Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, March 13, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 SULLIVAN Jackson R. V V V V V V V V V V V V 5.3 6 +0.7
2 SEZER Kaya V V V V V V V V V V V D 4.7 6 +1.3
3 KAISER Hans Z. V V V V D D V V V V D 5.4 4 -1.4
3 LEWIS Paul D. V V D V V V V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
5 BUERGIN Aidan V V V V V V V V V D 3.2 6 +2.8
6 ZHAI Jeffrey D V V V V V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
7 KLOSTERMANN Max V V V V D D V V V D 4.9 4 -0.9
8 HO Jia Le Sean D V D V V D V V V D 4.1 3 -1.1
9 DUBOISKI Siarhei V V V V D V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
10 MICKELSON Jacob P. V V V D V V V V D 3.1 5 +1.9
11 LYUTIKOV Yegor V V D V V V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
12 YANG Luao D V V V V D V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
13 ELWOOD Sebastian F. D V V V D V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
14 MCCORD Clark D V V V V D V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
15 GATRELL Mitchell E. D D D V V V V V D 3.0 3 -
16 JAUME Andrei D D V D D D V V D 3.2 1 -2.2
17 CULLIVAN Justice V V V V V V V D 4.3 6 +1.7
18 DESERANNO Jeidus V V V V V V V D 5.7 6 +0.3
19 SIU Aiden V V V V V D V D 4.1 5 +0.9
20 ZOBEL Eric H. V D V V V V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
21 TSAY Jeremy M. V D V D V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
22 FORTUNE Alexander J. D V V V V D V D 3.4 4 +0.6
23 WANG Eric J. V D V V D V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
24 TAN Christien D V D V V V D 3.0 3 -
25 STREB JR. Joseph T. D D V V V D V D 4.0 3 -1.0
26 ZHAO Jason L. V V D D D V V D 4.7 3 -1.7
27 MITCHELL Philip D. V V V D D D V D 5.2 3 -2.2
28 ZHANG Yun Isaac V V D D V D V D 3.5 3 -0.5
29 DOUGLAS Rhys D D V V D V V D 4.1 3 -1.1
30 REEVES Liam V V D D V D V D 3.0 3 -
31 CHAN Matthew D V D D V D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
32 SZEGO Bence P. V D D V D D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
33 BALL James T. V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
34 LIU Eric Y. V V D V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
35 CAO Leon M. D V D V V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
36 PALMA Matthew Dominic D D V V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
37 TSAO Lukas V V V D D V D 2.4 4 +1.6
38 BURTE Alexander J. V V D V D D 3.5 3 -0.5
39 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. D D V V D V D 3.6 3 -0.6
39 LU Yikai D D D V V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
41 ZHENG zhe D V V D D V D 2.3 3 +0.7
41 WONG Antonio D D V D V V D 3.0 3 -
43 LUGO Jonathan V D D V D V D 4.1 3 -1.1
44 FINLEY Dylan D D D V V V D 1.3 3 +1.7
45 SMITH Erick V D D V D V D 2.0 3 +1.0
46 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson V D V D D D 2.4 2 -0.4
47 LANG Dong Lin V D D D D V D 3.2 2 -1.2
48 DEDENBACH Joseph D D V D V D D 1.6 2 +0.4
49 KHAN Adnan D V V D D D D 1.5 2 +0.5
50 SONG Austin D V V D D D D 1.8 2 +0.2
50 UPTON Craig V V D D D D 2.9 2 -0.9
52 GOGOI Vir K. D V D V D D D 2.0 2 -
53 BURBERRY Alan D V D D D V D 1.8 2 +0.2
54 MCOWEN Peter D. V D D D V D D 2.5 2 -0.5
55 ZHAO Bowen V D D D V D D 1.3 2 +0.7
56 GALLER Dave D D V D D V D 0.9 2 +1.1
57 VALENTINO Paul D D D D V D 0.7 1 +0.3
58 WHEELOCK Bryan M. D D V D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
59 CHIN Julian S. V D D D D D D 3.7 1 -2.7
60 LIM Lance Jeremiah D D D D V D V D 1.0 1 -
61 SANTOS Carlos R. V D D D D D V D 1.0 1 -
62 WERWA Griffith D D D D D D V D 1.0 0 -1.0
63 WANG Winston D D D D D D V D 1.6 0 -1.6
64 GNEUHS Sam D D D D D D V D 0.4 0 -0.4
65 PALWAI Suhas D D D D D V D 0.8 1 +0.2
66 DENMAN Matthew L. D V D D D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
67 FISHER Austin D. D D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
68 FU Steven D D D D D D D 0.3 0 -0.3
69 ELLINGTON Keegan A. D D D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.