June NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Saturday, June 5, 2021 at 8:45 AM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. - - - - 1% 17% 82%
2 LOUIE Bryce - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
3 LIU Patrick - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
3 LIAO Jun Heng (James) - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
5 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - - 5% 30% 65%
6 NAGIMOV Marsel - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
7 CHEN Earnest P. - 1% 9% 33% 43% 14%
8 ZHANG Daniel D. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
9 GASSNER Ethan I. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
10 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 11%
11 LO Conrad - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
12 LI Brandon H. - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
13 HOSSFELD Finn E. - - - 3% 17% 45% 34%
14 LI Raphael C. 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
15 STANLEY Mason B. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
16 KUMBLA Samarth - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
17 SINGH Dayaal 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
18 GRASS Andrew E. - 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
19 DUDEY Michael - - 3% 15% 35% 37% 10%
20 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
21 HOOSHI Dylan M. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
22 XIAO Enoch A. - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
23 DORITY Philip S. - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 16%
24 BOURTIS James S. - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
25 GRIFFIN John O. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
26 KELLY William J. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
27 CHEN Allen 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
28 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - 3% 16% 38% 33% 9%
29 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - - 4% 24% 52% 20%
30 YU Eric W. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
31 XIAO Ethan J. - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
32 GRIFFITH JACK - 7% 25% 39% 24% 5% -
33 CHEN James P. - - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
34 GIRALDO Pablo E. 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5% < 1%
35 MITCHELL Philip D. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
36 ARCHER Kristjan - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
37 DANIEL Ashton - - 1% 5% 24% 46% 24%
38 UM Ethan A. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
39 DESERANNO Jeidus - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17%
40 CHUNG Andrew N. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
41 HODGES Carter F. - - - 6% 25% 43% 26%
41 LIU Justin - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
41 ZHANG Andy W. - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
44 BAS Liam 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
45 ZHENG Alan H. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
46 HOLMES Stuart S. - - 1% 9% 31% 42% 16%
47 TIERNEY David A. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
48 HU Oliver W. - 3% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
49 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15%
49 CHIN Jason Y. - - 4% 22% 40% 28% 6%
51 PARK Luke J. - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 12%
52 YU Vinni - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
53 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
54 BANERJEE ANUP 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
55 ONIK Elijah T. - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
56 FLANAGAN James 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 2% -
56 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 5%
58 HUTH Mitchell 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
59 VOGLER Justin K. - 2% 18% 44% 30% 6%
60 SONG Leonardo T. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
61 WELCH Kyle J. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
62 KAO Castor T. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
62 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
64 CHEN Ziyuan - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
65 DICKSON Farr R. - 1% 4% 17% 33% 32% 12%
66 KWON Ethan 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
67 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
68 KASI Sanjay - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 2%
69 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
70 KAISER Hans Z. - 1% 7% 26% 39% 24% 3%
71 MAGIDSON Gabriel 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
72 JEON Caleb A. 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
73 KIM Nicholas W. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
74 LEE Aidan 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
75 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
76 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 8% -
77 KIM Brandon J. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
78 ANDERSON Colton J. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
79 ZHANG Henry C. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
80 CHEN Andrew 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
81 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
82 LIU Niles J. - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
82 LEVY Jacob M. - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
84 BURKE Spencer W. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
85 YU Anders 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
86 SHIN Philip D. - - - 1% 11% 41% 46%
87 DEGREMONT Henri S. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
88 SHAFAIE Kaveh - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
89 SONG Aiden S. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
90 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
91 ZENG Lucas H. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
92 BUERGIN Aidan 3% 21% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
93 THAYER Jake T. 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
94 JANG Jaewon - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
94 CHIN Julian S. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
96 BALL James T. 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
97 WU Alexander 1% 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
98 OURSLER Jack - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
98 ZHAO Jason L. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
100 REID Clayton J. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
101 ZHANG Luke T. 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
101 SICHITIU Alexander 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
103 DOBBINS Evan W. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
104 OH Samuel H. 4% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
105 PELOSKY Zack B. 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
106 GEE Brandon 3% 22% 46% 25% 5% -
107 HUTH Jacob 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
108 KO Brian J. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
109 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
110 KIM Yonjae 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
111 HO Ryan J. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
111 RUSADZE Nickolas 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
113 LI Simon A. 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
114 YANG Andy H. 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
115 TSANG Matthew K. - 2% 13% 36% 34% 13% 2%
116 HODESS Ethan 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
117 LEWIS Paul D. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
118 BLUTT Emerson B. 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
119 SHAFAIE Ali - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
120 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
121 KOBAL Maximilian 14% 40% 34% 11% 2% - -
122 LEE Chaemin D. 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
123 FUKUDA Renzo K. 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3% -
124 REZNICK Nicholas J. 17% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
125 BURTE Alexander J. 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
126 RITCHIE Luke W. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
127 WU Nicholas 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3% -
128 DAVIS Christopher M. 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
129 NAGER Noah 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
130 GRISWOLD Abel B. 4% 33% 40% 19% 4% - -
130 FUKUDA Alessio R. 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
132 OH Jonathan 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
133 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
134 EVANS Aidan 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
135 PALMA Matthew Dominic 52% 39% 8% 1% - -
136 MURRAY Maximo 17% 49% 28% 5% - -
137 PRINCE Nicholas J. - 4% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
138 GRANT Lachlan K. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
139 AHN Jun 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
140 BERMENDER Cameron - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% 1%
140 DING Jonathan 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
142 BAE Kevin 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
143 ROUNTREE Rob 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
143 BING Charles 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
145 LOCKWOOD Owen - 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
146 LI Avery Peihong 35% 46% 17% 2% - - -
147 SCHENCK Koen M. 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
147 LEE Jacob 61% 34% 5% - - - -
149 JOHNSON Aidan J. - < 1% 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
150 KEE Andrew L. 28% 45% 22% 5% - - -
150 TIAN Aaron C. 13% 48% 30% 8% 1% - -
152 HERGERT Benito 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 2% -
152 DESHMUKH Ayush 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
154 WANG Michael 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
154 DARIANO Noah G. 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
156 OTAKE Jared K. 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
157 FOGELSON Frederick J. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
158 ZHENG zhe 75% 23% 2% - - - -
159 LI Owen 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
160 LE Vyn A. 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
161 YU Jonathan J. 51% 39% 9% 1% - - -
162 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
163 WILLIAMS Connor J. 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
163 UPTON Craig 28% 48% 20% 3% - - -
165 LIN Dashiell 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
165 BERK Theodore 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
165 TAN Christien 43% 40% 15% 3% - - -
165 XIAO EDWARD 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
169 YEROKHIN Michael N. 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
170 PYO Michael M. 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
171 BREIER Matthew F. 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
171 LEE Jacob J 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
173 HSIUNG Richie 14% 44% 31% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.