November NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Friday, November 9, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. 100% 100% 98% 91% 69% 36% 9%
2 HERBST Isaac L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 2%
3 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
3 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
5 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
6 ZHAO Howard 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
7 GRAMS Steven 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
8 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
9 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
10 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
11 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
12 RAYLE Evan K. 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
13 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
14 HSIEH JAROV Seraphim 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 4%
15 MECKE Cedric 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 14%
16 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
17 SANTOS Cameron A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 7%
18 CAMPBELL Daniel R. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
19 FAFARD Fynn 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 13%
20 MATVEEV Valentin S. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
21 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
21 VINNITCHOUK Ted 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
23 VOLKMANN Daniel R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
24 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3% -
25 CHMUT Anton 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 21% 4%
26 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
27 RUSSANOV Boris J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 6%
28 GANA Thomas A. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
29 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
30 LEE Woosuk 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 17%
31 JEONG Connor 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
32 MILLER Finn S. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
33 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
34 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
34 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
36 POPOVICI Stefan N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
36 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 11%
38 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 98% 85% 58% 26% 7% 1%
39 SMITH William K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
40 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
41 COLE Elias R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
41 SHIN SungMoon (Andy) (Andy) 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12% 1%
43 DEGUCHI Nicolas 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
44 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 3%
46 FELKER Jared L. 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 20% 3%
47 NAIR Tarun A. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
48 YAO Michael 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
49 WOLF Myles J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
50 MERCHANT Reza H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
51 BEIQUE-SIMMONS Henri Liam 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
52 CHA Russell W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
53 WEI Zikun 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 2%
54 WILSON Sean H. 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
55 GHAZALEH Thomas Xavier 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
55 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
57 PLAISANCE Louis 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
58 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 93% 66% 23% 3%
59 KIMATIAN Harrison J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
60 WILLETT Addison 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
60 WANG Bowen 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
62 DIXON Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
63 LI Jason Man Kit 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
64 RYJIKOV Benjamin 100% 79% 34% 5% - -
65 MALIASSOV Nikita S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 40%
66 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
67 KOKENGE Clark 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
68 SHACKLEFORD Aidan J. 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
69 GRANGER-HOTTE Olivier 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 9% -
70 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
71 VAYSBERG Nathan 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
72 MILAM Hugh 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
73 GAIDAR Daniel B. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
74 FRANK Timmy 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
75 NGUYEN Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
75 WOZNIAK Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
77 LEIGH David A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
78 VAG-URMINSKY Paul F. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
79 MCGAW Julian E. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
80 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 31%
81 ZHANG Joshua 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
82 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9% 1%
83 BISSINGER Michael P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
84 ZHU Wilson 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
85 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 4% -
86 BEKKER Samuel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
87 SHIFRON Daniel A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
88 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
89 MU Lejia 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
90 CHO Jonah E. 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
91 TOPAZ Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
92 REID Avo 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5%
93 HANXU Richard A. 100% 92% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
94 SHINHOLSTER Michael J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
95 WANG Nathan 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
96 WOZNIAK David 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
97 GASPAROVICH IV George M. 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
98 YU Colin 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
99 PROCTOR Oliver L. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
100 YUNG Zheng 100% 98% 77% 33% 7% -
101 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
102 LEI Jacob 100% 98% 84% 54% 20% 3%
103 KIM Ethan S. 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
104 LIPPMAN Eli 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
105 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
106 HAN Matthew 100% 96% 77% 46% 17% 4% -
106 COLE Wyatt M. 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
108 ZACHARAKIS Demetri K. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
109 COHEN Jared E. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
109 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 87% 45% 11% 1% - -
111 MANCINI Christopher M. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4% -
112 BOYLAN Jack (I Spy) 100% 97% 78% 43% 15% 3% -
113 KAMBESELES Jack M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
114 LAURON Sean M. 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 26% 5%
115 CARVALHO Daniel S. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
116 ZHENG Hagen 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
117 ANDROSYUK Alexander 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
119 NOSIL Andrew S. 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
119 SYED Saif M. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 17% 3%
121 PARK Thomas Junseo 100% 93% 64% 23% 3% - -
122 YI Kyle 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
123 KIM Derek D. 100% 91% 54% 17% 3% - -
123 PARK Minchan 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
125 CANDREVA Hunter R. 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
125 OGILVIE Evan C. 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
127 GUO Austin S. 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
128 XIAN Riley 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
129 KADYSZEWSKI Mateo 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
130 SHIN Joshua 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
131 MCKINLEY Liam K. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
131 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
131 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
134 MACHULSKY Ned 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
135 PICARD Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
136 LENDER David 100% 96% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
137 LEVY Zachari I. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 22% 3%
138 SPITERI Gareth J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 7%
139 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
140 DAO Matthew M. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
141 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
142 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 29%
143 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
144 KANG Michael H. 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
145 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
146 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
147 BAKER Kevin G. 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
148 CHILANA Savitoz (Savi) 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
149 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 26%
150 BOWERMAN Lucas A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
151 POLKOVSKY Dylan S. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
152 SHAMIS Mark 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
153 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
154 BRUNET Nathan 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
155 ZHANG Eric 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
156 KOZLOWSKI Matthew K. 100% 93% 68% 35% 11% 2% -
157 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
157 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 9% 1%
159 ROY Joseph T. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
160 STOTT Donovan R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
161 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
162 LIN Ryan 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
163 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 64% 13% 1% - -
164 SZABO Benedek H. 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
165 LIM Timothy D. 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
166 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
167 WANG Kevin de-tai 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
168 TAE William G. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
169 CAI Kevin P. 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% - -
170 UKOLOV Dimitri 100% 80% 42% 14% 2% - -
171 BANYON-MRAK Aiden J. 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
171 ALAIMO Charles 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
173 JIA Chengming J. 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
174 SHINE Peter C. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
175 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 81% 45% 15% 3% - -
176 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
176 CHON Thierry 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
178 WANG Jeffrey H. 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
178 LESPERANCE Lucas 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 5% -
180 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17% 2%
181 ETCHELL Thomas W. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
182 DAVIES Morgan 100% 86% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
183 GIBSON Dylan A. 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
184 MALENFANT Vincent 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 4% -
185 BRENNAN Charles F. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
186 LEI Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3%
187 CAPELLUA Tommaso 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% - -
188 DORRELL Connor I. 100% 85% 49% 17% 4% - -
189 PLUMER Jack E. 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
190 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
191 VERNACHIO Anthony 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
191 RODRIGUEZ Ryan 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
193 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
194 MUN Michael K. 100% 99% 90% 49% 11% 1%
195 DINKINS Ramadan 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
196 KULAGA Peter C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
197 KIM Ethan J. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
198 ZHANG Matthew 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
199 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
200 ZARETSKY Daniel A. 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
200 STEVENS James F. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
202 YOON Nathan 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1% -
203 MALDONADO Julian A. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
204 WESTEN Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
204 BODON Michele I. 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
204 MOGILEVICH Michael 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
204 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
208 KRONROD Tal 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
209 LEE Matthew C. 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
209 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
211 KEHOE James E. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
212 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
213 LEE Aaron Y. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
214 NEHILA Stephen D. 100% 99% 85% 47% 15% 2% -
215 MORSE Tyler 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
215 ATANAS Matthew M. 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
217 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
218 BYNAGARI Prateek 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
218 KIM PAUL 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
218 NG Alexander M. 100% 96% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
218 XIAN Ryan 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
222 HANE Matthew J. 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
223 WONG Joshua 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
224 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 7% 1%
224 LIU Alexander 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
226 ZHOU Alec Q. 100% 68% 25% 5% 1% - -
227 JUNG Alexander 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
227 HU Andrew 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% - -
229 GONZALEZ II Ricky G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
229 DOUGLAS Colin F. 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
229 ZHANG Tianyi 100% 93% 56% 15% 2% - -
232 ANDERSON Elias W. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
233 HE Jason 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
234 NOMANI Shibli D. 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
236 DAVIS Matthew D. 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% - -
237 KELSEY Ryan 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
238 HU Andre B. 100% 62% 15% 2% - -
239 SHOURIE Jai 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
240 SIDEWATER Matthew 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
241 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
242 YAN yuheng 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
242 KAJI Ty 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
242 SOLTER Kai 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
245 KASTENBERG Leo M. 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
245 ELFEN Nicholas R. 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
247 GODDARD Hal D. 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
247 DIB Aaniss 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.