New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WEINKOPF William O. | V D V D V V | V V V V V V | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 2 | MARX Oscar L. | V D V V V V | V V V V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 3 | YEROKHIN Michael N. | V V D V V V | V V V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 3 | LIANG Lixi (Henry) | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| 5 | HOOSHI Dylan M. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| 6 | KAO Castor T. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| 7 | CHENG Jonathan | V V V V V D | V V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 8 | DU Samuel R. | D V V V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 9 | LE Vyn A. | V V V V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 6 | +2.9 |
| 10 | WAN Jason | V V V V V | V V D | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| 11 | NAGER Noah | V V V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 12 | PELOSKY Zack B. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 13 | BING Charles | V V V V D | V V D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 14 | BAE Kevin | V V V V D | V V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 15 | PARK Ryan | V V D V V | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 16 | HOOSHI Jayden C. | V V D D V | V V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 17 | MARSHALL Ian | V V V V V V | V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 18 | FU Samuel Y. | V V V D V V | V D | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| 19 | PYO Michael M. | V V V D V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 19 | ANTON Nathaniel | D V V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 21 | PAE Jonathan L. | V V V D V V | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 22 | ONIK Elijah T. | V D V V V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 23 | COSTELLO Chaissen F. | V D V V D V | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 24 | ZELTSER Lawrence M. | V V V D V D | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 25 | ZHANG Evan | V V D D V V | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 26 | KULKARNI Ansh A. | V V D D V V | V D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 27 | BREIER Matthew F. | D V V V D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 28 | RUSADZE Nickolas | D D V V V | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 29 | LI Owen | V D D D V V | V D | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| 30 | CHAN Tyler | D V D V D V | V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 31 | ORVANANOS Jorge | D D D V V V | V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 32 | ZHAO Jesse | D V D D V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 33 | HOWARD Michael | V D D V V V | D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 34 | WANG Gerald Y. | D V V V D V | D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 35 | TSAI Max W. | V V V V D D | D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 36 | DEGREMONT Henri S. | D V V D V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 37 | JIANG Owen | V V V D V D | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 38 | GOOR Julian | D V V V D V | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 39 | DOCTOR Aidan L. | D V V D V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 40 | KWON Ethan | V D V D V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 41 | ZHAI Jeffrey | D D V D V V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 42 | PAE Brian L. | V D D V D V | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 43 | QI Steve | V V D V D D | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 44 | JIN Dennis H. | D D V V D V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 45 | YAN Edward Tianshuo | V D D V D V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 46 | LI Eric | V D V D D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 47 | SHIN Joshua J. | V D D D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 48 | SYOMICHEV Gleb A. | D V D D V D | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 49 | MILLER Aidan A. | D D V D V D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 50 | TALLARICO Matthew | D V D V D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 51 | AHN Jun | V V D D D D | V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 52 | BAO Wenyuan | D D V V D D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 53 | LI Yao (Liam) | V V D D D D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 54 | GUO Sean | D D V D V D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 55 | HANSEN William | D D D V D V | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 56 | GAO Sean | D V V D D D | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 57 | ALIMI Yacine A. | D D D D V | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 58 | WU Alexander | D D D V D | V D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 59 | VALENTON Timothy | D V D D D | V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 60 | MORGESON Colin | D D V D D D | V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 61 | VITKAUSKAS Justin G. | D V D D D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 62 | KALIPERSAD Neil A. | V D D D D D | V D | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| 63 | HU Jason | D D D V D D | V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 64 | WOODTHORPE Michael G. | D D D V D D | V D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 65 | GAO Anthony | D D V D V D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 66 | CHAN Justin D. | D V D D D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 67 | WU Jerry | V D D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 68 | MENG Zhaoyi | D V D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 69 | PITERBARG Maxim | D D D V D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 70 | BASAK Ashton R. | V D D D D D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 71 | SKELLY Aidan K. | D D D V D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 72 | PELT Ethan T. | D D D V D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 73 | BOYLE Aiden P. | D D V D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 74 | LIGOS Alex M. | D D D V D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 75 | GALBAN Matthias L. | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 76 | WANG Mason | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 77 | PROMRAT Pete | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 78 | LI Ayren | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 78 | GAO Michael | D D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 80 | DE JAGER Robert | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.