The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
Maria Panyi (1), Andrey Geva (2), Igor Chirashnya (3), and Sue Moheb (4).

Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, March 12, 2022 at 2:30 PM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - - 3% 29% 68%
2 ZHAO Jason L. - - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
3 CULLIVAN Justice - - 2% 14% 47% 37%
3 ZHANG Yun Isaac - < 1% 3% 17% 48% 32%
5 YANG Luao - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
6 FORTUNE Alexander J. - - 2% 15% 39% 37% 6%
7 ZHAI Jeffrey - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
8 CHIN Julian S. - - - 4% 24% 49% 23%
9 BALL James T. - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
10 BURBERRY Alan 4% 24% 39% 26% 6% < 1%
11 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
12 TSAY Jeremy M. - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 13%
13 LU Yikai - - 1% 9% 43% 40% 7%
14 HO Jia Le Sean - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
15 GOGOI Vir K. 1% 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
16 KLOSTERMANN Max - - - 2% 15% 43% 41%
17 LYUTIKOV Yegor - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
18 LUH Ethan K. - - 1% 9% 43% 41% 6%
19 GATRELL Mitchell E. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
20 SIU Aiden - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
21 UPTON Craig - 7% 29% 40% 20% 3%
22 SZEGO Bence P. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
23 FINLEY Dylan 5% 23% 40% 26% 5% -
24 DEDENBACH Joseph 18% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
25 KLEIN Sebastian W. - 7% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
26 BUERGIN Aidan - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
27 WANG Winston 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 5% -
28 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
29 LIU Jacob B. 6% 26% 40% 23% 4% -
30 LANG Dong Lin - 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1%
31 PALMA Matthew Dominic - 1% 7% 28% 42% 20% 2%
32 SANTOS Carlos R. 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
33 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson - 2% 14% 37% 35% 10% 1%
34 PAI Lakshan K. 1% 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
35 TAN Christien - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10%
36 MCCORD Clark - - 5% 22% 45% 27%
37 MARTIN William 44% 44% 11% 1% - - -
38 ZHENG zhe 1% 11% 36% 37% 14% 2%
39 PARK Sky 1% 8% 33% 45% 13% 1% -
40 REEVES Liam - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
41 LAI Twayne 8% 35% 41% 14% 2% - -
42 PALWAI Suhas 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% - -
43 MCISAAC Finn 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
44 VALENTINO Paul 6% 29% 43% 20% 3% - -
45 ORONOWICZ Jakub 2% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
45 KHAN Adnan 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
47 SONG Austin 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
48 STRINGER David 12% 44% 33% 10% 1% -
49 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 16% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
50 ZHEREBTCOV Kirill 3% 23% 48% 23% 3% - -
51 ZHAO Bowen 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
52 RAJPAL Alastair 20% 50% 25% 5% - - -
53 BIESIADA Jan 29% 48% 20% 3% - - -
54 PALFI Jakob 18% 42% 31% 8% 1% - -
55 FU Steven 58% 35% 7% - - -
56 GNEUHS Sam 49% 41% 10% 1% - - -
57 WEATHERINGTON Jude A. 21% 48% 27% 5% - - -
57 LIM Lance Jeremiah 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
59 ALLIE Dominic 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
60 CARTER Michael 11% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.