USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, July 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
2 DODIN David - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
3 TRULL A.J. - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
3 ZHENG Andy - - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
5 HAMZA Tudor - - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
6 CHEN Zhengyang - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
7 SINGH Ravin - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
8 KIM Jayden - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
9 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
10 LEE Aiden - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9%
11 CHOI Zachary - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
12 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
13 GRAVES Lawson - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
14 MAO Benjamin - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
15 CARTY JR Johndale - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
16 ZENG Andrew 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
17 SOKOL Luke - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
18 BUI Henry - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
19 DONAHUE Lake - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
20 TWEMLOW Sacha 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
21 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
22 NAKAS Levent - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
23 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
24 LIU Adam - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
25 LAM Alan - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
26 SERAFYM Damian - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
27 MITEV Alexander - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
28 LAI Boden - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
29 PARK Sangwook - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 13%
30 CORBIN Bennett - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
31 HERNDON Liam - 4% 21% 41% 28% 6% -
32 FENG shang - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
33 LOISEAU Oscar - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
34 SAUNIER Cameron - 1% 9% 25% 37% 24% 5%
35 YANG Gary 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
36 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - - - 5% 24% 47% 24%
37 LU Jacob - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
38 ALI Farhan - 2% 10% 24% 33% 24% 7%
39 MANGAN Hunter 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
40 RUSSELL Michael 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
41 ZIEGLER John - 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1%
42 KIM Teddy - 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
43 FRANGER Max 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
44 CHEN Leonardo - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
45 LIU Yueri - 1% 9% 25% 37% 23% 5%
46 MEHROTRA Neel - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
47 ZAHRAN Aiden - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
48 LEE DoWon 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
49 LEE Inwoo - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
50 REAGAN Henry - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
51 TAI Edison - 4% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
52 BORISENKO Samuel 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
53 KUGLER Luke 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
54 VYSOTSKIY Evan - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
55 WANG Joey - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
56 MIDYANY Evan 1% 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% -
57 GINZBURG Adam - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
57 CHEN Bowen - 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2%
59 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
60 KUPPUSAMY Kotravel 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
61 MODANLOU Navid 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
62 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham - 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
63 HEADRICK Jack - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
64 YILMAZ Tarik 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
65 SIEDOW William 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
66 JOHNSON Soren 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
67 NILSEN Mark 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
68 DODIN Daniel M. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
69 LIU Josh - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
70 JAIN Samyak - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
71 MANA Arnav 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
72 OSBORN Hunter - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
73 NOVOJILOV Daniel 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
74 DECKER Hunter 6% 22% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
75 SINGLETON Aman 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
76 BRADSHAW Carter 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
77 HUANG Kenneth 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
78 DODDAPANENI Aarav 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
79 RAHMAN Ali - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
80 TUSANTOSO McKenzie 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
80 AHN EZRA 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
82 ELMARSAFI Nurideen 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
83 BAKKEN Archer 9% 28% 33% 21% 7% 1% -
84 KUANG Bryan 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1%
85 MOORE Alexander - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
86 PAN Anthony 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
87 CZEPLA Andrew 1% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
88 ARMSTRONG TyLee 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
89 WU Nathan 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
90 SOLARZ Arthur 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
91 LI Ray 22% 44% 27% 6% 1% - -
92 YAO Tristan 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
93 RAHMAN Zayd 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
94 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
95 KANG Brandon 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
96 DOAN Christopher 7% 29% 39% 20% 5% - -
97 LEUNG Dylan 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
98 SHCHUR Grayson - 1% 10% 32% 39% 15% 2%
99 GOROZA Eric 37% 41% 18% 4% - -
100 MA Ryan 29% 43% 23% 6% 1% -
101 JIANG Oscar 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
102 TUMULA Arihaan 19% 41% 29% 9% 2% - -
103 SHAFFER Tyler 7% 29% 41% 20% 4% - -
104 KIM Tae 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
104 PARK Aiden 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
106 GUO Lucas 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
107 NORMILE Nicholas 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
108 STARKIE Kitteridge 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
109 FU Adrian 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
110 KLINKNER Richard 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
111 DAI Chengwen 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
112 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
113 HANNA Alexander 84% 15% 1% - - - -
114 KIM Henry 4% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
115 KONG Brandon 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
116 MAXU Tiger 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
117 KE Sebastian 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
118 CAFASSO Alexander 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
118 RONG Gordon 6% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
120 KIM Alexander 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
120 HARGREAVES Ryan 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
120 HSU Joshua 43% 40% 14% 3% - - -
123 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 30% 44% 21% 5% 1% - -
124 KIM Remington 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
125 KIM Julian 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
126 NOOL Alexander 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
127 ROSIELLO Francesco 46% 39% 12% 2% - -
128 CLARKSON Moby 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.