CHEN Andrew | D V V D D V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
81 | NDIAYE Edriss G. | V D V D V D | D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
82 | LIU Niles J. | V D D V D V | D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
82 | LEVY Jacob M. | V D V D V D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
84 | BURKE Spencer W. | V D V D D V | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
85 | YU Anders | D V V D D V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
86 | SHIN Philip D. | V D V D D V | D | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
87 | DEGREMONT Henri S. | V D V V D D | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
88 | SHAFAIE Kaveh | D V V D V D | D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
89 | SONG Aiden S. | V V D V D D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
90 | SULLIVAN Jackson R. | D V V V D D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
91 | ZENG Lucas H. | V D D D V V | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
92 | BUERGIN Aidan | D V D V V D | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
93 | THAYER Jake T. | V V D D V D | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
94 | JANG Jaewon | V D V V D D | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
94 | CHIN Julian S. | V V D V D D | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
96 | BALL James T. | V V D V D D | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
97 | WU Alexander | D V V V D D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
98 | OURSLER Jack | V D D V V D | D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
98 | ZHAO Jason L. | D D V V D V | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
100 | REID Clayton J. | V D V D V D | D | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
101 | ZHANG Luke T. | D V D V D V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
101 | SICHITIU Alexander | D D V V V D | D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
103 | DOBBINS Evan W. | D D D V V V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
104 | OH Samuel H. | V D D D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
105 | PELOSKY Zack B. | D V D V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
106 | GEE Brandon | V D D D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
107 | HUTH Jacob | D D V V D D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
108 | KO Brian J. | D D V D D V | D | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
109 | FREEDMAN Samuel E. | D D V D V D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
110 | KIM Yonjae | D V D D D V | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
111 | HO Ryan J. | D D D D V V | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
111 | RUSADZE Nickolas | V D D D D V | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
113 | LI Simon A. | D V V D D D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
114 | YANG Andy H. | D D D D V V | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
115 | TSANG Matthew K. | D D V D D V | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
116 | HODESS Ethan | D V D D D V | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
117 | LEWIS Paul D. | D D D V D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
118 | BLUTT Emerson B. | D V D D D V | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
119 | SHAFAIE Ali | V D D D V D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
120 | SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. | D V D V D D | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
121 | KOBAL Maximilian | V D V D D D | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
122 | LEE Chaemin D. | D D D V V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
123 | FUKUDA Renzo K. | D D V V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
124 | REZNICK Nicholas J. | D D V D D V | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
125 | BURTE Alexander J. | V D V D D D | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
126 | RITCHIE Luke W. | V D D V D D | V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
127 | WU Nicholas | V D D D V D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
128 | DAVIS Christopher M. | V D D V D D | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
129 | NAGER Noah | V D V D D D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
130 | GRISWOLD Abel B. | D V D D D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
130 | FUKUDA Alessio R. | D D D V V D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
132 | OH Jonathan | D V D V D D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
133 | GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. | D V D D V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 | |
134 | EVANS Aidan | D V D V D D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 | |
135 | PALMA Matthew Dominic | D D D D V | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 | |
136 | MURRAY Maximo | D D D V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 | |
137 | PRINCE Nicholas J. | D D D D V D | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 | |
138 | GRANT Lachlan K. | V D D D D D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 | |
139 | AHN Jun | D D D V D D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 | |
140 | BERMENDER Cameron | D D D D D V | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 | |
140 | DING Jonathan | D D D D D V | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 | |
142 | BAE Kevin | V D D D D D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 | |
143 | ROUNTREE Rob | D V D D D D | 1.0 | 1 | - | |
143 | BING Charles | D D D D D V | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 | |
145 | LOCKWOOD Owen | D V D D D D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 | |
146 | LI Avery Peihong | D D D D V D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 | |
147 | SCHENCK Koen M. | D D D D V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 | |
147 | LEE Jacob | D D D D V D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 | |
149 | JOHNSON Aidan J. | V D D D D D | 4.5 | 1 | -3.5 | |
150 | KEE Andrew L. | V D D D D D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 | |
150 | TIAN Aaron C. | D D V D D D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 | |
152 | HERGERT Benito | D D D D V D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 | |
152 | DESHMUKH Ayush | D V D D D D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 | |
154 | WANG Michael | D D V D D D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 | |
154 | DARIANO Noah G. | D D D D V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 | |
156 | OTAKE Jared K. | D D D D D V | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 | |
157 | FOGELSON Frederick J. | D D D D D V | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 | |
158 | ZHENG zhe | D D D V D D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 | |
159 | LI Owen | D D D D V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 | |
160 | LE Vyn A. | D V D D D D | 1.0 | 1 | - | |
161 | YU Jonathan J. | D D D D D V | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 | |
162 | SCHAEFER Joshua M. | D D D D D D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 | |
163 | WILLIAMS Connor J. | D D D D D D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 | |
163 | UPTON Craig | D D D D D D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 | |
165 | LIN Dashiell | D D D D D D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 | |
165 | BERK Theodore | D D D D D D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 | |
165 | TAN Christien | D D D D D D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 | |
165 | XIAO EDWARD | D D D D D D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 | |
169 | YEROKHIN Michael N. | D D D D D D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 | |
170 | PYO Michael M. | D D D D D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 | |
171 | BREIER Matthew F. | D D D D D D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 | |
171 | LEE Jacob J | D D D D D D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 | |
173 | HSIUNG Richie | D D D D D D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
---|---|---|---|
Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.