NEUSFA 2022 Pomme De Terre

Senior Men's Épée

Saturday, June 18, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Brandeis University - Waltham, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
2 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67%
3 JONES Tristan Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 74%
3 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 28%
5 YU Colin 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45%
6 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
6 ZHANG William 100% 100% 98% 85% 43% 7%
8 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
9 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
10 ZHAO corey 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
11 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
12 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 100% 100% 92% 61% 18%
13 GUI Runlin 100% 99% 83% 36% 7% -
14 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 12%
15 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 99% 88% 46% 9%
16 DELAND Stuart R. 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
17 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 6%
18 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
19 LINSCOTT John J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
20 RICUTA Laurentiu Florentin 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 23%
21 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
22 GERAGHTY Michael P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
23 KIM Byung 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 13%
24 DOELEMAN Zeno 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
25 BOYNTON Zachariah (Zach) G. 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
26 ECKERT Kevin M. 100% 100% 96% 70% 28% 4%
26 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
28 BELLIVEAU Shane 100% 96% 63% 22% 3% -
29 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1%
30 FRY Nicholas (Nico) J. 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 22%
31 TORRES Gianni 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
32 FENG Du 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% -
33 HERMANSON David B. 100% 100% 97% 76% 28% 3%
34 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 27%
35 EKE Frank 100% 100% 99% 91% 53% 10%
36 PHO Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 46%
37 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 40%
38 ZUKOFSKY Zachary 100% 98% 80% 38% 6% -
39 ROUSE Brian G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
39 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
41 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 12%
42 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 96% 71% 27% 4% -
42 SKAALAND Will 100% 97% 78% 42% 10% -
44 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
45 HU Jansen T. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
46 THORDARSON Paul (Thor) J. 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 6%
47 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 21%
48 WYATT Seth 100% 100% 98% 76% 32% 5%
49 ANDERSON Brendan P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
50 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 100% 93% 62% 21% 2%
51 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
52 WENGER Caleb 100% 97% 63% 16% 1% -
53 ZHANG William 100% 92% 43% 8% 1% -
54 LIU Shuang 100% 96% 57% 16% 2% -
55 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 99% 91% 59% 15% 1%
56 MATEI Daniel 100% 99% 84% 41% 7% -
57 MELCHER Charles 100% 98% 67% 22% 3% -
58 MACNEILL Owen 100% 86% 36% 6% 1% -
59 SINGH Sahib 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
60 HOWARD Michael 100% 96% 70% 27% 3% -
61 LEVANDOWSKI Lakota 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
62 BEALS Alden 100% 90% 54% 13% - -
63 STEWART Robert 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
64 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 70% 24% 3% - -
65 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 96% 66% 25% 4%
66 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 100% 96% 69% 25% 3%
67 SANTOS Felipe 100% 98% 85% 43% 3% -
67 EANG Brynner 100% 81% 36% 7% 1% -
69 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
69 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 45% 6% - - -
71 GERSEN Jacob 100% 99% 88% 51% 15% 2%
72 HEKMAT Sina R. 100% 100% 92% 59% 19% 2%
73 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 90% 44% 10% 1% -
74 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 80% 35% 6% - -
74 NORTON Theo B. 100% 99% 81% 39% 8% -
74 XIE Brandon 100% 88% 49% 11% 1% -
77 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 80% 18% 2% - -
77 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 98% 79% 35% 5%
79 SHA Michael 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
79 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
81 ALUMBAUGH Jonathan J. 100% 99% 86% 47% 11% -
82 GACS Kalman J. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
83 VALAYANNOPOULOS Nicolas 100% 85% 35% 6% - -
84 MILGRAM Aaron 100% 70% 25% 3% - -
85 LEVANDOWSKI Jim 100% 100% 96% 76% 32% 4%
86 BORGAL Cameron 100% 93% 62% 21% 3% -
87 NORTON Henry 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
87 REINEKE Alexander 100% 80% 35% 6% - -
89 KNIGHT Keith S. 100% 93% 62% 24% 4% -
89 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 100% 89% 55% 15% 1%
91 FERREIRA Noah J. 100% 100% 95% 62% 20% 2%
92 SACCOMANNO Shelby 100% 34% 3% - - -
93 JIANG Ryan 100% 75% 20% 2% - -
94 SONG Troy 100% 98% 72% 29% 5% -
95 REINEKE Gerhard 100% 24% 2% - - -
96 GILCHRIST David C. 100% 79% 33% 5% - -
97 PETROV Niki A. 100% 73% 28% 4% - -
98 SENERTH Ian J. 100% 99% 93% 66% 23% -
98 ROSENBLUM Addison J. 100% 36% 3% - - -
100 THOMPSON Ian 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
101 ZHANG Roland 100% 39% 5% - - -
101 MASSE Jack 100% 31% 3% - - -
103 STEIN Philip 100% 36% 4% - - -
104 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 25% 2% - - -
104 ZOU Xianyang 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
106 GREELEY Shawn 100% 84% 38% 6% - -
106 TEREB Daniel 100% 16% 1% - - -
108 BUTTS Brendan 100% 26% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.