USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, July 10, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Matthew - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
2 JOSEPH Willem - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
3 SHIN Joshua J. - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
3 KIM Ryan Y. - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
5 KIM Derek A. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
6 HONDA Kazu Z. - - - 2% 17% 54% 27%
7 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
8 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
9 WHITEHEAD Amir - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
10 ACHILOV Sayid - - 4% 22% 46% 27%
11 SEAL Maximus R. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
12 STRAYER Andrew - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
13 SINHA Verdhaan - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
14 SONG Austin - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
15 GUO Sean - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
16 CANO Diego A. - 2% 12% 36% 38% 13%
17 FINNEY Lorenz - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
18 CANLAS Nathan - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
19 BROWN Alexander R. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
20 MIN Eric - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
21 KITAGAWA Eric S. 4% 20% 34% 29% 12% 2%
22 GUERRA Gabriel H. - 1% 8% 30% 44% 18%
22 KIM Jackson - 2% 15% 38% 35% 10%
24 DAVIDSON Elliot - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 5%
25 LI Eric - - - 3% 20% 46% 30%
26 WANG Eric J. - - - 5% 23% 46% 27%
27 REYES Omar - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 12%
28 FINLEY Dylan - 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
29 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - 1% 10% 33% 40% 15%
30 WANG Winston - 1% 11% 34% 40% 13% 1%
31 MONTALBINE Aidan 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
32 ZHEN Ethan - 4% 22% 41% 27% 6%
33 LI Avery Peihong - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
34 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
34 MIALL Steven A. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
36 DESHMUKH Arjun - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
37 LI Arvin - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
38 WITTENBERG Jackson H. - 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
39 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden - 2% 12% 33% 37% 14% 2%
40 TANG August L. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
41 LIPPMAN Sam - 6% 24% 41% 24% 5% -
42 ORVANANOS Jorge - - 5% 24% 43% 26%
43 CHOE Jayden K. - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
44 SHAPIRO Leon 9% 42% 36% 12% 2% -
45 FULTON Richard A. - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
46 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. - 8% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1%
47 GATRELL Mitchell E. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
48 GARCIA Sebastian R. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
49 GRAZIANO Nicolas W. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
50 LI Ryan Z. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
51 MCISAAC Finn 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
52 WILLIAMS Connor J. - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
52 KLEIN Sebastian W. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
54 MYERS Dean - 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
55 QUINONES Diego A. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
56 CHI Alexander - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
57 PAI Dong-Ying - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
58 XU Ethan 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% -
59 MICKELSON Jacob P. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
60 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. - 6% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2%
61 WANG Michael - 4% 20% 34% 29% 11% 2%
62 LI Jett 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
63 TIKHAEV Alexander 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
64 ORLOV Dmitriy - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
65 TEMPLE Jackson - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
65 HOSKERI Anik S. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
67 ELKOUSY Laith H. - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
68 SIMA Congyu Josh - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
69 DRESSEL Jet 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
70 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1%
71 TEH Ryan 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3% -
72 KHER Roan 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
73 DOCTOR Aidan L. - - 4% 21% 45% 29%
74 WANG Brayden 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
75 OH Jaden - 4% 20% 40% 29% 6%
76 LEE Jacob - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
77 LEE Jonah - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
78 SHAGIDANYAN German - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
79 ANDERSON Jacob 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
80 GUO Justin - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
81 SHAO Eric 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
82 WOODTHORPE Michael G. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
83 ARIZA Abraham J. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
84 LI Ayren - 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
85 STUEBEN William E. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
86 STRUGAR Marcus A. - 1% 9% 33% 41% 17%
87 SMITH Erick - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
88 ZENG Michael L. - 1% 10% 34% 40% 15%
89 CHUNG Yeongbin 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
90 POPE Alexander 6% 33% 38% 18% 4% -
91 BERK Theodore - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
92 LEE Eugene 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
93 TANG Albert 4% 22% 39% 28% 7% 1%
94 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. - 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%
95 HARRIS Otto - 11% 42% 35% 11% 1%
96 LORENZO Alejandro 2% 17% 39% 32% 10% 1%
97 KAPOOR Aayan 2% 16% 40% 32% 10% 1%
98 TSAO Lukas - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
99 CLAYMAN John A. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
100 PARK Sky 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
101 KIM Adrian 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
102 LEE Lukas - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
103 UZGIRIS Kovas - 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
104 WONG Luke S. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
105 GREENLEAF Paul 15% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
106 KLYCZEK Andrew - 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2%
107 CHREKY Jacob D. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
108 MILLER Aidan A. 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
108 JAUME Andrei - 1% 10% 34% 40% 15%
110 CAPRA Ethan 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
111 BERNABE Rafael 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 2%
112 LEVY Jacob 1% 15% 40% 32% 10% 1%
113 CHIN Ryan 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
114 DECKER Evan M. 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
115 DINSAY Kristjan - 1% 10% 30% 40% 20%
116 STRINGER David 1% 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
117 COTTER Jeffrey V. 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
118 WU Alistair 2% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
119 WANG Mason - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
120 LOU Andy 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
121 CHEZ Nolan 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
122 SAMAHA Nicholas J. 4% 27% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
123 PLASTARAS Trey 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
124 LYNCH Owen C. 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1%
125 SCHAEFER Joshua M. - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
126 SONG Noel 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
127 WATKINS Christian S. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
128 HUANG Kevin D. - 12% 32% 34% 18% 4% -
129 MENG Zhaoyi - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
130 PAI Lakshan K. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
131 FAN Yuchen 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
132 BLACK Zachary 32% 43% 21% 4% - -
133 WILLIAMS Kenneth H. 11% 36% 36% 15% 2% -
134 LIM Charles Q. 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
135 SCHOENACK Noah 38% 44% 16% 2% - -
136 WHITE Joshua H. 8% 33% 38% 18% 3% -
137 FECHTMEYER Theodore 18% 39% 31% 10% 2% -
138 FANG Jaden 5% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
139 CHEN Justin K. 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
140 OLSON Emerson 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
141 SANTOS Carlos R. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
141 WU Michael 3% 16% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
143 WILKINS Mateo 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
144 VANOYEN Dominick 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
145 POIROT Max 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
145 AGRAWAL Niki 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
145 WAKEHAM Paul 16% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -
148 XU Dinghui Ryan 62% 32% 6% - - - -
149 CASELLINI Matteo 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
150 BROWN Darius D. 3% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
151 BARRETT Austin 11% 39% 36% 13% 2% -
151 LI Samuel - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
153 WECHSLER Jacob 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
154 CHEN Brian 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
155 YUAN Austin 62% 32% 6% - - -
156 KIM Harrison 14% 40% 33% 12% 2% -
157 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 8% 27% 35% 23% 7% 1%
158 WANG Julang 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
159 DEL CASTILLO Kyle 13% 52% 29% 6% 1% -
160 PETERSON Matthew 16% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
161 SALLEY Gus 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
162 VALENTON Timothy - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
163 HUANG Eythan 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 5% -
163 REICHEL Ezra 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
165 SMITH Grant D. 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
166 TSAI William 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
167 HINTON Nickolys R. 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
168 WEBB Jacob T. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
168 BOUCHARD Kai 7% 38% 38% 14% 2% - -
170 TALASILA Arush 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
171 RNO Kyler 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
172 BOYLE Aiden P. 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
173 TALLARICO Matthew 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
174 SUBRAMANIAN Johnathan 38% 44% 15% 2% - - -
175 WOHLERS Trevor 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
176 BLACKLEDGE Michael 30% 44% 21% 4% - -
177 LUAN Tian 23% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
178 BOCKSNICK John Robert 71% 27% 2% - - -
179 CHOI Simon 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
180 CHEW Aaron 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
181 TOMASI John 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
182 ROBINSON Matthew 49% 39% 10% 1% - -
182 FRANKE GORDON Johnathon 23% 49% 23% 4% - -
184 ZHAO Bowen 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
185 STINSON Tucker 75% 22% 3% - - - -
186 COLLUM Thomas 28% 43% 23% 5% - - -
187 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 72% 25% 3% - - - -
187 JOHNSON Owen 13% 37% 34% 13% 3% - -
189 NEWELL Tim 64% 31% 5% - - -
190 MILES Greyson 90% 9% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.