USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, July 10, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
2 JOSEPH Willem 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
3 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
5 KIM Derek A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
6 HONDA Kazu Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 27%
7 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
8 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
9 WHITEHEAD Amir 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
10 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
11 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
12 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
13 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
14 SONG Austin 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
15 GUO Sean 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
16 CANO Diego A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 13%
17 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
18 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
19 BROWN Alexander R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
20 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
21 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
22 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
22 KIM Jackson 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
24 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5%
25 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 30%
26 WANG Eric J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
27 REYES Omar 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 12%
28 FINLEY Dylan 100% 100% 98% 84% 54% 20% 3%
29 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
30 WANG Winston 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14% 1%
31 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
32 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
33 LI Avery Peihong 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
34 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 14%
34 MIALL Steven A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
36 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
37 LI Arvin 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
38 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
39 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 2%
40 TANG August L. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
41 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5% -
42 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
43 CHOE Jayden K. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
44 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 91% 50% 13% 2% -
45 FULTON Richard A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
46 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 100% 100% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
47 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
48 GARCIA Sebastian R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
49 GRAZIANO Nicolas W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
50 LI Ryan Z. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
51 MCISAAC Finn 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
52 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
52 KLEIN Sebastian W. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
54 MYERS Dean 100% 100% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
55 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
56 CHI Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
57 PAI Dong-Ying 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 13%
58 XU Ethan 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% -
59 MICKELSON Jacob P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
60 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2%
61 WANG Michael 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
62 LI Jett 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 7% 1%
63 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
64 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
65 TEMPLE Jackson 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
65 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 9%
67 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
68 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
69 DRESSEL Jet 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
70 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
71 TEH Ryan 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
72 KHER Roan 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
73 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
74 WANG Brayden 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
75 OH Jaden 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
76 LEE Jacob 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
77 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
78 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
79 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
80 GUO Justin 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
81 SHAO Eric 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
82 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
83 ARIZA Abraham J. 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
84 LI Ayren 100% 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
85 STUEBEN William E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
86 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
87 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
88 ZENG Michael L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 15%
89 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
90 POPE Alexander 100% 94% 61% 23% 4% -
91 BERK Theodore 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
92 LEE Eugene 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
93 TANG Albert 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
94 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5%
95 HARRIS Otto 100% 100% 88% 46% 12% 1%
96 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
97 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
98 TSAO Lukas 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
99 CLAYMAN John A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
100 PARK Sky 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
101 KIM Adrian 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
102 LEE Lukas 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
103 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
104 WONG Luke S. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
105 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
106 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2%
107 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
108 MILLER Aidan A. 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
108 JAUME Andrei 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
110 CAPRA Ethan 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
111 BERNABE Rafael 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2%
112 LEVY Jacob 100% 99% 83% 44% 11% 1%
113 CHIN Ryan 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
114 DECKER Evan M. 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
115 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
116 STRINGER David 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
117 COTTER Jeffrey V. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
118 WU Alistair 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1% -
119 WANG Mason 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
120 LOU Andy 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
121 CHEZ Nolan 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
122 SAMAHA Nicholas J. 100% 96% 69% 30% 8% 1% -
123 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
124 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
125 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
126 SONG Noel 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
127 WATKINS Christian S. 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
128 HUANG Kevin D. 100% 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
129 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 6%
130 PAI Lakshan K. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
131 FAN Yuchen 100% 68% 24% 5% - - -
132 BLACK Zachary 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
133 WILLIAMS Kenneth H. 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% -
134 LIM Charles Q. 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
135 SCHOENACK Noah 100% 62% 18% 2% - -
136 WHITE Joshua H. 100% 92% 59% 21% 3% -
137 FECHTMEYER Theodore 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
138 FANG Jaden 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
139 CHEN Justin K. 100% 99% 94% 77% 47% 17% 3%
140 OLSON Emerson 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
141 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
141 WU Michael 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
143 WILKINS Mateo 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
144 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
145 POIROT Max 100% 63% 23% 4% - - -
145 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
145 WAKEHAM Paul 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
148 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 38% 6% - - - -
149 CASELLINI Matteo 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
150 BROWN Darius D. 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
151 BARRETT Austin 100% 89% 50% 14% 2% -
151 LI Samuel 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
153 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
154 CHEN Brian 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
155 YUAN Austin 100% 38% 6% - - -
156 KIM Harrison 100% 86% 46% 14% 2% -
157 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
158 WANG Julang 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
159 DEL CASTILLO Kyle 100% 87% 35% 6% 1% -
160 PETERSON Matthew 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
161 SALLEY Gus 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% - -
162 VALENTON Timothy 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
163 HUANG Eythan 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
163 REICHEL Ezra 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
165 SMITH Grant D. 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
166 TSAI William 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
167 HINTON Nickolys R. 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
168 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
168 BOUCHARD Kai 100% 93% 55% 17% 2% - -
170 TALASILA Arush 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
171 RNO Kyler 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% - -
172 BOYLE Aiden P. 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
173 TALLARICO Matthew 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
174 SUBRAMANIAN Johnathan 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -
175 WOHLERS Trevor 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
176 BLACKLEDGE Michael 100% 70% 26% 4% - -
177 LUAN Tian 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
178 BOCKSNICK John Robert 100% 29% 2% - - -
179 CHOI Simon 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
180 CHEW Aaron 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
181 TOMASI John 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
182 ROBINSON Matthew 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
182 FRANKE GORDON Johnathon 100% 77% 27% 4% - -
184 ZHAO Bowen 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
185 STINSON Tucker 100% 25% 3% - - - -
186 COLLUM Thomas 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
187 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 100% 28% 3% - - - -
187 JOHNSON Owen 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
189 NEWELL Tim 100% 36% 5% - - -
190 MILES Greyson 100% 10% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.