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American Challenge RYC/RJCC Reg Opens 1/15

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, April 3, 2021 at 12:00 PM

King of Prussia, PA - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
2 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
3 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
3 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
5 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
6 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
7 LI Richard 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
8 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
9 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 24%
10 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 5%
11 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 17%
12 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
13 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 14%
14 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
15 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
16 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 99% 90% 58% 18%
17 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
18 HUTH Mitchell 100% 99% 85% 47% 11%
19 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
20 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23%
21 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 98% 82% 38% 6%
22 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 21%
23 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
24 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
25 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 99% 81% 42% 9%
26 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
27 HORSLEY Alexander 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10%
28 HODGES Carter F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
29 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
30 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
31 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5%
32 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 92% 45% 9% 1% -
33 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 46%
34 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
35 SANTULLI Tristan 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
36 HO Ryan J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
37 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
38 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 5%
38 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
40 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
41 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 99% 80% 39% 9% 1%
42 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 16%
43 KIM Yonjae 100% 99% 86% 48% 11%
44 OH Samuel H. 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
45 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
46 LE Vyn A. 100% 96% 66% 25% 4% -
47 AHN Jun 100% 100% 95% 69% 24% 2%
48 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
49 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 97% 73% 28% 4%
50 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
51 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
52 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 99% 83% 39% 8% -
53 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
54 LEE Aidan 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
55 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1%
56 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 100% 92% 58% 15% 2% -
57 LIAO Alex J. 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
58 CHAN Tyler 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
59 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
60 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 98% 79% 39% 8%
61 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 92% 52% 15% 2%
62 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 76% 29% 4% - -
63 BALL James T. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 2%
64 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1%
65 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
66 XIAO EDWARD 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
67 WU Alexander 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
68 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% -
69 DESOLA Aidan J. 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
70 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 100% 95% 69% 25%
71 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
72 ANTON Nathaniel 100% 100% 87% 42% 9% 1%
72 HOWARD Michael 100% 96% 70% 25% 3% -
74 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
75 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 98% 80% 41% 9%
76 BROWN Alexander R. 100% 75% 24% 4% - -
76 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 98% 59% 17% 2% -
78 MILLER Trent D. 100% 100% 83% 41% 10% 1%
79 STRAYER Andrew 100% 92% 55% 17% 3% -
80 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 93% 61% 18% 2%
81 FU Yifan 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
82 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 42% 7% 1% -
83 DEEB Adam 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
84 WALTER Evran M. 100% 96% 78% 42% 13% 2%
85 LI Ryan Z. 100% 88% 45% 10% 1% -
86 ZHAO Jesse 100% 95% 42% 7% 1% -
87 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
88 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
89 MCCORD Clark 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
90 BAUMANN Gunnar 100% 20% 2% - - -
91 MAGIDSON Josh 100% 28% 3% - - -
92 PIESNER Zachary C. 100% 80% 30% 5% - -
93 LEE Jacob J 100% 97% 68% 26% 5% -
94 CAI Oliver K. 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
95 SZE Timothy 100% 13% - - - -
96 MATHEWS Rocco J. 100% 98% 79% 41% 10% 1%
96 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 69% 22% 3% - -
98 BAEK David 100% 83% 42% 11% 2% -
98 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 34% 5% - - -
98 REZA Farazi 100% 46% 8% 1% - -
101 WERWA Griffith 100% 32% 4% - -
102 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
103 GUO Cheng Jin Morris 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
104 WANG Mason 100% 55% 11% 1% - -
104 VIVEROS Antonio 100% 10% - - - -
106 PO Oliver 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.