Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, March 13, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
2 SEZER Kaya - - - 6% 32% 44% 18%
3 KAISER Hans Z. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
3 LEWIS Paul D. - - 1% 7% 29% 45% 18%
5 BUERGIN Aidan - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
6 ZHAI Jeffrey - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
7 KLOSTERMANN Max - - - 4% 27% 46% 23%
8 HO Jia Le Sean - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
9 DUBOISKI Siarhei - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 3%
10 MICKELSON Jacob P. - 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
11 LYUTIKOV Yegor - 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
12 YANG Luao - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
13 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 2% 15% 36% 33% 11% 2% -
14 MCCORD Clark - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 4%
15 GATRELL Mitchell E. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 8% -
16 JAUME Andrei - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
17 CULLIVAN Justice - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10%
18 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - - 4% 26% 69%
19 SIU Aiden - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
20 ZOBEL Eric H. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
21 TSAY Jeremy M. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
22 FORTUNE Alexander J. - 3% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
23 WANG Eric J. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
24 TAN Christien - 6% 25% 40% 24% 5%
25 STREB JR. Joseph T. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
26 ZHAO Jason L. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
27 MITCHELL Philip D. - - - 2% 16% 44% 37%
28 ZHANG Yun Isaac - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
29 DOUGLAS Rhys - - 3% 18% 45% 28% 5%
30 REEVES Liam - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
31 CHAN Matthew 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
32 SZEGO Bence P. 2% 20% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
33 BALL James T. - - 4% 21% 43% 30%
34 LIU Eric Y. - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
35 CAO Leon M. - - - 6% 30% 44% 20%
36 PALMA Matthew Dominic 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
37 TSAO Lukas 2% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1% -
38 BURTE Alexander J. - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
39 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
39 LU Yikai - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 4%
41 ZHENG zhe 2% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
41 WONG Antonio - 4% 23% 48% 21% 4% -
43 LUGO Jonathan - - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
44 FINLEY Dylan 19% 42% 28% 9% 1% - -
45 SMITH Erick 5% 25% 41% 24% 4% - -
46 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
47 LANG Dong Lin - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
48 DEDENBACH Joseph 11% 36% 37% 15% 2% - -
49 KHAN Adnan 11% 39% 39% 11% 1% - -
50 SONG Austin 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
50 UPTON Craig 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
52 GOGOI Vir K. 5% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
53 BURBERRY Alan 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% - -
54 MCOWEN Peter D. 2% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
55 ZHAO Bowen 15% 44% 34% 6% - - -
56 GALLER Dave 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
57 VALENTINO Paul 46% 41% 12% 2% - -
58 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 11% 39% 35% 13% 2% -
59 CHIN Julian S. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
60 LIM Lance Jeremiah 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
61 SANTOS Carlos R. 31% 42% 21% 5% - - -
62 WERWA Griffith 30% 44% 21% 5% 1% - -
63 WANG Winston 11% 36% 36% 14% 2% - -
64 GNEUHS Sam 67% 28% 4% - - - -
65 PALWAI Suhas 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
66 DENMAN Matthew L. 3% 26% 38% 24% 8% 1% -
67 FISHER Austin D. 38% 45% 16% 1% - - -
68 FU Steven 72% 25% 3% - - - -
69 ELLINGTON Keegan A. 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.