Neil Lazar RYC/Vet ROC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 22, 2018 at 12:30 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEINKOPF William O. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
2 MARX Oscar L. - 1% 10% 34% 39% 15% 1%
3 YEROKHIN Michael N. - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
3 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
5 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - - - 4% 31% 65%
6 KAO Castor T. - - - - 4% 30% 66%
7 CHENG Jonathan - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
8 DU Samuel R. - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
9 LE Vyn A. 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
10 WAN Jason 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
11 NAGER Noah - - 3% 22% 54% 21%
12 PELOSKY Zack B. - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
13 BING Charles 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
14 BAE Kevin 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
15 PARK Ryan - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
16 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
17 MARSHALL Ian - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
18 FU Samuel Y. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
19 PYO Michael M. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
19 ANTON Nathaniel - 4% 23% 42% 25% 5% -
21 PAE Jonathan L. - - 1% 9% 32% 49% 9%
22 ONIK Elijah T. 1% 9% 38% 42% 9% -
23 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 7% 28% 42% 21% 2%
24 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
25 ZHANG Evan - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
26 KULKARNI Ansh A. 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% - -
27 BREIER Matthew F. - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
28 RUSADZE Nickolas - 1% 10% 35% 45% 10%
29 LI Owen - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
30 CHAN Tyler - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
31 ORVANANOS Jorge - - 3% 16% 39% 34% 8%
32 ZHAO Jesse 2% 17% 34% 30% 14% 3% -
33 HOWARD Michael 9% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
34 WANG Gerald Y. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
35 TSAI Max W. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
36 DEGREMONT Henri S. - 6% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
37 JIANG Owen - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
38 GOOR Julian - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 6%
39 DOCTOR Aidan L. - 5% 21% 36% 29% 9%
40 KWON Ethan 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
41 ZHAI Jeffrey 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
42 PAE Brian L. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
43 QI Steve 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
44 JIN Dennis H. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
45 YAN Edward Tianshuo - 8% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
46 LI Eric 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
47 SHIN Joshua J. 3% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1%
48 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. - 3% 15% 31% 34% 15% 1%
49 MILLER Aidan A. 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
50 TALLARICO Matthew 2% 17% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
51 AHN Jun - 3% 19% 42% 31% 5% -
52 BAO Wenyuan 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
53 LI Yao (Liam) - 4% 28% 43% 22% 4% -
54 GUO Sean 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
55 HANSEN William 12% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
56 GAO Sean 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
57 ALIMI Yacine A. 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% -
58 WU Alexander 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
59 VALENTON Timothy 20% 44% 29% 7% 1% -
60 MORGESON Colin 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
61 VITKAUSKAS Justin G. 14% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -
62 KALIPERSAD Neil A. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
63 HU Jason 22% 45% 26% 7% 1% - -
64 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 8% 32% 41% 17% 2% - -
65 GAO Anthony 3% 21% 44% 26% 5% - -
66 CHAN Justin D. 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
67 WU Jerry 1% 10% 39% 40% 9% 1%
68 MENG Zhaoyi 27% 49% 20% 3% - -
69 PITERBARG Maxim 29% 44% 22% 4% - -
70 BASAK Ashton R. 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3% -
71 SKELLY Aidan K. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
72 PELT Ethan T. 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
73 BOYLE Aiden P. 36% 44% 17% 2% - - -
74 LIGOS Alex M. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
75 GALBAN Matthias L. 27% 45% 22% 5% 1% -
76 WANG Mason 23% 46% 27% 4% - -
77 PROMRAT Pete 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
78 LI Ayren 26% 46% 23% 5% 1% - -
78 GAO Michael 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1% -
80 DE JAGER Robert 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.