American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, June 12, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
2 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
3 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
5 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
5 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
7 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
8 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
9 YU Anders 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
10 LI Richard 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
11 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
12 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
13 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
14 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1%
15 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
16 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 8%
17 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
18 BAE Junnie 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
19 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
20 OH Samuel H. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
21 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
22 AHN Jun 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
23 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
24 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
25 HO Ryan J. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
26 BRUK Peter J. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3%
27 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
28 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 97% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
29 LI Eric 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
30 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
31 GEE Brandon 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
32 XIAO Anthony 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
33 DING Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
34 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
35 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 5%
36 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 6%
37 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
38 HOWARD Michael 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
39 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
40 BRANDT-OGMAN Adlai 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3%
41 HORSLEY Alexander 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
42 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% -
43 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% -
44 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
44 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
46 WANG Andrew 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 1%
47 BING Charles 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
48 HERGERT Benito 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
49 EVANS Aidan 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
50 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
51 LEE Chaemin D. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
52 CHENG Jonathan 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
53 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
54 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
55 WANG Michael 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% -
56 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
57 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
58 GAO William 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
59 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4%
60 TAN Christien 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
61 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
62 LIAO Alex J. 100% 98% 78% 35% 7% 1%
63 ZHAO Dylan L. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
64 GAUTAM Vishnu 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
65 ZHAO Jesse 100% 57% 14% 1% - -
66 DESOLA Aidan J. 100% 99% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
67 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
68 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 1%
68 STRAYER Andrew 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
70 MILLER Trent D. 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
71 CHOI Samuel 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
72 ANTON Nathaniel 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% -
72 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
74 CAI Oliver K. 100% 92% 59% 23% 5% - -
75 JIN Dennis H. 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
75 POPESCU Tudor 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
77 FINLEY Dylan 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
78 DRESSEL Jet 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
79 KIM BANSEOK J. 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
80 WERWA Griffith 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
81 LI Ryan Z. 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
81 LE Vyn A. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
83 GARR James D. 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
84 TREANOR Donald K. 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
85 LA BARR Edward T. 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.